Weather thread 2015

[briddj]

Car all packed and ready to go... hoping one last 06Z run is a good one this time.

[richy24]

I don't think the average person really knows/cares about the Wednesday/Thursday. A lot of people I have spoken to weren't aware the festival started on Wednesday. 

 

I bet if it was pissing with rain they would mention them though!

[briddj]

Weds: No rain, max temp stable at 21, pressure stable.

[briddj]

Thurs: No rain, max temp stable at 22, pressure stable.

[devonhammer]

There's three weather sites I trust for an accurate forecast, Met Office, ECMWF and yr.no

 

Yr.no has a forecast that is amazing:

 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

 

No rain. None at all

[devonhammer]

To add some balance, the Met Office has heavy rain Friday and Sunday.

[Glastonlocal]

Thurs: No rain, max temp stable at 22, pressure stable.

Friday??

[briddj]

Fri: Little rain is back, which fits with other models. Rain coming in around 2pm until around 8pm but only light stuff and no real threat of anything heavier. Nothing at all to be concerned by. Max temps have gone up another degree to a humid 24, pressure stable.

[Glastonlocal]

meh

[briddj]

Sat: No rain. Max temps stable at 21, pressure stable.

[briddj]

Here's the 06Z update then, my final one!

Showers back on Friday, but that was expected really. Very light stuff and still looking good, plus it's got warmer that day.
Saturday is now consistent with the previous run.
Sunday is wetter on this run but the 06Z run has been consistently more pessimistic than the others. Fingers crossed it stays that way.


Weds: No rain, max temp stable at 21, pressure stable.

Thurs: No rain, max temp stable at 22, pressure stable.

Fri: Little rain is back, which fits with other models. Rain coming in around 2pm until around 8pm but only light stuff and no real threat of anything heavier. Nothing at all to be concerned by. Max temps have gone up another degree to a humid 24, pressure stable.

Sat: No rain. Max temps stable at 21, pressure stable.

Sun: Rain hitting earlier in this run, around 1am and that will be persistent. Chance of it a little heavier than a shower around 9am. Then continuing with persistent light rain until around 7.30pm. The much heavier rain is hitting Ireland and the north west of England so a bit of a buffer. Max temp stable at 17 (not good enough!), pressure stable.

And that's it from me!

[jparx]

Cheers briddj. Have a safe trip! Sunday is looking a bit suspicious, but I reckon by then we won't really be too bothered anyway! Especially if it remains dry and warm until that point.

[noplacelikehome]

Thank so much Briddj, Devonhammer, pedmills and all who have provided the excellent info graphs and charts for their sterling work  I am popping in from NFR NFC, glad that we have all been able to work together this year to a (hopefully) great result, have an amazing festival everyone and enjoy the sunshine    See you on the farm x

[devonhammer]

I'm heading off now as well. Thanks everyone. It's always a rollercoaster, but I've never known so much uncertainty at the last minute.

 

There's three camps:

 

Met Office: some heavy rain, but not mudbath.

ECMWF and GFS: showers

yr.no: no rain at all

 

Will be interesting to see who gets it right

[Glastonlocal]

Well done all. think I'm gonna quit this thread now, even tho I wont be entering the site until tomorrow. 

 

Thanks for all your hard work. May the weather be with you!

[Skier68]

Thanks again to everyone here for the information and many laughs over the past few weeks.

DevonHammer, despite Sundays forecast I still think it justifies the Bobby Moore world cup image you promised us earlier.

Will be following you down the North Devon link road in a few hours!

[mrsstocksey]

Thanks briddj, it's has been emotional

[justperfect]

Well done guys and gals

It's Been emotional

Have a great time each and every one of you.

Looking forward to checking back with you all next week and sharing some beautiful tales.

Peace and love

Edited June 24, 2015 by justperfect

[filmguy]

On site now, it's hot, damn hot and it's going to stay that way with very little rain if any, have a great festival everyone!

[windy_miller]

All looking OK apart from Sunday, which doesn't sound very nice at the monent.  Hopefully it will change.  Sunday is usually the sunniest day!

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

New BBC video forecast (put up at 1pm):

 

"Friday likely to see a change in the weather with rain coming in"....

"...a band of rain edging across, heavier for a time (waves at Scotland at this point but not clear what she means)"

"Fine and dry weather behind it for Saturday."

 

Just need BBC / Met Office to stop using the word heavy!

Edited June 24, 2015 by Glasto Weatherwatch

[ThomThomDrum]

All looking OK apart from Sunday, which doesn't sound very nice at the monent. Hopefully it will change. Sunday is usually the sunniest day!

Not the last time the Who and Chems headlined on a Sunday!

[jparx]

Anyone left here? The weather in Bath has taken a bit of a turn and looks like it could chuck it down any minute! Hope the situation is different at the festival. 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Latest GFS for those interested / still reading (bearing in mind this is less accurate now):

 

Thursday as was

Friday rain starting about 1pm, clear by 7-8pm. Couple of mms at worst. 20 degrees.

Sat dry, 21/22.

Sun light rain, heavier rain skirting to North through Wales. Still minor amounts. 20/21/22 degrees.

 

BBC / Met Office still showing mix of light rain and heavy showers through Friday.

 

So basically disagreement as to how much the rain breaks up when the front sweeps across on Friday.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Latest from http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

 

0.7mm on Friday - dry for rest of festival.