WEATHER 2009 !

[Cooter]

From what I can remember this time last year both Steve and Jackone were forecasting unsettled festival weather with promises of rain at some point. Pretty accurate more or less.

[goldstar]

This might be a totally un-do-able......but, can anyone find what these forecasters were predicting at similar times before the previous few festivals and how accurate they turned out to be?

Long shot I know but would be quite interesting!

I think......

[halvin]

The 2008 one doesn't seem to be there for some reason.

[JameSemajj]

ive been browsing metcheck alot lately and it just changes all the time.. Personally, i believe it will rain.

[Cooter]

ive been browsing metcheck alot lately and it just changes all the time.. Personally, i believe it will rain.

[Joshuwarr]

ive been browsing metcheck alot lately and it just changes all the time.. Personally, i believe it will rain.

[LRW]

ive been browsing metcheck alot lately ..................

[mouth]

great to have you back steve, and the jackone looking good, fingers crossed and stuff

[mouth]

I know what you mean, but surely one farm can have too much rain and mud can't it! This could be our year people, don't give up now when its looking so promising.

[Titters]

I just had a look at the 2007 weather thread, and they were forecasting plenty of rain about this far in advance. I recall we left for the festival expecting rain too...

2008 no one could make their mind up. I remember leaving on the Wednesday expecting a shower on Friday... and we all know what happened on the Thursday.

From here on in, I'm going to be VERY interested in this thread.

[elbongo]

ive been browsing metcheck alot lately and it just changes all the time.. Personally, i believe it will rain.

[ig1234]

Pissing it down in Manchester right now. Get it out of your system now weather...

[Alcatraz]

Your views are like your avatar. Unwanted!

So...

F**k Off!!

[Sam Crawley]

What are Metcheck up to, playing with our emotions.. Lunchtime today it was a spankingly sunny forecast for the whole fest, now it's gone distinctly gloomy (albeit not a washout)...

[clockworkpurple]

What are Metcheck up to, playing with our emotions.. Lunchtime today it was a spankingly sunny forecast for the whole fest, now it's gone distinctly gloomy (albeit not a washout)...

[strudders]

It's OK again now!

[Aragorn]

metcheck uses the GFS models, every 6 hours the GFS will produce another weather run based on new data, there are 10 different outcomes that result from these runs. The 00Z ( 12am run) is not a good run for us and shows rain and a fair bit of it - fortunately the other 7 or 8 runs are distinctly better. So its fair to say on this run the chance of a wetter festival is less likely.

the next run is at 6am, then one at 12pm then at 6pm. This is why metcheck etc change their forecast regularly

Edited June 15, 2009 by Aragorn

[Dav0s]

aye, the 00z run is wet as hell. but is a massive outlier, with all the other runs going for a pretty much dry festival.

NW should have the 06 run soon, so hopefully it will be a good operational run.

[clockworkpurple]

aye, the 00z run is wet as hell. but is a massive outlier, with all the other runs going for a pretty much dry festival.

NW should have the 06 run soon, so hopefully it will be a good operational run.

[Dav0s]

as aragorn said, new GFS runs are produced every 6 hours, so the 00z run was at midnight, and the 06z run was at 6am this morning.

[Woppa]

The "z" meaning GMT, one assumes.

[Funkungfusion]

From the BBC Monthly Outlook

Monday 22 June 2009 to Sunday 05 July 2009

“Little change.”

As we head towards July, early indications show that high pressure will remain across southern parts with the highest temperatures to be found in south-east England.

Northern parts of the UK will probably see more wet weather. However, there are expected to be some clear spells, which could mean that night-time temperatures in the north-west fall below the seasonal average.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

Edited June 15, 2009 by Funkungfusion

[Special_Wodger]

the russians have a weather machine i think we might be able to borrow for the weekend.

[Runner]

Looks fine to me

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/14days...ode=glastonbury

[clockworkpurple]

as aragorn said, new GFS runs are produced every 6 hours, so the 00z run was at midnight, and the 06z run was at 6am this morning.