Weather thread 2011

[arcade fireman]

THIS looks more like it!!!!!!!

[Gnomicide]

Clouds come floating into my life, no longer to carry rain or usher storm, but to add color to my sunset sky. ~Rabindranath Tagore

[fur_q]

Am i the only one following the 18z GFS as its published.

only up to Sat 18th so far

[Drinky]

What's the link?

[fur_q]

netweather

[Kyelo]

This weekend at Rockness I took a tumble and have royally f**ked my ankle and knee. I am praying to all non-existant gods for it to be at least dry, don't care if it's cold.

[fur_q]

Am i the only one following the 18z GFS as its published.

only up to Sat 18th so far

[iwalker]

An amateur weather forecasting friend of mine is attempting a forecast:

Early Glastonbury Thoughts - Mon 13th June

[Gnomicide]

The Weather Thread? On page 2? For shame!

Slightly cloudy!

It's getting there.

[Guest]

It's a beautiful morning here in Shepton Mallet. The sun is shining and there's not even a slight breeze. Just watch those puddles dry up!!

[Aragorn]

latest GFS run is out - 00Z

It not as good as yesterdays runs but is an outlier for the amount of wetness on 23rd and pressure wise is in the minority with not too many of the other models agreeing with it for the start of the big G. Alot of models appear to be keen to have presssure at around 1020mb for wednesday

The EURO model for 00z is not out yet but tends to be more accurtae that the americano GFS

So still reasons to be positive I would say, the rollercoaster goes on !

[Hinkersbyname]

It's a beautiful morning here in Shepton Mallet. The sun is shining and there's not even a slight breeze. Just watch those puddles dry up!!

[steviewevie]

up to next thurs...not too bad

http://uk.weather.com/weather/10day-Shepton-Mallet-UKXX1735

up to next thurs, some showers wed, and rain thurs

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/forecast2.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&postalcode=BA6%208AE&metric=1

some rain also over the weekend

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/forecast3.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&postalcode=BA6%208AE&metric=1

[Cooter]

heres a nice sunny view!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/music/festivals/glastonbury/webcam/

[THEBOILERMAN]

IT WILL BE SUNNY IT WILL BE DRY IT WILL NOT RA!N

IT WILL BE FU(KING HOT.

NFR NFC.

[bennyboi]

It's a beautiful morning here in Shepton Mallet. The sun is shining and there's not even a slight breeze. Just watch those puddles dry up!!

[Mardy]

This is true centeral somerset is lovely this morning, the heatwave begins?

NFR NFC!!

[Totallypointless]

Well another night shift at the hospital finished and back on here!! Dont know how reliable Meteo weather is, but have to say theirs is looking very fine and dandy, happy to go to bed with no feeling of impending doom!

Tried to copy to this link but just wouldnt happen

[matt_berr]

I'll use this forecast today:

http://uk.weather.com/weather/10day-Glastonbury-UKXX1641

that's better

[clockworkpurple]

I've been in the Land Of No Mobile Reception (aka Devon) for a few days...can someone give me a summary of where we stand? The Bbc long range scares me...

Ps good work on the 40 or so pages posted since friday!

[Party-'Scatter'!]

[devonhammer]

JackOne: On today runs, It is close between a 4 or 5, overall I will go for 5.5 as it is looking mostly dry after the Wednesday, but if it is wet in the build up to the festival, and on the Wednesday, will this mean wet and muddy conditions, even if it remains dry thereafter.

GFS: Rain this Friday then mostly dry in the run up except next Tuesday. Showers over the festival, but nothing heavy. All to play for..

TWO: Rain this Friday. No other serious rain in the run up. Dry festival.

Dutch: Showers untilFriday (that's as far as it goes)

Meteo: Rain this Saturday morning and Tuesday. Showers on Wednesday, otherwise dry.

PositiveWeather Solutions: No update.

GFS Ensemble: Rain this Fri/Sat and next Tuesday, then the majority of models have it dry. The Operational is the only one having substantial rain over the festival.

Met Office: Rain on Saturday and then risk of showers.

ECM: Same pattern of heavy rain Fri/Sat followed by showers, but dry for festival (only goes to the Friday, but there's a high building)

Norwegians: Fri/Sat this week have rain. Showers until Thursday next week (that's as far as it goes)

Normal caveats apply:

1) I know a bit about weather, not a lot about weather

2) You can't predict the weather with any accuracy for more than three days

3) Based on Point 1, Point 2 might be incorrect

[devonhammer]

I've been in the Land Of No Mobile Reception (aka Devon) for a few days...can someone give me a summary of where we stand? The Bbc long range scares me...

Ps good work on the 40 or so pages posted since friday!

[devonhammer]

The models are starting to converge.

Don't worry if it chucks it down on Fri/Sat this week. That's looking pretty likely. Then we are likely to see showers, but nothing more and with sun and cloud, so we could be looking at 2008 scenario.

The test will be whether the drainage can cope with this weekend's rain.

Edited June 14, 2011 by devonhammer

[tinselmouse]

The models are starting to converge.

Don't worry if it chucks it down on Fri/Sat this week. That's looking pretty likely. Then we are likely to see showers, but nothing more and with sun and cloud, so we could be looking at 2008 scenario.

The test will be whether the drainage can cope with this weekend's rain.