Weather

[beltin]

German was good and French was bad? Pictures have to be suitable for all demographics!

[bigfurbdogg]

Yes.

[airwaves]

Today's update

Metcheck are forecasting 0.6mm on the monday, 3.6mm on the tuesday, 7.7mm on the wednesday, 1.1mm on the thursday, 3.2mm on the friday, 3.2mm on the saturday, 0.4mm on the sunday.

= Not great but could be a lot worse - showers here and there.

Accuweather are forecasting 0mm on the monday, 1mm on the tuesday, 0mm on the wednesday, 0mm on the thursday, 7mm on the friday, 0mm on the saturday, 0mm on the sunday.

= A very dry festival, except for showers on Friday.

Netweather say there will be 0mm on monday, 0mm on tuesday, maybe some showers on wednesday, some showers on thursday, maybe some showers on friday, maybe some showers on saturday, maybe some showers on sunday.

= Not too bad, showers here and there.

The Weather Outlook forecast 8.1mm on the monday, 3.6mm on the tuesday , 0mm on the wednesday, 0mm on the thursday, 0mm on the friday, 3.6mm on the saturday, 6mm on the sunday.

= Some showers at the end, but mostly dry.

The BBC say it will drier and brighter in the south but with bands of light rain.

The Met Office says the west of the country will start drier but then get wetter.

The Weather Channel say that there is a 20% chain of rain on monday, 10% on tuesday, 10% on wednesday, 0% on Thursday, 10% on friday - no forecasts after that yet.

yr.no forecast 0.5mm on monday, 0mm on tuesday, 1.4mm on wednesday, 1.3mm on Thursday, 7.7mm - no forecast after that yet.

Weather Online won't release the 14-day forecasts for local areas for free, but for London they forecast 0mm until sunday which has 0.3mm.

Weather-wherever forecast 0mm on monday, 0mm on tuesday, 0mm on wednesday, 0mm on thursday, 0mm on friday, 0.4mm on Saturday, 0mm on Sunday.

= A completely dry festival.

Conclusion: Worse than yesterday’s forecasts, but still not too bad. Light showers are predicted, but they shouldn’t cause much of a mudbath.

I'll keep doing these summaries every day to save everyone from scrawling around different sites.

[sinhala]

German was good and French was bad? Pictures have to be suitable for all demographics!

[Verbal]

IIRC there was talk one year of a French Fingering and a German Plume approaching from the South-West and bringing warmth during the festival.

It sparked lots of pictures of beer-toting frauleines at German beer festivals.

Although it all got a bit racey and we had our wrists slapped.

Twas good fun whilst it lasted though !

[Filthy]

[briddj]

IIRC there was talk one year of a French Fingering and a German Plume approaching from the South-West and bringing warmth during the festival.

It sparked lots of pictures of beer-toting frauleines at German beer festivals.

Although it all got a bit racey and we had our wrists slapped.

Twas good fun whilst it lasted though !

[TokiDoki]

The 06z GFS has the operational and control runs as even bigger outliers:

[bigfurbdogg]

Is this good or bad news liquuid? The picture won't load at work.

[TheNewUnion]

I have no idea what that means.

[hulk mike]

I have no idea what that means.

[Krazypinkminx]

Over my head

[TheNewUnion]

agreed

[Taikonaut]

Quick I'm skiving at work, give me the latest outlook in 2-3 words!

[TheNewUnion]

Pure speculation, outliers the "freak results" and therefore classified thus. Meaning that the other "stuff" is starting to settle down and therefore become more likely to occur?

Or perhaps the opposite?

[Christophales]

High pressure generally means less rain, so that chart suggests we will have decent, but deteriorating, weather during the festival

[garethslee]

Quick I'm skiving at work, give me the latest outlook in 2-3 words!

[wilko8]

Quick I'm skiving at work, give me the latest outlook in 2-3 words!

[Taikonaut]

There will be weather

[Glastonlocal]

The 06z GFS has the operational and control runs as even bigger outliers:

[General Lee]

There will be weather

[TokiDoki]

Every 6 hours they re-run the weather model a whole load of times, but only the bold green "operational" run is used in the forecasts you see online. So all forecasts derived from the 06am run will show low pressure (and unsettled weather) coming in around the 29th. But most of the other runs are much more optimistic, so the operational is known as an outlier. It means theres a good chance it won't be correct.

However slightly worrying the 00z run also showed the operational as a big low pressure outlier, so we need to see what happens in the next few models runs regarding that - will the other runs also start going for low pressure, or will the low pressure scenario disappear?

Edited June 19, 2013 by liquuid_fusion

[Glastonlocal]

my votes with dissapear.

[Stu H]

[Ed209]

Still one of the funniest things i've ever seen on the internet - still tickles me!