Weather thread 2015

[devonhammer]

We've got GFS, yr.no and ECM all looking good now. Predominantly cloudy with the occasional light shower (probably Friday) and occasional sun. The high over Greenland is still breaking down.

There is still an Atlantic low to worry about, so no chicken counting.

Edited June 21, 2015 by devonhammer

[spursfan77]

I see your BBC and raise you yr.no

 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Shepton_Mallet~2638035/long.html

I'll go with whatever the best forecast is!

Bbc usually are pretty good but they did forecast rain all day in south london yesterday and it only rained for about 5 minutes, if that. So you never know.

[pedmills]

The website forecasts are looking very good this morning. They'll probably look even better when accuweather updates this afternoon.

[A Guy Called Matt]

The website forecasts are looking very good this morning. They'll probably look even better when accuweather updates this afternoon.

 

Marry Me

[pedmills]

 

 

 

It's only accuweather that isn't look great at the moment, and that's probably because it updates later than others.

[A Guy Called Matt]

yr has just been updated and now shows some rain for Sunday

 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

[briddj]

We can be pretty certain in around 48 hours, but it's looking very good. The charts are no longer volatile and the low which has been threatening us has pushed away. It would take a collapse of Newcastle-Arsenal proportions for us to lose now.

[briddj]

yr has just been updated and now shows some rain for Sunday

 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

 

That's what the charts say, but much later on Sunday like the end of the day.

[Alcatraz]

The website forecasts are looking very good this morning. They'll probably look even better when accuweather updates this afternoon.

That is a very sexy trend

[frostypaw]

yr has just been updated and now shows some rain for Sunday

 

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Pilton~7292387/long.html

I'll appreciate 1.3mm by then - to keep the *shhhhh* can't say it

[musky]

From the Netweather thread:

MY THOUGHTS This morning's output maintains the relatively quiet theme weatherwise across the UK for the next few weeks. The basic pattern remains for the bank of High pressure to the SW to persist but with a slight shift of orientation to the ridge further South than of late sufficient enough to help engage more very warm air at times up over Southern Britain from the SW through the period. It is hard to say whether this would mean sunny and sultry conditions or cloudy and humid but the chance of some very high temperatures in the South at times over the next few weeks is possible albeit with the proviso that the odd thunderstorm could break out as weak troughs from the West and NW engage the hot and humid air at times. The North and West of the UK look more traditionally characterized by slightly breezier conditions with rain at times and temperatures close to average but even here some warmth could spread up from the South at times. So all in all a very typical pattern for the time of year with a lot of benign but very acceptable weather for most with the South and East fairing best while the North and West have the biggest share of any rain that's going and even here some dry periods can be expected.

Bear in mind that he's talking about the next couple of weeks, but there's still the possibility of thunder if the lows from the North push southwards. Currently all the other charts for next weekend look good, so whilst we may see some light rain things are looking very positive overall.

[majormajormajor]

We can be pretty certain in around 48 hours, but it's looking very good. The charts are no longer volatile and the low which has been threatening us has pushed away. It would take a collapse of Newcastle-Arsenal proportions for us to lose now.

 

Not really, more like being 2-0 up and then collapsing. A slight shift in the jetstream and that low will shit all over us.

Edited June 21, 2015 by majormajormajor

[A Guy Called Matt]

Not really, more like being 2-0 down and then collapsing. A slight shift in the jetstream and that low will shit all over us.

 

if you add the words 'We are fucked' then you are The Nal and I claim my £5

[majormajormajor]

if you add the words 'We are fucked' then you are The Nal and I claim my £5

 

Just saying it's still volatile, not that we're fucked. People are saying it's 2010 again, but people need to calm down!

 

Could well be absolutely delightful, but then again it might not be. I'm on the fence.

[Likearollingstone]

We can be pretty certain in around 48 hours, but it's looking very good. The charts are no longer volatile and the low which has been threatening us has pushed away. It would take a collapse of Newcastle-Arsenal proportions for us to lose now.

 

I hope you're right.

 

My group have been moaning about accuweather for weeks now.

 

Things are looking positive. Or we could be Tottenham 3-0 up at Old Trafford.

Edited June 21, 2015 by Likearollingstone

[devonhammer]

Carlton Cole and Joey O'Brien have been brought on to shore up the win..

Never fills me with the greatest confidence. Thankfully Julian Dicks has just come on, and is that Bobby Moore I see warming up?

[Titters2]

I feel like an England supporter going into a World Cup.

[mungo57]

As a Watford fan, I know it's not over until it's over, we lost 1st place with the last kick of the game because a fan chucked a flare on the pitch and distracted the players momentarily.

Even at 5-2 with 10 minutes to go we need to focus and not do anything stupid, let's take off a striker and switch to a 4-5-1.

Good to see another hornet on here - welcome!

[devonhammer]

Just saying it's still volatile, not that we're fucked. People are saying it's 2010 again, but people need to calm down!

Could well be absolutely delightful, but then again it might not be. I'm on the fence.

I'm not exactly on the fence, but I'm leaning against it.

I can't see anything being nailed on this year with that Atlantic low, but it looks promising for mostly dry and overcast which keeps everyone happy.

[Likearollingstone]

I feel like an England supporter going into a World Cup.

Okay so now we are fucked. The sun's broken a 'metatarsal' and the Atlantic low is banging them in for fun.

[briddj]

I'd be less confident if we hadn't started to lose the volatility in the charts. Like I said above in my post though, the next 48 hours will tell us a lot more. Let's hope we stay on this current track. (I've never suggested it is going to be 2010 btw, nor do I think I'd want it to be that warm).

Edited June 21, 2015 by briddj

[st dan]

I'm not exactly on the fence, but I'm leaning against it.

I can't see anything being nailed on this year with that Atlantic low, but it looks promising for mostly dry and overcast which keeps everyone happy.

Dry and sunny would keep a lot more people happy!

It's currently dry and overcast here up north, but it's bloody freezing! Especially for the middle of summer!!

[Jakkkkobz]

We can be pretty sure we wont be as fucked as firefly festival http://www.nme.com/news/kings-of-leon/86344

[frostypaw]

We can be pretty sure we wont be as fucked as firefly festival http://www.nme.com/news/kings-of-leon/86344

Their weather thread next year will be spectacular

[Spindles]

We can be pretty sure we wont be as fucked as firefly festival http://www.nme.com/news/kings-of-leon/86344

90,000 people at a festival expected to pack up and sit in their vehicles?  Does no one go by public transport? That's the most ludicrous reaction to weather I've read.