Weather thread 2010

[hatethisandillloveyou]

I've just finished work for 15 days, the sun is already out, it's going to last for the duration of my holiday so don't even worry about it

[sprocketrocket]

Things are going from German to french every ten minutes according to the charts and weather reports....

I however am going to stay firmly german,

[devonhammer]

Updates for today:

ECM: Probably some showers on Saturday, otherwise dry

GFS: Rain

GFS Ensemble: Showers on Friday, Saturday and Sunday

Norwegians: Showers on Saturday

Met Office/BBC: Dry

=1]Meteo: Dry

JackOne: 40% chance of wet festival

On the basis that Met Office/BBC (BBC use Met Office) are good and only the unreliable GFS (MetCheck, Accuweather et al.) are bad, then I'm still feeling positive. I'm definitely thinking sausage weather, possibly with a hint of garlic, but hopefully with some sauerkraut.

[glastovirginuncorked09]

It's all good. There is a high coming in from the East. ( us ) and happy days for all

[devonhammer]

I'm guessing that many of the weather sites (e.g The Weather Outlook, Accuweather etc) just update based on the models described above. Hence many are showing "R" where previously they were showing fine/dry??

I'm still looking for a forecast I like, then I'll stick with that one! Onwards and upwards, The Jackone index is at 40%, the lowest for a while and that's good. I'm happy and hopeful.

[Savy]

In general I have absolutely no idea what you lot are on about! give us a YAY for sun and a Nay for r**n

[sprocketrocket]

In general I have absolutely no idea what you lot are on about! give us a YAY for sun and a Nay for r**n

[devonhammer]

In general I have absolutely no idea what you lot are on about! give us a YAY for sun and a Nay for r**n

[android-app-developer]

You're spot on. They all use GFS data from the US Govt because it's free. GFS is generally regarded as one of the worst indicators of European weather and people place more trust in the EU's ECM and other national weather services e.g. the Met Office. Long range GFS data is referred to as GFS FI on weather forums - this stands for Fantasy Island!

[scorp]

the 0400 run on netweather now has heavy r**n on the SAT, but at least that torrential word has gone.

away from computer all day today, so no doubt i will come back and we will be 125 pages plus...we will go from baguettes to frankfurters a few times and hopefully LW and the troops will stay strong and keep those damn frogs at arms length.

if things start to look worse, i am sure we can rely on devon hammer to find us something optimistic..

WE SHALL FIGHT ON THE BEACHES.............

[scorp]

00z ensebles out for Somerset, not overly good I am afraid - many of the different data runs going for lower pressure around the festival

00z ECMWF rolling out.....the plot thickens

[BlackHole2006]

COME ON!

Only the people uploading the pics of the site being constructed are keeping me going. On there it looks sunny so why shouldn't it be at Glasto. If it's not sunny then there will be severe consequences. Somebody WILL have to pay and seeing as I can't exactly smite god it would have to be someone who actually EXISTS.*

*please don't turn the weather thread into religious debate. I'm just kidding.

[devonhammer]

I'm putting all my faith devonhammer now as I've just looked at the UK Precipitation filter on the GFS charts and it appears that Sat & Sun will be a complete washout. Fingers crossed that ECM is indeed far more reliable. By the way, it is possible to choose a UK Precipitation filter for ECM data on the NetWeather site? Fingers and toes crossed .

[SeanF]

Reading this thread is killing me. Updated yesterday, the UK Met Office have:

UK Outlook for Monday 21 Jun 2010 to Wednesday 30 Jun 2010:

Most areas of the UK should remain largely dry throughout next week with some decent sunny periods at times. Northern and northwestern areas are likely to be cloudiest and are more likely to see occasional rain, although there will be plenty of dry and bright weather too. Although most other places will be mainly dry, isolated light showers may develop at times. Temperatures should be near normal throughout much of the period, and it should feel pleasantly warm in any prolonged periods of sunshine, but will feel cooler on the coasts. Indications are that there these mainly dry conditions will continue to the end of June, with temperatures remaining close to average for the time of year in most places.

Updated: 1201 on Wed 16 Jun 2010

So, keeping with the, ah, German theme:

[guypjfreak]

To save you reading 119 pages, German things mean good weather, French things mean bad weather.

So, to use your system: Ja

I'll try to summarise each morning with smiley and sad faces, but this is not guaranteed and is pretty unlikely this weekend.

[devonhammer]

top of the range old son we expect all smiley faces by tue morning

[sprocketrocket]

Clicky

Positive Weather SOlutions from yesterday. Very German, I like it.

Edited June 17, 2010 by sprocketrocket

[sprocketrocket]

Stupid thingy double posty

Edited June 17, 2010 by sprocketrocket

[jezzer]

Latest GFS (the dodgy one) is coming out now

Strap yourselves in guys!

[devonhammer]

Clicky

Positive Weather SOlutions from yesterday. Very German, I like it.

Edited June 17, 2010 by devonhammer

[devonhammer]

Has anyone started to think that we should forget Glastonbury and go to Oktoberfest? It looks f***ing brilliant.

[marktea]

Firstly, I have some outdated knowledge, but I'm no expert. Secondly, AFAIK I don't think ECM output rain predictions and I much prefer to go direct to their site as Netweather always seems to have half their charts missing. Simple way to predict good or bad weather is highs and lows. Highs have higher numbers and an H, Lows have lower numbers and an L. High pressure is relative to surrounding pressure and so it's far more important to be "above" surrounding areas than to have a high pressure reading.

[jezzer]

I'm scared

[bombfrog]

Has anyone started to think that we should forget Glastonbury and go to Oktoberfest? It looks f***ing brilliant.

Edited June 17, 2010 by bombfrog

[Haggis]

Latest GFS (the dodgy one) is coming out now

Strap yourselves in guys!