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news & politics:discussion


zahidf

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10 minutes ago, mattiloy said:

 

Says the undead Rentoul quoting somebody who maybe heard somebody say it. Ffs.

https://ifs.org.uk/articles/labours-manifesto-spending-plans-are-impossible-cost

Although I disagree with the ifs guy. It is possible to model the effect of the tax and spend, but it would probably be a PhDs worth of work to do so. And pointless if you never get to know the outcome.

based on this

The British General Election of 2017 | SpringerLink

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2 hours ago, lost said:

Not sure where you've read that. The OECD average is 9.2% of GDP we spend 11.3%.

Remember the top countries in europe like Germany and France have a private element so we can't compare apples and oranges. From a purely state funded point of view we are pretty much maxed out.


🙂 I said the lowest per capita. Not the lowest % of gdp.
 

The UKs gdp per capita is lower than most comparable countries - also the most recent % of gdp figure is a bit f**ked anyway because the uk’s gdp took a bigger hit from covid than most during a period where it also spent a f**k ton on health only to get a load of lousy ppe and a sh*tty app. Back in 2019 the total healthcare spend as a % of gdp figure you use (which includes private spending) was around 10%, the state element of that, as per my previous post was around 7% of gdp.

https://amp.theguardian.com/society/2021/aug/04/nhs-drops-from-first-to-fourth-among-rich-countries-healthcare-systems
 

The NHS has punched above its weight given the demand, and the starving of resources for too long. And thats sort of the point, make it sh*t, blame the system, introduce the private sector, all aboard the gravy train. You, the tories, Wes - in it together!

IMG_1285.png

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10 minutes ago, mattiloy said:


🙂 I said the lowest per capita. Not the lowest % of gdp.
 

The UKs gdp per capita is lower than most comparable countries - also the most recent % of gdp figure is a bit f**ked anyway because the uk’s gdp took a bigger hit from covid than most during a period where it also spent a f**k ton on health only to get a load of lousy ppe and a sh*tty app. Back in 2019 the total healthcare spend as a % of gdp figure you use (which includes private spending) was around 10%, the state element of that, as per my previous post was around 7% of gdp.

https://amp.theguardian.com/society/2021/aug/04/nhs-drops-from-first-to-fourth-among-rich-countries-healthcare-systems
 

The NHS has punched above its weight given the demand, and the starving of resources for too long. And thats sort of the point, make it sh*t, blame the system, introduce the private sector,

that's exactly how it goes with nationalised industries cos people/govts always rob the funds from the nationalised industries to pay for other public wants - that's how come they get starved of resources (the resources do get allocated to them, there's just no follow thru when resources are tight).

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I'm off tomorrow to help provide a contacted out service to the NHS . Provided by a charity's volunteers like me, delivering a service which the NHS itself Never provided.

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42 minutes ago, mattiloy said:


🙂 I said the lowest per capita. Not the lowest % of gdp.
 

The UKs gdp per capita is lower than most comparable countries - also the most recent % of gdp figure is a bit f**ked anyway because the uk’s gdp took a bigger hit from covid than most during a period where it also spent a f**k ton on health only to get a load of lousy ppe and a sh*tty app. Back in 2019 the total healthcare spend as a % of gdp figure you use (which includes private spending) was around 10%, the state element of that, as per my previous post was around 7% of gdp.

https://amp.theguardian.com/society/2021/aug/04/nhs-drops-from-first-to-fourth-among-rich-countries-healthcare-systems
 

The NHS has punched above its weight given the demand, and the starving of resources for too long. And thats sort of the point, make it sh*t, blame the system, introduce the private sector, all aboard the gravy train. You, the tories, Wes - in it together!

IMG_1285.png

As far as I can see your graph proves my point. The blue bit is well above the OECD average and puts us in the top 7 for state funding. There doesn't appear to be any comparable country signifcantly higher for state funding and the top countries have completely different systems where the private sector does more of the work.

Edited by lost
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45 minutes ago, lost said:

As far as I can see your graph proves my point. The blue bit is well above the OECD average and puts us in the top 10 for state funding. There doesn't appear to be any comparable country signifcantly higher for state funding and the top countries have completely different systems where the private sector does more of the work.



Thats weird because I thought it proved my point that the UK health system has worsening outcomes because its cash starved.

Yes it is above the OECD average, but so is the UK’s gdp per capita. Dough! I have some good recommendations for primers in statistics if you’d like 👍 

But yeah, lets get down to it. I get what you’re saying.

We agree that there are worsening health outcomes in the UK. You started by backing the Wes Streeting nonsense that efficiencies were sufficient to remediate the issues. But you’ve ended up arguing that the only way to increase the health budget is by introducing an insurance based system. Which fine, its not the end of the world when done like france (Ie, lots of exclusions where poor, vulnerable, long term sick, then the state picks up the tab). But it IS less efficient because then it ends up being just like a means tested tax on working people but with an industry of middle men administrating it.

Just increase tax. Or divert from trident or one of the many other completely useless fiscal black holes.

 

IMG_1286.jpeg

Edited by mattiloy
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18 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

Oooo it’s starting. Sunak will win any VONC but they’ll look even worse. 

Lets hope so. Even if it doesn't get to a vote the infighting will damage them. It was the second story on the bbc news

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3 hours ago, Ryan1984 said:

Doesn’t he do this every other week?

Dunno about him but Tory party is as unstable as it was with major/Howard/Hauge. Same as back then there's no one left who could be a credible leader.

 

different to back then labour has a charisma-free leader.

Edited by Neil
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