U.S. Presidential Election

[steviewevie]

Was going to post about this being cringe when first saw it then found out a bit more about Gus Walz and it is actually really touching...

 

[clarkete]

1 hour ago, steviewevie said:

Was going to post about this being cringe when first saw it then found out a bit more about Gus Walz and it is actually really touching...

 

Yes, pretty much every speaker I've seen has done very well at including a lot of stories about actual people and the struggles they have been through and do go through in the US, but clearly there's also been a very strong emphasis about presenting a positive vision for the future, rather than focussing too much on the negatives of their opponents - indeed in some cases not even naming them.

With the Obamas the night before, then him, Stevie and Oprah last night (as well as countless other with big followings who reach out to different demographics) it's going to be interesting to see if there's any impact on the polls next week and thereafter.

[steviewevie]

1 hour ago, clarkete said:

With the Obamas the night before, then him, Stevie and Oprah last night (as well as countless other with big followings who reach out to different demographics) it's going to be interesting to see if there's any impact on the polls next week and thereafter.

😎

[steviewevie]

 

[charlierc]

Anyone else getting so in the weeds with US politics stuff that they're getting adverts to vote from abroad in these US elections?

 

Might be difficult as someone who's never visited America to take part. Much as it's kind of them to invite me.

[charlierc]

9 hours ago, FloopFiller said:

RFK Jr seemingly dropping out on Friday and endorsing Trump. No idea how much this actually moves the needle as I  assumed most of his base were going with him because he wasn’t Trump, but I guess we shall see.

I assume there'll be a split in the proportions with some to Trump, some to Harris and some either joining third parties or not bothering.

 

4-5%, which is what he was on, could still provide a balance tilt either way tbf.

[FloopFiller]

Apparently a huge secret guest at the DNC tonight. Think Beyonce makes sense given she’s soundtracking the campaign, although seeing lots of people speculate it’s gonna be Taylor, although I’m beginning to think she might stay out of it this time, or at least wouldn’t want to get this involved. 

[steviewevie]

[Crazyfool01]

53 minutes ago, FloopFiller said:

Apparently a huge secret guest at the DNC tonight. Think Beyonce makes sense given she’s soundtracking the campaign, although seeing lots of people speculate it’s gonna be Taylor, although I’m beginning to think she might stay out of it this time, or at least wouldn’t want to get this involved. 

is her jet not trackable anymore ? 

[FloopFiller]

1 hour ago, Crazyfool01 said:

is her jet not trackable anymore ? 

Latest one is her landing in Nashville from London yesterday.

[clarkete]

7 hours ago, steviewevie said:

 

 

Powerful stuff.   Given some reports suggest they're on the way to 500m in their campaign fund, presumably it will be on a lot. 

[clarkete]

6 hours ago, charlierc said:

I assume there'll be a split in the proportions with some to Trump, some to Harris and some either joining third parties or not bothering.

 

4-5%, which is what he was on, could still provide a balance tilt either way tbf.

 

Some reference at the bottom to how those numbers may change since Biden stepped down 

 

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rfk-jrs-exit-help-trump-according-polls-rcna167539

 

[FloopFiller]

Well the special guest rumours proved to be a load of bollocks so not sure why so many usually reliable sources seemed so sure of it happening, but Kamala’s speech seemed to go down well at least, although still getting the expected grumblings from the staunch pro-Palestine groups.

[steviewevie]

[FloopFiller]

My favourite from last night 

 

[steviewevie]

2 hours ago, FloopFiller said:

Well the special guest rumours proved to be a load of bollocks so not sure why so many usually reliable sources seemed so sure of it happening, but Kamala’s speech seemed to go down well at least, although still getting the expected grumblings from the staunch pro-Palestine groups.

yeah I think they missed a trick not having a Palestinian speaker, someone who isn't going to call Biden genocide Joe or say from the river to the sea Palestine will be free or talk about Zionist control or Israel lobby or aipac etc etc, and they could condemn Hamas and talk about freeing hostages...but just to bring home on a human level the catastrophe that is happening in Gaza and that US should do all in their power to bring about a ceasefire and the importance of a two state solution. But they didn't, and that will put some potential voters off which they may need.

Maybe the ongoing ceasefire negotiations and how delicate it all is is a big factor.

[steviewevie]

Harris on Israel/Gaza...

 

[steviewevie]

Anyway, after all the optimism and cheering it will now be down to the campaign, policies, debates...and an October surprise...and it still looks like it's going to be close and will be down to a few hundred thousand in a few states.

Going to be a bit of a downer if Trump still ends up winning!

[clarkete]

34 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Maybe the ongoing ceasefire negotiations and how delicate it all is is a big factor.

 

Aye, don't think that would have won more votes than it would have risked losing. 

 

It's clearly not the place for complex subjects or nuanced debate. 

[LJS]

5 hours ago, clarkete said:

 

Aye, don't think that would have won more votes than it would have risked losing. 

 

It's clearly not the place for complex subjects or nuanced debate. 

i guess they are calculating that if you are if you are concerned about what is happening in Gaza, you're not going to vote for Trump.

Its sh*tty but its politics.

[steviewevie]

11 minutes ago, LJS said:

i guess they are calculating that if you are if you are concerned about what is happening in Gaza, you're not going to vote for Trump.

Its sh*tty but its politics.

you may not vote for anyone (or vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West)

[clarkete]

2 hours ago, LJS said:

i guess they are calculating that if you are if you are concerned about what is happening in Gaza, you're not going to vote for Trump.

Its sh*tty but its politics.

 

Not just politics though is it, it's the nature of that particular subject, which I certainly have no intention of bringing up here, as not least I don't have the clarity of expression to do it justice.

Seeing what happened with some of the US protests, or the reaction to some here, or to artists here who've tried to broach the subject things so easily go OTT, even when someone clearly starts with the best of intentions.

In terms of the US election where we know that they had to get a campaign for her  up running in a short number of weeks and come from behind,  they've doubtless got a team behind the scenes saying they'd be lucky to win at all, so they've clearly thrown everything at putting on a good positive show this week.

[charlierc]

15 hours ago, clarkete said:

 

Some reference at the bottom to how those numbers may change since Biden stepped down 

 

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rfk-jrs-exit-help-trump-according-polls-rcna167539

 

Tbf I was not under the assumption they'd all be a homogenous block - would imagine some will side with Trump, some with Harris and some either with other third parties or not bother.

[steviewevie]

 

[charlierc]

10 hours ago, steviewevie said:

Anyway, after all the optimism and cheering it will now be down to the campaign, policies, debates...and an October surprise...and it still looks like it's going to be close and will be down to a few hundred thousand in a few states.

Going to be a bit of a downer if Trump still ends up winning!

Is there a likelihood for a surprise bigger than what's already been seen this year? The Republican candidate is someone who looked finished after being blamed for their underperformance in the 2022 mid-terms and who this year has been both convicted and shot, while the Democrat candidate is their Plan B.