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Weather thread 2011


Guest Paul ™

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The ground may be firm under foot for the few onsite right now but if there were 100's of thousands of people strutting their stuff I'd guess it might look like a ploughed field, albeit a moist one rather than sticky or soup like.

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Sorry devonhammer and excuse my ignorance, but can you explain this GFS stuff to me in short. Is this a projection for what the weather system MIGHT like be in two weeks time, or is it whats actually going up there now?

You may already have done this earlier, but I've been monitoring the thread for a while and I dont remember seeing it.

Cheers dude

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My mate works for the MetOffice doing forecasting for the RAF, I saw him at the weekend and was trying to get a sly prediction out of him. His words 'only an idiot would but any faith in a forecast for more than 3 days in advance' anyone who says to they can do more than that is lying, even the 5 day ones are complete rubbish beyond the third day. If it happens to be correct, its just fluke.

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3 days or more might be shite but believe me with such a slack jet coming off the eastern seeboard and a very stubborn greenland high you can safely say that low pressure coming off the USA/Canada will mean the low pressure systems will track straight over the UK

if your like me I wait all winter for a greenie high and they rarely appear now I just want it too fcuk off

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Apologies. I neglected to mention the well known and scientifically valid G.F.S. sub-scale - referred to in most peer reviewed literature as the F.G.B.S. (Flapjacks Golden Brown Scale). It is certainly demonstrable in controlled conditions that the more golden brown and the greater the number of flapjack units, the better the weather.

So the only way to guarantee good weather is by posting pictures of as high a number of golden brown flapjacks as you possibly can.

My bad.

new-flapjack-25304.jpg

Edited by chopper4001
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Right, so OK. I've established that red on that chart is a high intensity of flapjacks, and green (and blue - shudder) is a low intensity of flapjacks, and that this therefore means yellow is a medium intensity of flapjacks.

Now thats not that bad then is it? Yellow. A medium level of flapjacks.

Clearly we want golden (red) flapjacks and not bland (yellow) flapjacks, but at least we've got flapjacks.

Is all the pessimism about this chart because the flapjacks we've got seem to have come from Greenland, who seem to know little about making flapjacks?

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You've got it.

And you are right on Greenland - as you know it is very cold there.

When have you ever, ever eaten a flapjack on anything other than a blazing sunny day - it is just wrong to eat them in the cold. It was this initial observation, subsequently proven by repeated experiment that led to the formalisation of the G.F.S. And as you very astutely point out, what the f**k would Greenland know about flapjacks therefore?

Nothing is your answer, and is why in the next few days we will be well flapjacked up to the max. You just wait.....

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It's officially three to five days (though this is based on the fact that no one really knows what's going to happen until John Craven confirms it for us three days before the gates open and five before the festival proper starts. That is a fact.)

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