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news & politics:discussion


zahidf

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7 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

a lot has changed since then...and a lot might change before next election...

That is the case plus I don’t think some really get how historic Labour getting a majority next time would be given the scale of the swing needed. 

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4 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

for me after Boris they were very much going to struggle, lots thats happened since has been predicted ( minus the car crash mini budget ) ... and yeah things can change of course 

Yeah Johnson was obviously flawed in that he was a total twat, but he also understood the new coalition of voters the tory party had after brexit which seems to be totally lost on Truss.

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7 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

That is the case plus I don’t think some really get how historic Labour getting a majority next time would be given the scale of the swing needed. 

no I  just needed to look at how the polling is going which you post at least once per day  ? please dont refer to me as some when you are clearly referring to me ... I just pressed reveal on this post as I knew you had replied to it . please quote the person you reply to rather than the generic some people comment ... Thanks 

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I’m just glad that people are starting to see in Starmer what I saw in him. I always thought I’d given the chance he’d be able to win people round. It’s not a done deal yet but great progress has been made. 

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2 minutes ago, Crazyfool01 said:

no I  just needed to look at how the polling is going which you post at least once per day  ? please dont refer to me as some when you are clearly referring to me ... I just pressed reveal on this post as I knew you had replied to it . 

I don’t think that’s what you said because at the time the polling didn’t point to what you were saying but ok. 

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3 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

I would prefer Johnson to Truss, I think she is a disaster (but obviously v good for labour as some predicted!).

He was at least better on the environment although still nowhere near good enough. 

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1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

he was, and at least he understood that there needs to be some sort of redistribution of wealth in this country.

Bring Back Boris.

He understood it but was never going to actually redistribute the wealth though 😉

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4 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

He understood it but was never going to actually redistribute the wealth though 😉

He appointed Gove to levelling up minister...whether that was to damage Gove or to put some serious thought into the matter is another question. The problem was that in the end levelling up meant redistibuting money to deprived areas and less money to wealthier areas...so instead Johnson promised everyone would just get wealthier...somehow...

Hard to know how much was Boris and how much was Cummings.

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Just now, steviewevie said:

He appointed Gove to levelling up minister...whether that was to damage Gove or to put some serious thought into the matter is another question. The problem was that in the end levelling up meant redistibuting money to deprived areas and less money to wealthier areas...so instead Johnson promised everyone would just get wealthier...somehow...

Hard to know how much was Boris and how much was Cummings.

I dunno man I have massive reservations on whether levelling would’ve led to any tangible benefits.

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21 hours ago, Kurosagi said:

A general election right now would be an appalling idea, the last thing we need is another couple of months of no govt. Effectively we've had bugger all govt this year at all. The first six months were dominated by that idiot Johnson and his operation save big dog, then paralysis with a leadership campaign, then the royal death hysteria, then the Kwasi & Truss incompetency show, then conference season FFS. It's no wonder the IMF think we're a joke of a nation.

What we need is a cross party govt of unity to stabilise the country and get through the winter as best we can without breaking everything beyond repair. No idea how it works in practice as I wasn't around the last time we had one, but if ever there was a time for politicians to ditch all this ideological grandstanding and just get back to work it's now.

It's kind of extraordinary how this has broken out tbf. When the Tories cleaned up in 2019, and even with covid being a very difficult hand to be dealt nearly immediately, it seemed like they have the power to do whatever yet seem to have just got stuck in a self-destructive groove. It's bizarre. I don't even know what the best option is anymore - this new administration looks sunk already, yet another leadership change or election just ups the flux level even further. Maybe there just is no good option at play here.

The last government of national unity, as far as I can tell, was for most of World War 2, with an all-party coalition backing Churchill taking office in 1940 after Chamberlain was forced out. Least so says the Wikipedia page, anyway. I don't know if it's a hard sell though - indeed, for the WW2 example, it suggests opposition Labour and Liberal parties needed nearly a year from the start of that fight to get on board.

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43 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said:

Lots of interesting snippets coming out from the 1922 meeting. 
 

Seems Truss has lost what little credibility she had left. Good be seeing a massive Tory split. 

time to call a vote of no confidence is what I can see ...looks like she's fucked 

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Well I'm struggling to come up with many plausible scenarios for how this plays out, so feel free to add to the list:

  1. A VonC would need 30-40 tory mps to support it to trigger a GE (tory mps who would be voting to lose their own jobs if the polls are to be believed).
  2. An organised rebellion by backbenchers to force out Truss and coronate someone (probably Sunak) to calm the markets.
  3. Two more years of listening to JRM play his fiddle while UK PLC burns.
  4. Truss says sorry, sacks Kwarteng, installs Sunak (keep your enemies close) as part of a 'cabinet of tory unity' mini reshuffle.
  5. err, anything else?

After the 1922 shambles, and her inability to say sorry and instead blame 'bad comms', I guess options 2 or 3 are looking most likely.

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5 minutes ago, Kurosagi said:

Well I'm struggling to come up with many plausible scenarios for how this plays out, so feel free to add to the list:

  1. A VonC would need 30-40 tory mps to support it to trigger a GE (tory mps who would be voting to lose their own jobs if the polls are to be believed).
  2. An organised rebellion by backbenchers to force out Truss and coronate someone (probably Sunak) to calm the markets.
  3. Two more years of listening to JRM play his fiddle while UK PLC burns.
  4. Truss says sorry, sacks Kwarteng, installs Sunak (keep your enemies close) as part of a 'cabinet of tory unity' mini reshuffle.
  5. err, anything else?

After the 1922 shambles, and her inability to say sorry and instead blame 'bad comms', I guess options 2 or 3 are looking most likely.

No.3

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