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The Weather Thread 2024

airwaves

By airwaves
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briddj
briddj

Right, let's hope we lose the horror Thursday on the 00Z!   GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY   Completely dry through and highs of 21-22. Result!     Very, very ligh

briddj
briddj

Ok, it's time. Time for the first full weather run through of 2024!   THROUGH TO GATES OPEN   There's the threat of a fair bit of rain on Saturday afternoon and evening, but it's t

briddj
briddj

Right then. After a chink of light in the 06Z, how will the 12Z treat us?   Let's dive in!   THROUGH TO GATES OPEN   This weekend is now completely dry, no rain of any no

Posted Images

Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

Posted
Posted

The midday ECM still has rain but it’s pushed it back a bit….

 

Wednesday is dry and warm…

 

IMG_4407.thumb.jpeg.77e506f42d94e412208891270c695a80.jpeg

 

and now Thursday stays dry, but the rain comes in overnight and it could be heavy…

 

IMG_4408.thumb.jpeg.2fff2707411160d7fb65573a8b727c7f.jpeg

 

Friday looks to be a wet day, with the chance of heavy thundery rain from the south…

 

IMG_4409.thumb.jpeg.107302147fc122c21cd36804bbfa7f05.jpeg
 

On Saturday, the main rain has cleared through but with that warm and moist southerly flow, there’s always the chance of heavy showers…

 

IMG_4410.thumb.jpeg.1a0dfb97c6df761e7b147b1e255978d4.jpeg
 

That’s two runs in a row that ECM has brought this rain in.    Got to be a concern….

 

 

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cb4747 Proficient

cb4747

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, gizmoman said:

The last year I didn't take wellies was 2005, this was the result,

1593362890_e9bcb59e-848e-4fe2-9efe-addd6

 

Weather had been great, the forecast was great except for one day of potential rain, in my cocky frame of mind I thought "one day of rain can't do much" In the event it wasn't even a full day of rain just about 20 hours of monsoon like downpours, lessons were learned.

Heh… back into the cupboard of my motorhome going by the latest run 

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Jacko45 Mentor

Jacko45

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The midday ECM still has rain but it’s pushed it back a bit….

 

Wednesday is dry and warm…

 

IMG_4407.thumb.jpeg.77e506f42d94e412208891270c695a80.jpeg

 

and now Thursday stays dry, but the rain comes in overnight and it could be heavy…

 

IMG_4408.thumb.jpeg.2fff2707411160d7fb65573a8b727c7f.jpeg

 

Friday looks to be a wet day, with the chance of heavy thundery rain from the south…

 

IMG_4409.thumb.jpeg.107302147fc122c21cd36804bbfa7f05.jpeg
 

On Saturday, the main rain has cleared through but with that warm and moist southerly flow, there’s always the chance of heavy showers…

 

IMG_4410.thumb.jpeg.1a0dfb97c6df761e7b147b1e255978d4.jpeg
 

That’s two runs in a row that ECM has brought this rain in.    Got to be a concern….

 

 

 

Urgh that's wellies territory 

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Jacko45 Mentor

Jacko45

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, AdrianH said:

Another dire overnight run from the GFS im afraid. Low pressure gets in and stays near us. Warm start but rain about for several days and a cool weekend.

 

f**k this country, one good week and its back to grey rubbish.

 

These morning runs are mood killers this week.

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Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, AdrianH said:

UKMO is a bit better but that low pressure is still too close and moving up towards the UK by Thursday.

 

See what the ECM thinks shortly.

h500slp.png


Bleeeurgh not that much better.  This is what that low brings in Thursday night…that would be yuk..

 

IMG_1838.png.9545713b1aa78e597d4a363196df6007.png

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Jacko45 Mentor

Jacko45

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, AdrianH said:

UKMO is a bit better but that low pressure is still too close and moving up towards the UK by Thursday.

 

See what the ECM thinks shortly.

h500slp.png

 

As I keep saying, be so frustrating for normal June temps to arrive for about 6 days then drop right off again :(  

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Jacko45 Mentor

Jacko45

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

Still time for the pendulum to swing back the other way

 

Yep not over yet, but fair to say last 24 hours the majority of runs have said it'll be cooler with showers over the weekend :(. 

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AdrianH Community Regular

AdrianH

Posted
Posted

I think its about 50/50 still. If the low pressure goes far enough south, we get the warm/dry start to the festival with maybe a visit of the low pressure towards the weekend. The GFS version is the one we need to avoid as it lingers on for days and seriously suppresses the temperatures.

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Sheffield Steve Rising Star

Sheffield Steve

Posted
Posted

The GFS brings the rain in earlier than UKMO. Even Wednesday has rain by midday getting wetter as the afternoon progresses..

 

IMG_1840.png.04f7aef69f5f1d35cfa0e67ca54e9831.png

 

Thursday brings another band of rain up from the south..

 

IMG_1841.png.c8c63d63bfe58c967022acd4b42773fb.png

 

and Friday maintains the theme with rain or showers with the low nearby.  


IMG_1842.png.3f51faeb882db9a65319234a2f01c1ad.png
 

Plenty of time for this to change though with still a week to go…we’ve seen many a flip flop in the past…

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Jacko45 Mentor

Jacko45

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Sheffield Steve said:

The GFS brings the rain in earlier than UKMO. Even Wednesday has rain by midday getting wetter as the afternoon progresses..

 

IMG_1840.png.04f7aef69f5f1d35cfa0e67ca54e9831.png

 

Thursday brings another band of rain up from the south..

 

IMG_1841.png.c8c63d63bfe58c967022acd4b42773fb.png

 

and Friday maintains the theme with rain or showers with the low nearby.  


IMG_1842.png.3f51faeb882db9a65319234a2f01c1ad.png
 

Plenty of time for this to change though with still a week to go…we’ve seen many a flip flop in the past…

 

 

Great a wash out after all the excitement hahahah

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gherkin8r Experienced

gherkin8r

Posted
Posted

So the operational run is a bit of a red herring and anyway all the rain being forecast is a full week away at this point which is loads of time for it to change back to scorchio and dry just to get out hopes up and then back again.

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