UK Politics

steviewevie · 2026-08-04T08:55:22Z

No Burnham bounce with yougov

lost · 2026-08-04T09:50:13Z

Thats a weekly one isn't it? He's been PM for two weeks and its been known longer than that. Labour , greens , lib dem's all seemed to be converging around 16/17% beforehand are now labour are breaking away.

The polls showing labour ahead have the lib dems down at something like 8%. I guessing as Burnham announces more blue labour policies like restarting north sea drilling those two parties will start to claw back a few of the voters they've lost.

Edited 3 hours ago by lost

xxialac · 2026-08-04T09:54:20Z

I don't think he will announce restarting north sea drilling.

He'll hint at it instead and kick it down the road.

And the plan isn't for new licenses anyway.

steviewevie · 2026-08-04T11:15:12Z

yougov seems to be the outlier when it comes to the Burnham bounce.

But also, being a bounce, it was never going to last, but with Reform maybe on the way down, and Tories holding steady, we could end up with Reform, Labour and Tories all between 20 and 25% for a while. A lot of it at moment with Burnham is vibes, and the vibes are currently sexy and are pulling support back from Greens, but the autumn budget is key...will they go big and bold, or will they do very little because they're thinking a 2027 general election?