The Weather Thread 2024

[AdrianH]

Bad positioning of the Wednesday rain on this GFS run but this will continue move about until much nearer the time

[Jacko45]

I don't understand how people are haply with a run, then within a post unhappy with the same run LOL

 

 

[AdrianH]

That 2nd deep low is back again, its critical that high pressure deflects it north else its a weekend of unsettledness

[briddj]

Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee donkey. 

 

 

[giantkatestacks]

2016

[The Red Telephone]

Just now, briddj said:

Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee donkey. 

 

 

Is that orange bit the sun?

[Shoulders77]

3 minutes ago, briddj said:

Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee donkey. 

 

 

Bullseye 🎯

[CaledonianGonzo]

Right in the kisser

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

Good news is the rain on Weds is a complete guess (appreciate it looks bad currently) and will move around over coming runs, but if the trend is to reduce influence of low afterwards that's great for us. No rain Thursday on this run, positive signs. 

[AdrianH]

Messy run and if it rained like that on Wednesday, it'd be a site destroyer but 50 miles east/west and your on the edge of it.

 

The exact position of the rain wont be known for a while yet.

[Jacko45]

3 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Good news is the rain on Weds is a complete guess (appreciate it looks bad currently) and will move around over coming runs, but if the trend is to reduce influence of low afterwards that's great for us. No rain Thursday on this run, positive signs. 

 

Does seem genuinely encouraging if days around it are improved also.

 

High might win out?

[CR77]

10 minutes ago, briddj said:

Jesus, Mary and Joseph and the wee donkey. 

 

 

 

Is that Wednesday 9am BST?  Or is that a US timezone?  Only ask as the first frame for this run is for "12:00" - but that's over 5 hours ago for us!

[ibilly99]

6 hours ago, Spindles said:

Realistic best case scenario is that over the next few days we see the volume and frequency of predicted rain diminish on the forecasts, until there's just a couple of narrow periods where we get brief light showers on maybe Wednesday and Friday, with an average peak temp of 22c and overnight temps in the low teens.

Thanks I'll have that but not sneak back here for any updates. That way I won't borrow worries from tomororow but I will of course.

[ibilly99]

37 minutes ago, LeFreak said:

Just dropped 120 quid on a pair of waterproof boots and a good poncho/light jacket. Bring on the weather. 

By buying them to add to the postive karma that predicates it will be good and you won't need them. Leave them at home and you would. Them's the rules of the Glastoverse.

[briddj]

Definite downgrade here.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

4 minutes ago, Jacko45 said:

 

Does seem genuinely encouraging if days around it are improved also.

 

High might win out?

Friday and Sat have light showers unfortunately. So not much change from 06z bar Weds getting worse and Thurs getting better. Actually Sunday dry now.  

[briddj]

4 minutes ago, CR77 said:

 

Is that Wednesday 9am BST?  Or is that a US timezone?  Only ask as the first frame for this run is for "12:00" - but that's over 5 hours ago for us!

 

BST

[ibilly99]

Does anybody know what Piers Corbyn predicts apparently in this respect he is a genius. Oh Peersss Corbyn !!

 

https://www.themaverickman.com/piers-corbyn-weatheraction-analysis

 

http://www.weatheraction.com/

Edited June 21, 2024 by ibilly99

[Sheffield Steve]

The 12z GFS very similar to ECM now for Wednesday and Thursday, with a ridge of high pressure following the rain on Wednesday… so at least we get a dry day on Thursday…
 

[Jacko45]

3 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Friday and Sat have light showers unfortunately. So not much change from 06z bar Weds getting worse and Thurs getting better. Actually Sunday dry now.  

 

Im struggling to tally up the reactions page to page we seemed happier 10 minutes ago hahaha

 

[AdrianH]

UKMO takes the 1st low south east which is what we want as it'll allow high pressure to build over the top for the weekend

 

[briddj]

We were given some hope in the 06Z. Can we take another step forward in the 12Z?

 

GATES OPEN & WEDNESDAY

 

Apocalyptic scenes for gates open as Beelzebub visits Glastonbury when the gates open. This is end-of-days stuff.

 

15-16 degrees.

 

 

Torrential rain continues all morning, with showers through the afternoon. Highs of 20-21.

 

Temps overnight into Thursday of 14-15.

 

 

 

The pressure picture is slightly better at this stage (latest run on the right), but the UK is right on the weather front.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

Completely dry, highs of just 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Friday of 12.

 

 

Very similar story to the 06Z, with an area of low pressure trying to force its way from the north. Latest on the right - with pressure slightly higher.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

Chance of very, very light showers in the afternoon, highs of 19.

 

Temps overnight into Saturday of 11-12.

 

 

High pressure isn't being so influential in this run (on the right). Really would have been good to show it doing something here.

 

 

SATURDAY

 

Another showery afternoon with pitiful highs of 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Sunday of 10.

 

 

 

Higher pressure has failed to build in (latest on the right).

 

 

SUNDAY

 

Completely dry, laughable temperatures of 16-17.

 

Temps overnight into Monday of 12-13.

 

 

On this run, high pressure only starts to build in late on Sunday.

 

 

SUMMARY

 

A definite downgrade on the 06Z. If the rain shows was to hit the site on Wednesday, it would definitely ruin the site - and there are not the temperatures for it to recovery.

 

Then a couple of showery days, most notably Saturday, which would not be pleasant in the temperatures.

 

Dare I say it that this run has 2016 kind of vibes... but only if that Wednesday rain was to be correct.

 

Twist.

 

 

Edited June 21, 2024 by briddj

[CaledonianGonzo]

Friday is now in range on the Met Office and still keeping its dander up.

 

Tonight, on the other hand, has deteriorated. Hopefully the site doesn't take a reaming.

[The Red Telephone]

What has gone wrong with BBC Weather?

 

This is the headline for tomorrow where I live:

 

 

[panasonic2011]

A few miles from site and there is a feel of rain in the air.  Not sure how bad it will as it’s been a lovely day so far.  I’m sure it will be fine 

Edited June 21, 2024 by panasonic2011