Weather thread 2010

[ukslim]

If that comes off it would be like a 2007 / 2005 combo.

[jezzer]

It's gone tits up in the latest models!

[abu hamster]

Met check looks positive !

[Buddhafish]

In fact, latest GFS has a dribbling of rain throughout with very heavy rain Sunday afternoon.

If that comes off it would be like a 2007 / 2005 combo.

The GFS data is used for most of the forecasts so I would expect them to start reflecting the above over the next few hours.

[Langdale Wolf]

In fact, latest GFS has a dribbling of rain throughout with very heavy rain Sunday afternoon.

If that comes off it would be like a 2007 / 2005 combo.

The GFS data is used for most of the forecasts so I would expect them to start reflecting the above over the next few hours.

[clockworkpurple]

In fact, latest GFS has a dribbling of rain throughout with very heavy rain Sunday afternoon.

If that comes off it would be like a 2007 / 2005 combo.

The GFS data is used for most of the forecasts so I would expect them to start reflecting the above over the next few hours.

[Savy]

Looked at Metcheck today and was positively encouraged, reading this thread has done the exact opposite and that's just not cool people

[Buddhafish]

It's not looking good. However, that has all changed in the space of 12hrs, so lets hope it'll change again. It's funny how, when we see a good forecast we all assume it won't last, and when we see a bad one we think it's set in stone.

[Gnomicide]

Reading this thread and checking the websites etc, one thing has become apparent.

No-one has got a fecking clue what is going to happen yet.

I'm not going welly/sandal shopping until next Monday.

[dirk4danger]

Metcheck is useless. It claims to be using the 6z gfs data but the temps and forecast are way out.

Nobody should worry about the weather. There's plenty of time for it to change. We need the Atlantic high to strengthen and beat out the European low. It's very like WW2, and we know who won that.

Edited June 14, 2010 by dirk4danger

[rickyxt]

Arrrrrrrrrrrghhh this thread is too much, but I just can't stop checking for updates every 5 mins! Come on the sunshine!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Langdale Wolf]

The latest GFS is coming through now and it's moving the high Westwards. Not good news.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&CONT=euro&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&VAR=pslv&WMO=&ZOOM=0&PANEL=0&ARCHIV=0&BASE=201006140600%26HH%3D138

[devonhammer]

That's an absolute disaster.

I'm going to retreat to my previous position that GFS data is American rubbish and they know as much about weather as they know about cricket. Much as we shouldn't have been optimistic when it was good, we shouldn't get too pessimistic when it's bad. If it looks like this in a weeks time though

Norwegian Weather Service still has a dry Wednesday

[Breeze]

Ok now what the heck is that? I'm no boffin..... can you please tell me how to translate this into simple terms! Cheers!

[dirk4danger]

I'm certainly no expert, and I could be reading this all wrong, but I just looked at that and whilst it's not great news, the precipitation is nothing like a 2007, nor a storm of 2005 proportions.

That looks to me like a pretty 'meh' week. Certainly not acceptable as there IS some rain, but equally a long way from a mudbath.

TWIST though. Certainly.

[Langdale Wolf]

It looks like steady rain throughout (like 2007) then a big blob of rain heading over us on the Sunday (a bit like 2005, though not thundery and not as heavy).

The problem is that even moderate rain creates a mudbath. 2007 was mudbath hell despite there being no properly heavy rain at all, just persistent gloomy drizzle.

[worthyraver]

It looks like steady rain throughout (like 2007) then a big blob of rain heading over us on the Sunday (a bit like 2005, though not thundery and not as heavy).

The problem is that even moderate rain creates a mudbath. 2007 was mudbath hell despite there being no properly heavy rain at all, just persistent gloomy drizzle.

[cejx]

A lot of rain did fall in 2007, here are the daily figures (from Yeovil):

June 20 0.0mm

June 21 4.1mm

June 22 6.3mm

June 23 0.5mm

June 24 6.9mm

Total 17.8mm

[fowls]

Oh dear. One part of me is thinking "rain would be nice, it'll be a PROPER glastonbury experience"... but the majority of me is thinking "Being cold and wet in a tent is miserable!".

Hopefully everything turns out in our favour...

Edited June 14, 2010 by fowls

[Deepsky]

Metcheck is useless. It claims to be using the 6z gfs data but the temps and forecast are way out.

Nobody should worry about the weather. There's plenty of time for it to change. We need the Atlantic high to strengthen and beat out the European low. It's very like WW2, and we know who won that.

[Buddhafish]

Oh dear. One part of me is thinking "rain would be nice, it'll be a PROPER glastonbury experience"... but the majority is thinking "Being cold and wet in a tent is miserable!".

Hopefully everything turns out in our favour...

[gibbo13]

Where is the steady rain throughout? I can see a bit on Wednesday, a bit on Friday morning and then a bit on Sunday night.

Unless I'm reading the wrong chart incorrectly, of course. Which isn't beyond the realms of possibility.

[Langdale Wolf]

Oh dear. One part of me is thinking "rain would be nice, it'll be a PROPER glastonbury experience"... but the majority is thinking "Being cold and wet in a tent is miserable!".

Hopefully everything turns out in our favour...

[Mr Weazle]

It looks like steady rain throughout (like 2007) then a big blob of rain heading over us on the Sunday (a bit like 2005, though not thundery and not as heavy).

The problem is that even moderate rain creates a mudbath. 2007 was mudbath hell despite there being no properly heavy rain at all, just persistent gloomy drizzle.

[fowls]

Rain is not a proper Glastonbury experience. It's a wet Glastonbury experience, which is not as good as a dry Glastonbury experience.