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Weather thread 2010


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to be honest fella much like it is in winter when we are looking for corking easterlies - we are not going to get any real indication until T120+ which is just about reliable timeframe

unfortunately the ensembles for somerset are not available at the mo which are the best indfcator

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The 12z definitely looks better to me. The precipitation chart isn't great, but the pressure chart has nearby highs which just need to push on a bit for dry conditions.

Not great, but a lot better than lunchtime which is starting to look like a rogue forecast.

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Well, largely thanks to the World Cup I've managed to stick to my promise and stay away from here for the last 4 days. Just popped in to see what's going on - largely in the hope that the EFS (SP?) data has come out and helps and see that it's still a bit inconclusive/unsettled (is that right?). This is killing me! Can those in the know PLEASE start throwing me a bone!!

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My gut feeling is good. However the feeling in my guts is saying "run to the toilet or you are going to be coughing gravy".

What that means is: My current expectation based on nothing more than intuition and the behaviour of my cats is: sunny with a couple of cloudy mornings, bit of rain on friday. I am actually right more often than the met office. This is because my cats are magic.

Some or all of the above might well be absolute bollocks.

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My guts are all over the f**king show.

I have 2 days left at work until I finish for Glasto, but found out today that I have a job interview for a promotion. The interview is TOMORROW. Oh joy.....

So I have to prepare for that as well as anticipate JACKONE's latest update. And somehow fit in Glasto prep AND the World Cup.

Too much to take in. Roll on 48 hours when I can chill out. Even though I won't know if I've got the job until I get back from Glasto.

What a crazy start to what could be a pretty crazy week. My guts just don't know what to do, so therefore I'm not trusting any feelings they may have.

Behave, guts.

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Met Office forecast out to Sunday is good with High Pressure stuck off SW of Ireland.

I'm still convinced that it will be mainly dry for most of the festival but not overly warm, maybe a passing shower over the weekend but not enough for a repeat of the mudfests of 2004, 2005 and 2007 (my last three Glastonburys incidentally).

I refer once again to Download Festival (Monsters of Rock in old money), the forecast a week before was heavy rain throughout. It didn't happen.

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JACKONE is in the netweather thread... *gulp*

Edited by Langdale Wolf
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Two of my mates returned from Download today...after fine weather all weekend it apprently thrashed it down with very hard rain non stop from around 3pm yesterday afternoon till around 12.30am this morning.

Being the last day it didn't really have a chance to get too muddy, but the walk back to their car this morning was a bit of a struggle!

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Dont bother with the other runs JACKONE, I'm sticking with this!

'Here is my latest look at the Glastonbury festival firstly by looking at the GFS over the weekend.

Saturday 00Hz - High Pressure establishing itself this weekend, and this staying in charge throughout the festival period, albeit with slightly lower pressure over the far SE of the UK.

Saturday 06Hz - High Pressure establishing itself this weekend, and this high Pressure staying over or close to western parts of the UK, with the chance of slightly less settled weather for eastern parts. However staying generally dry over the UK and especially for western parts of the UK.

Saturday 12Hz - High Pressure establishing itself this weekend, and this general area of high Pressure staying over or close to western parts of the UK, with the chance of slightly less settled weather for South Eastern parts. This also gives the chance of some rain into Southern areas for the Sunday.

Saturday 18Hz - High Pressure establishing itself this week, however this not lasting through to the festival, with the High Pressure drifting away to the south west and northerly winds becoming established across the UK. However the precipiation outlook is not looking that bad, although the odd shower cannot be ruled out.

Overall, a very upbeat assessment of the Glastonbury festival from Saturday's models and on that basis, the chance of a wet festival would fall back to 40%.

Sunday's and Monday's GFS to follow, with a first look at the ECM model as this comes into range'

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so when do we start getting jackones number rating? is it when the ecm comes into range? on a side note writing ecm reminds me of playing elite.

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so when do we start getting jackones number rating? is it when the ecm comes into range? on a side note writing ecm reminds me of playing elite.

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