Weather thread 2010

[scaryclaireyfairy]

That Low definitely seems to be heading in a more northerly direction, which is always good news, unless you happen to be holidaying in Scotland

NB: GFS does tend to over do rain and undercooks temps

[Langdale Wolf]

Looking at the GFS charts from Netweather, I have deduced thus:

Wednesday: Dry. Nice and warm. Excellent.

Thursday: Some showers. But overall, nice and warm.

Friday: Dry. Nice and warm, but not quite as warm as Wednesday.

Saturday: Rain. A fair amount. Therefore wet. Much cooler too.

Sunday: Some showers. An improvement on Saturday temperature wise.

Overall, MILES better than yesterday. The first few days look pretty damn good.

I'm going for similar to 2004, though not quite as wet. Somewhere between 2004 and 2008.

[jezzer]

Well that has well and truly pissed me off!! That better change, TWIST!!!

Don't even need to see Sunday - If you believe GFS it's all gone French again!

[Langdale Wolf]

Well that has well and truly pissed me off!! That better change, TWIST!!!

Don't even need to see Sunday - If you believe GFS it's all gone French again!

[derfman]

I'm going for similar to 2004, though not quite as wet. Somewhere between 2004 and 2008.

[Langdale Wolf]

argh dont say those things langdale

literally between 2004 and 2008 was glasto 05 and 07...both saw floods, i know thats not what u meant but for christ sake touch some wood

not THAT wood

[nellyt66]

Local weather has just predicted an overnight frost here in Macclesfield. WTF!!! This is mid June ... when will summer start?

[srvman]

has anyone got the ability to see what the outlook for this weekend was on the weather, this time last week.

to see a guage of how close they are getting.

I am not smart or unlazy enough to do it myself

[TokiDoki]

The latest GFS is not good, a deepish low pressure centered over the West of Ireland developing for the weekend.

Quite wet for the weekend probably.

Hope it's an outlier because it bucks the recent trend. Ensembles out soon.

[jezzer]

The latest GFS is not good, a deepish low pressure centered over the West of Ireland developing for the weekend.

Quite wet for the weekend probably.

Hope it's an outlier because it bucks the recent trend. Ensembles out soon.

Edited June 19, 2010 by jezzer

[testspecimen]

Here is today's analysis of the models out so far.

GFS 06Hz The low pressure to the west of the UK early next week, struggles to make much eastward progress. So with the possible exception of some very weak frontal rain on Thursday, the only precipition until the Sunday, would be from showers, which do have he potential to be thundery agian.

[nellyt66]

Initial report from Jackone is ok up to the weekend ... Linkypoos

[LadyLia]

I always use this website and find its been accurate when i've neeeded it...

My link

Im sure someone will tell me they're not credible but it looks like a positive forecast

[Buddhafish]

I always use this website and find its been accurate when i've neeeded it...

My link

Im sure someone will tell me they're not credible but it looks like a positive forecast

[TokiDoki]

Good news, the 12z GFS (looking a bit wet) is a massive outlier on the ensembles. It's the green line on this chart. So the weather probably won't be as bad as the 12z predicted (and even that wasn't too bad tbh)

[Porcelina]

I want this weekend's weather.

The forecasts from what I've seen, all look pretty good. I'm expecting some rain at some point, and if it's going to come then it's best on Sunday when the potential mud isn't going to get too deep.

The weather for Leeds last year was like that and the only band it rained properly during as Placebo, which was incredibly atmospheric.

[Cooter]

I'm glad its not this weekend, might have to put my central heating on in a mo, in mid July WTF!!

[nellyt66]

I'm glad its not this weekend, might have to put my central heating on in a mo, in mid July WTF!!

[Scouse Andy]

I'm glad its not this weekend, might have to put my central heating on in a mo, in mid July WTF!!

[Porcelina]

Really!? It's so nice up in Scumbria right now.

[The Klumpster]

At the risk of sounding smug, Cornwall is warm and sunny

My gut tells me the South West is gonna be the place to be for the next week or so

[Langdale Wolf]

JACKONE - there's only one JACKONE!!

Risk of wet festy - back down to 45%!!

Huzzah!!

[scaryclaireyfairy]

deutschland uber alles!

[nellyt66]

Looking much better than yesterday, or even this morning as well. Hopefully the trend will continue overnight and tomorrow.

On this basis....

[TokiDoki]

It is pretty mental how quickly the forecast can yoyo over the course of a few days.