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The Weather Thread 2024


airwaves

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Genuine question: what is the point of looking at the models at this stage when they're constantly jumping around so widely? Everyone in here is going from euphoria to misery and back again every few hours - surely better to admit it's totally unreliable now and check a couple of days out?

 

 

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what is the point of looking at the models at this stage when they're constantly jumping around so widely?


It's a bit like people getting their hopes up about England in the early stages of a tournament. Some people just enjoy the ride.

Edited by johnleeds
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Be afraid .... be very afraid ... it's the 12Z ...


THROUGH TO GATES OPEN


The usual small amount of rain on Friday night, then dry until ... Tuesday!

 

The low comes in earlier on this run, bringing a weather system of heavy rain close to the site on Tuesday morning. Almost all of this misses the site and hits further north, but it's a nasty picture before gates open.

 

image.thumb.png.f4a842dfc8049119b96bf8302d0e2458.png

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Dry for gates open. Highs of 15-16.

 

image.thumb.png.4fe99950496ad3fd2b654964e9835606.png

 

Stays dry during the day, but highs of just 17-18.

 

Overnight temps into Thursday of just 10-11.

 

image.thumb.png.9776ee8e0f82644f5c8798391584b4e1.png

 

The low pressure is more pronounced, but it DOES appear to be retreating on this run, which is on the right.

 

image.thumb.png.8725a96f50a8a941c1ab2a2d86e94672.png

 

THURSDAY

 

Very, very small amount of rain about. Nothing of note. Highs of 19-20.

 

Overnight temps into Friday of just 9-10. Brrr.

 

image.thumb.png.4ffb94c3915142e0f42de92593992c5c.png

 

Signs of hope! The high pressure looks to be trying to build in again!

 

Latest on the right, where that little pocket of hell does NOT develop.

 

image.thumb.png.c079d0bd646591cee5718ccd67d74abf.png

FRIDAY

 

Totally dry day, with Scotland and northern England getting a drenching. Highs at Glasto of only 16-17. CHILLY

 

Overnight temps into Saturday of 14 - improving.

 

image.thumb.png.615af6eb6aad3224682b6d3388ab5167.png

 

No green goblin on this run, but the high pressure is struggling to make the breakthrough on Friday.

 

image.thumb.png.3d37bc85b309fa2b58c48f7aa9aa7cf0.png

 

SATURDAY

 

Totally dry, but highs (you what?) of 16-17!

 

Overnight temps into Sunday of, er, 8-9.

 

 

image.thumb.png.35b8abd827d90e52d4c4355819a80793.png

 

Unfortunately the high is retreating, with a pocket of low developing in the Irish sea.

 

image.thumb.png.7fa38c088aa29581d12378ea4d426802.png

 

SUNDAY

 

Essentially dry again, but with highs of just 16!

 

Overnight temps into Monday of 10-11.

 

image.thumb.png.f73d6fabf74e652b10cfd8184f999356.png

 

A similar kind of low to the 06Z, but it's developed from a completely different area.

 

image.thumb.png.74128fd43816cf123ef7474703561a2d.png

SUMMARY

 

This is a better run in terms of the position of the high pressure, but it never manages to build in and temperatures are suppressed by the low to the north of Scotland.

 

It's an interesting run which gives hope, if not much joy.

 

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