WEATHER 2009 !

[ktej]

Not really understanding Jackones rating this year, can any of you kind folks explain it to me?

[Cider Girl]

Metchecks's gone insane. How many times a day do they completely change their minds?

[Storm_NL]

Metchecks's gone insane. How many times a day do they completely change their minds?

[mario man]

Not really understanding Jackones rating this year, can any of you kind folks explain it to me?

[mario man]

the higher the number the better the forecast

[Granty]

Well just had a look at the latest charts on netweather and to my uneducated eye, the 18z gfs charts are now showing a great big fat high pressure system sat over Somerset through the whole festival? 12z ECM not quite so big and fat but still controlling the weather nicely...

If the model runs carry onlike this all day, I should think JACKONE will be back to an 8 at least by the update this evening?????

My productivity at work has gone down the plughole with all this excitement! Im being taken over by thoughts of sunny fields, cold cider and party!

[Spacey]

I'm sure this has been explained before but it would take ages to find it. Could someone run through what 00HZ 12HZ 06HZ mean and why they are different. I am puzzled and interested. Cheers weather experts

[davelucs]

i think the numbers 00,06,12 are the hours the runs are taken?

[Glastonbury_2011]

I'm so excited for this festival now, knowing there's a big chance it's going to be scorching. I now live in fear that i'll miss a Glastonbury in the future which turns out to be really, really hot. Does anyone have the same fear?

[Homer]

Metchecks's gone insane. How many times a day do they completely change their minds?

[shangri-la_steward]

the weather report on breakfast tv this morning stated that next week is likely to be the hottest week of the year with temperatures pushing 30 degrees...

looks like rain then!!!!

[oafc0000]

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/forecast-1...AE&metric=1

Accuweather says Rain on Saturday... Rest of the fest looks ok,,,

[Conrax]

Richard Angwin (BBC West Weatherman) says that "it's looking like the best Glastonbury weather for many years", update on Monday.

[emmmmma]

the weather report on breakfast tv this morning stated that next week is likely to be the hottest week of the year with temperatures pushing 30 degrees...

looks like rain then!!!!

[Granty]

i think the numbers 00,06,12 are the hours the runs are taken?

[emmmmma]

Thats right. Verrrrry briefly (and Im no expert) there are 3 main weather models (computer systems which eat up a load of weather information and spit out the probable weather which would actually result) - GFS which is American, ECM which is a European model, and the UK Metoffice. GFS does model runs (forecasts) predict weather about 2 weeks ahead from now, ECM predict about 10 days out and Met Office predict 5 days out. The GFS is run 4 times a day at 00 (midnight), 06, 12, 18. ECM and Metoffice twice a day at 00 and 12. Because the runs take ages to process, they take hours to be published so we don't get to chew them over straight away

The further into the future the forecasts go, the more of a guess they are. Thats why its so exciting that the good weather is still in the runs and that the ECM is now also generally agreeing with the gfs.

Also explains why Metcheck is pants. Their forecast is just a bog standard computer analysis of the GFS runs - little human input - so they change 4 times a day at random times when the gfs run is published...

There - hope that helps! I need to go for a lie down now...

[evansonuk]

Thats right. Verrrrry briefly (and Im no expert) there are 3 main weather models (computer systems which eat up a load of weather information and spit out the probable weather which would actually result) - GFS which is American, ECM which is a European model, and the UK Metoffice. GFS does model runs (forecasts) predict weather about 2 weeks ahead from now, ECM predict about 10 days out and Met Office predict 5 days out. The GFS is run 4 times a day at 00 (midnight), 06, 12, 18. ECM and Metoffice twice a day at 00 and 12. Because the runs take ages to process, they take hours to be published so we don't get to chew them over straight away

The further into the future the forecasts go, the more of a guess they are. Thats why its so exciting that the good weather is still in the runs and that the ECM is now also generally agreeing with the gfs.

Also explains why Metcheck is pants. Their forecast is just a bog standard computer analysis of the GFS runs - little human input - so they change 4 times a day at random times when the gfs run is published...

There - hope that helps! I need to go for a lie down now...

[godders1966]

Thats right. Verrrrry briefly (and Im no expert) there are 3 main weather models (computer systems which eat up a load of weather information and spit out the probable weather which would actually result) - GFS which is American, ECM which is a European model, and the UK Metoffice. GFS does model runs (forecasts) predict weather about 2 weeks ahead from now, ECM predict about 10 days out and Met Office predict 5 days out. The GFS is run 4 times a day at 00 (midnight), 06, 12, 18. ECM and Metoffice twice a day at 00 and 12. Because the runs take ages to process, they take hours to be published so we don't get to chew them over straight away

The further into the future the forecasts go, the more of a guess they are. Thats why its so exciting that the good weather is still in the runs and that the ECM is now also generally agreeing with the gfs.

Also explains why Metcheck is pants. Their forecast is just a bog standard computer analysis of the GFS runs - little human input - so they change 4 times a day at random times when the gfs run is published...

There - hope that helps! I need to go for a lie down now...

[marktea]

Thats right. Verrrrry briefly (and Im no expert) there are 3 main weather models (computer systems which eat up a load of weather information and spit out the probable weather which would actually result) - GFS which is American, ECM which is a European model, and the UK Metoffice. GFS does model runs (forecasts) predict weather about 2 weeks ahead from now, ECM predict about 10 days out and Met Office predict 5 days out. The GFS is run 4 times a day at 00 (midnight), 06, 12, 18. ECM and Metoffice twice a day at 00 and 12. Because the runs take ages to process, they take hours to be published so we don't get to chew them over straight away

The further into the future the forecasts go, the more of a guess they are. Thats why its so exciting that the good weather is still in the runs and that the ECM is now also generally agreeing with the gfs.

Also explains why Metcheck is pants. Their forecast is just a bog standard computer analysis of the GFS runs - little human input - so they change 4 times a day at random times when the gfs run is published...

There - hope that helps! I need to go for a lie down now...

[Mardy]

I'm taking wellies and flip flops. Got it all covered.

[Spacey]

Thanks Granty, that clears a few things up. It's all very interesting

[Aragorn]

granty's descrip is accurate - Met Office use the ECMWF model aswell as the UKMO, AFAIK. So indirectly so do the BBC

Edited June 18, 2009 by Aragorn

[hex007]

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/forecast-1...AE&metric=1

Accuweather says Rain on Saturday... Rest of the fest looks ok,,,

[Bexxxxx]

The lovely weather man who did this mornings' Points West forecast said that next week was going to be rather hot

[Jens Wildman]

Norway says:

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/Engl...ailed_long.html

And the other major norwegian weather predictor says:

Monday=mandag - you figure out the rest

Longtime forecast = langtidsvarsel

http://www.pent.no/Vaer.aspx?ID=15155083

Edited June 18, 2009 by Jens Wildman