Weather thread 2011

[grumpyhack]

Latest 30 day forecast from the Met Office takes us to the start of Glasto:

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Jun 2011 to Wednesday 22 Jun 2011:

For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to or below average for the time of year for most parts of the UK. Sunshine is likely to be above average for the most part and this will help temperatures to be above average, or even well above the average in some areas, for much of the period, especially in the south.

Updated: 1128 on Tue 24 May 2011

Looks good to me.

[Aragorn]

Next week we'll be able to get more forcasts. The Met Office website has a forcast upto a month in advance. Although this does change a bit, everything is pointing towards pretty good on this thread!

[THEBOILERMAN]

IT WILL NOT RAIN, IT WILL BE DRY, IT WILL BE SUNNY,

IT WILL BE F**KING HOT.

repeat this every day

[devonhammer]

Weather geek warning. This next bit might be a bit nerdy:

[Geeky bit]

I've been asking JackOne a few questions on the NetWeather forums and he has been very helpful. He linked to a chart showing the anomaly correlations (difference from actual weather) of the different models. I searched around the NOAA site further and I found this. From here you can see the accuracy of the main models. The most interesting thing is that the EC model is far and away the best, but the thing which surprised me was that the UK Met Office is only slightly better than GFS - I'd previously thought it was much better. This should probably be taken with a pinch of salt as they produce the GFS forecasts. Furthermore it is quite likely that UKMO is much more accurate for the UK, but the data is for the entire Northern Hemisphere.

[/Geeky bit]

In summary the EC models are by far the best.

If that gave you a headache, then here's some Germans:

[guypjfreak]

Weather geek warning. This next bit might be a bit nerdy:

[Geeky bit]

I've been asking JackOne a few questions on the NetWeather forums and he has been very helpful. He linked to a chart showing the anomaly correlations (difference from actual weather) of the different models. I searched around the NOAA site further and I found this. From here you can see the accuracy of the main models. The most interesting thing is that the EC model is far and away the best, but the thing which surprised me was that the UK Met Office is only slightly better than GFS - I'd previously thought it was much better. This should probably be taken with a pinch of salt as they produce the GFS forecasts. Furthermore it is quite likely that UKMO is much more accurate for the UK, but the data is for the entire Northern Hemisphere.

[/Geeky bit]

In summary the EC models are by far the best.

If that gave you a headache, then here's some Germans:

[Alcatraz]

If that gave you a headache, then here's some Germans:

[bennyboi]

may be geeky old son but love the legs

HOT HOT HOT

can anyone tell me the advert that that comes from its doing mine [and the wifes] head in

[Alcatraz]

Subway ad I think

[guypjfreak]

thats it thanks old sons and thats wot glastos going to be

JALAPENO HOT HOT HOT

Edited May 25, 2011 by guypjfreak

[Spindles]

I am loving your constant enthusiasm and optimism Guy. I 100% agree with you. Based on nothing more than my own experience I am predicting something between 2008 and 2000's weather (intermittent cloud in the mornings, brilliant sunshine in the afternoons, warm nights)

Pack your sunblock, pack your hat, leave your wellies at home. It's going to be Jalapeno Hot hot hot!

[Josepipe]

Cold as in 15 or cold as in 2?

[clockworkpurple]

Cold as in 15 or cold as in 2?

[clockworkpurple]

I am loving your constant enthusiasm and optimism Guy. I 100% agree with you. Based on nothing more than my own experience I am predicting something between 2008 and 2000's weather (intermittent cloud in the mornings, brilliant sunshine in the afternoons, warm nights)

Pack your sunblock, pack your hat, leave your wellies at home. It's going to be Jalapeno Hot hot hot!

[Glastoboy]

[Spindles]

NEVER leave your wellies at home: it enrages the weather gods and causes 2005-esque downpours.

Come prepared for monsoon and it'll be German volleyball teams all the way:

[Glasto Mad]

NEVER leave your wellies at home: it enrages the weather gods and causes 2005-esque downpours.

Come prepared for monsoon and it'll be German volleyball teams all the way:

[bamber]

It is truly time to start posting all things German. It worked a treat last year so is therefore proven as 100% scientifically valid.

[ukslim]

You must only post a German girl when a good forecast is posted.

And likewise, a Frenchman when a bad forecast is posted.

This tells nature which forecasts to model itself upon.

[Alcatraz]

Bastian Schweinsteiger's girlfriend

I will be posting many photos of her because she is HOT HOT HOT

Edited May 25, 2011 by Alcatraz

[bamber]

You must only post a German girl when a good forecast is posted.

And likewise, a Frenchman when a bad forecast is posted.

This tells nature which forecasts to model itself upon.

[devonhammer]

What are these "bad forecasts" of which you speak?

[devonhammer]

Bastian Schweinsteiger's girlfriend

I will be posting many photos of her because she is HOT HOT HOT

Edited May 25, 2011 by devonhammer

[Alcatraz]

PS Let's not get too sexist here. The first picture of a German last year was Herr Flick. Nothing wrong with a few lovelies, but if Einstein or Kraftwerk are more your bag, then go for it.

[devonhammer]

This better?

[scorp]

Cold as in 15 or cold as in 2?