Weather thread 2010

[3puddings]

Wow! Thanks for the explanations! That's really taught me something (and not to worry when everyone is predicting rain!!)

Sweeeeeeeeet! I already get told off by people for knowing anything about weather, this will get me lynched! YES!!!

[jezzer]

and while we're at it GFS is the Global Forecast System provided by NOAA. They provide free data for 2 weeks worldwide which is then used by every forecast site(Metcheck, Netweather, Accuweather etc.) except the Met Office (or equivalents in other countries). The only reason the forecasts on most sites vary is what they do with the data - Metcheck pretty much send it as is, some have more advanced computer systems, Netweather have real people.

The main thing is that we only have two forecasts this far out, GFS and Met Office. Don't think that just because a load of websites predict rain that it means they are right. They are all using the same source data, therefore the Met Office is as important as all the others combined.

ECM is the Eurpoean Centre for Medium range weather forecasts. Most people on Netweather rate the ECM highest, followed by Met Office, followed by GFS. ECM only predict for 10 days and once this comes within range you can find it [url="http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium%2

[xploit]

Smile lads, the rain is coming now so it can be out of the system in time for the festival - we'll have a nice sunny one

[ukdaasfan]

2000 was fine except the Thursday night.

I'd class it as 'only just acceptable' if offered that a week before the festival and all looked like going to shit.

[Langdale Wolf]

I said since 2000, I wasn't at 2000. So in the alst decade I have been twice and both times it has tipped it down.

Maybe I should stay at home for the greater good.

[fdc]

Among many other achievements that Glastonbury can be proud of, turning music fans into seasoned weather experts is another one to add to the list!

[4AssedMonkey]

and while we're at it GFS is the Global Forecast System provided by NOAA. They provide free data for 2 weeks worldwide which is then used by every forecast site(Metcheck, Netweather, Accuweather etc.) except the Met Office (or equivalents in other countries). The only reason the forecasts on most sites vary is what they do with the data - Metcheck pretty much send it as is, some have more advanced computer systems, Netweather have real people.

The main thing is that we only have two forecasts this far out, GFS and Met Office. Don't think that just because a load of websites predict rain that it means they are right. They are all using the same source data, therefore the Met Office is as important as all the others combined.

ECM is the Eurpoean Centre for Medium range weather forecasts. Most people on Netweather rate the ECM highest, followed by Met Office, followed by GFS. ECM only predict for 10 days and once this comes within range you can find it here.

[ministe2003]

Weather Outlook now showing a lovely week in the build up to the start of the festy although it's only up to the 25th, and the temperature is falling as is the pressure. teases not showing the weekend!

Edited June 10, 2010 by ministe2003

[scorp]

Weather chart countdown...this site updated daily [ever a.m.]. so far, it's out to sunday .

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9panel/gfsx...9panel_eur.html

The further out it is, the less reliable it is. But sometimes the 10 days out is spot on when it actually arrives :-)

[devonhammer]

So all forecasts any further out than 10 days (apart from the Met office) are an interpretation of some data given out by a bunch of septics for free? I realise this isn't quite worthless but it's probably not far off. American organisations in my experience aren't that altruistic. If it was worth selling, they'd sell it, not give it away.

[ministe2003]

Weather chart countdown...this site updated daily [ever a.m.]. so far, it's out to sunday .

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9panel/gfsx...9panel_eur.html

The further out it is, the less reliable it is. But sometimes the 10 days out is spot on when it actually arrives :-)

[fdc]

Doesnt look too bad based on that

[Langdale Wolf]

All I can see is a collection of 1960s style psychedelic patterns.

[bobtron]

despite numerous attempts to make it earlier, last year was my first foray into the world of glastonbury. for several years before i always managed to miss out some way or another, which was all the more annoying as pretty much all my mates went each year.

by far the most annoying year was 2007 as the line up looked very good to my eyes and every single one of them got tickets. while i had made the stupid decision to go travelling around central and south america.

my green eyed monster took over and i placed a curse upon them all, that they would be drenched to the bone over the weekend, as if beelzebub himself had been on 2 week bender without breaking the seal, before releasing his swollen bladder all over their stupid monkey faces. and to properly teach them their lesson, when i finally popped my pilton cherry, it would be to a festival that would consider the term 'cloud' as a strange and confusing prospect.

alas, i missed 2008, and by the early hours of friday last year i was beginning to question my status as walking talking drinking smoking deity amongst men. however, this year i am going with my girlfriend and her mates, not one of my scurvy bunch within 60 miles of the pyramid stage. and my how i will laugh at each one of them hysterically down my phone during the weekend while sunning myself in front one stage or another. and oh what a moment it will be when i realise my battery has been dead for days.

but anyway, i digest...

based on this unfullfilled pact i made with Quetzalcoatl (Kukulcan kept his end) up on the top of teotihuacan, and the knowledge that silly friends are to silly to get tickets for this years festival, i can happily give the confirmed weather report for this years glastonbury as.....

Sun, sprinkled with large spatterings of fun.

pah! who needs science

[fdc]

despite numerous attempts to make it earlier, last year was my first foray into the world of glastonbury. for several years before i always managed to miss out some way or another, which was all the more annoying as pretty much all my mates went each year.

by far the most annoying year was 2007 as the line up looked very good to my eyes and every single one of them got tickets. while i had made the stupid decision to go travelling around central and south america.

my green eyed monster took over and i placed a curse upon them all, that they would be drenched to the bone over the weekend, as if beelzebub himself had been on 2 week bender without breaking the seal, before releasing his swollen bladder all over their stupid monkey faces. and to properly teach them their lesson, when i finally popped my pilton cherry, it would be to a festival that would consider the term 'cloud' as a strange and confusing prospect.

alas, i missed 2008, and by the early hours of friday last year i was beginning to question my status as walking talking drinking smoking deity amongst men. however, this year i am going with my girlfriend and her mates, not one of my scurvy bunch within 60 miles of the pyramid stage. and my how i will laugh at each one of them hysterically down my phone during the weekend while sunning myself in front one stage or another. and oh what a moment it will be when i realise my battery has been dead for days.

but anyway, i digest...

based on this unfullfilled pact i made with Quetzalcoatl (Kukulcan kept his end) up on the top of teotihuacan, and the knowledge that silly friends are to silly to get tickets for this years festival, i can happily give the confirmed weather report for this years glastonbury as.....

Sun, sprinkled with large spatterings of fun.

pah! who needs science

[devonhammer]

Bobtron, do we need to do anything special to worship you or will you bless us with good weather through your presence alone?

Also, are you more powerful than the posters rain goddess girlfriend (mentioned many pages ago)?

[bamber]

For some reason, they're legally forced to give it away. Other than that, you're spot on. There really is no point in looking for another week although I will check every GFS run because I can't help myself

[sprocketrocket]

Interesting stuff. I would've thought with the new freedom of infomation deelies they'd have to release this info.

[Messiah Jason]

My friends having a birthday bbq today and it definatly is raining, even though he's not going to glastonbury can this count as some sort of sacrifice to the gods of weather? I'll be in attendance atleast and my burgers might get soggy.

[bobtron]

Bobtron, do we need to do anything special to worship you or will you bless us with good weather through your presence alone?

Also, are you more powerful than the posters rain goddess girlfriend (mentioned many pages ago)?

[clockworkpurple]

despite numerous attempts to make it earlier, last year was my first foray into the world of glastonbury. for several years before i always managed to miss out some way or another, which was all the more annoying as pretty much all my mates went each year.

~~snip~~

Sun, sprinkled with large spatterings of fun.

pah! who needs science

Edited June 10, 2010 by clockworkpurple

[amfy]

Oh please somebody help me!

Until I get a definitive "It's going to be sunny" from someone, i'm not going to get any work done!

[Langdale Wolf]

Splendid!

BTW, how do you get the stats for number of posts in a thread? I know it's possible, and I've done it before, but i'm buggered if i can find it now...

EDIT: Don't worry, sussed it...

[devonhammer]

Please see my rant earlier in this thread regarding this. The GFS is the main US model that most of their domestic and international forecasts are based on. It is funded like the UK Met Office out of general taxation, so the data is rightfully made available free of charge to any organisation, US or International who wishes to use it. This is freedom of information in action. I have for many years attempted to persuade the UK Met office to release their data to me (for non-commercial surf forecasts) but they have consistently refused to do so. They argue that the data is valuable and it is the governments interest to recoup money whenever possible. My gripe is that all the data is already paid for out of taxation, so paying for the data for non-commercial use means that I would I would in effect be paying for it twice. The WMO (World Meteorological Organization) enforces a minimum requirement of data that has to made publicly available (for safety reasons due to severe weather events) and the UK Met Office begrudgingly releases this and nothing more.

[glastofever]

Oh please somebody help me!

Until I get a definitive "It's going to be sunny" from someone, i'm not going to get any work done!