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assorted

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Posts posted by assorted

  1. On 7/29/2021 at 2:40 PM, assorted said:

    53%

    95% - Now that Reading/Leeds other festivals have happened without the press declaring they've murdered people, I'm a lot more confident. And now that covid is being considered endemic it will never be under control, so it's a matter of how we live in the world with this as a truth. My 5% not happening is the idea that maybe Glastonbury just packs it in in this "New Normal" and does Worthy Farms and similar things but I think that's (hopefully) extremely unlikely. 

  2. I now realize British Airways extended my travel credit to April 2023 and so am now waiting for flight prices for Glasto dates to drop. I'm going to plan for it happening until I go or until it isn't, though I'm less optimistic than others here that it will actually happen. 

  3. On 7/20/2021 at 3:54 PM, assorted said:

    49% - don’t think them cancelling their September concert is a good sign for how they’ll be thinking when it’s winter, cases are up again, probably a new variant again, and they have to decide again. 

    53% (but happy everyone else is very confident!)

    good signs for me are UK curve going down, Ferguson’s optimism and clear rules forthcoming for mass gatherings and nightclubs.

    Bad signs are CDC’s reaction to delta in the USA (i think all western countries effect each other), glasto cancelling their September event, worry mongering in the USA and UK over festivals being “super spreader events” (even by forum people here), and an ongoing obsession with transmission not hospitalizations/deaths.

  4. On 7/18/2021 at 4:28 PM, assorted said:

    54% and i'm not sure i'm shooting up to 95% when tomorrow and then Reading happens. This freakout about VARIANT DELTA is worrying me, as this winter when Glastonbury has to decide once again i'm sure it'll be VARIANT GARY IT'S EVEN MORE DEADLY(ish)... hope i am wrong!

    49% - don’t think them cancelling their September concert is a good sign for how they’ll be thinking when it’s winter, cases are up again, probably a new variant again, and they have to decide again. 

  5. On 7/6/2021 at 11:45 AM, assorted said:

    55% - UK seems to keep being obsessed with transmission, not hospitalizations & deaths. until that changes i think glastonbury 22 is in jeopardy. if july 19th happens with (at least nearly) no more restrictions and the festivals that haven't cancelled all happen without incident or media/twitter outrage, i'll shoot up to 95%.

    54% and i'm not sure i'm shooting up to 95% when tomorrow and then Reading happens. This freakout about VARIANT DELTA is worrying me, as this winter when Glastonbury has to decide once again i'm sure it'll be VARIANT GARY IT'S EVEN MORE DEADLY(ish)... hope i am wrong!

  6. On 6/14/2021 at 2:34 PM, assorted said:

    55%

    55% - UK seems to keep being obsessed with transmission, not hospitalizations & deaths. until that changes i think glastonbury 22 is in jeopardy. if july 19th happens with (at least nearly) no more restrictions and the festivals that haven't cancelled all happen without incident or media/twitter outrage, i'll shoot up to 95%.

  7. On 6/26/2021 at 9:18 AM, lessthanwill1 said:

    Last song on the Lucy Dacus album - Triple Dog Dare - is 👌 

    I love the whole album - will absolutely be one of my favorite albums of the year 

  8.  Holding steady. 

    I've started (re)booking (cancellable) hotels, car rental for 2022. Next month I'll start keeping an eye on flights. I have a BA travel credit from 2020 that they threaten is only good for travel up to April 2022. 😕 

    I'm not as confident as others that the festival is definite, but I want to have it to look forward to so am planning as if it will.

  9. 26 minutes ago, kingcrawler said:

    alt-J are a strange one, I don't see them being booked for Other headliner again given they seemed to pull in a pretty small crowd. They won't move up to Pyramid sub now and they've already done 3rd down Pyramid, where they just seemed a bit out of place. I don't think we need to worry about them being booked anytime soon. 

    In terms of Glastonbury 2020 acts who were meant to play Mad Cool in 2020/2021, there's no no London Grammar, Haim, Sam Fender, Waxahatchee, Cage the Elephant, Charli XCX, Anderson Paak or Tones and I from 2020 and no Glass Animals or Angel Olsen from 2021 on that Mad Cool lineup. Most of those have other upcoming dates so will possibly be around anyway but worth keeping an eye on. 

    New acts (to me) this lineup confirms are Europe touring near Glasto dates that were on the Glastonbury 2020 poster are The Editors, Phoebe Bridgers, and Warmduscher. 

    Charli XCX is at Primavera which in my mind confirms her for Glasto 22. Sam Fender I'm also assuming is back because he has rescheduled dates opening for The Killers in London and Dublin near enough Glasto for me to assume he's back. 

  10. On 6/3/2021 at 11:47 AM, assorted said:

    65% - the above hasn't changed *that much* - like there feels a powerful section of western society that wants a "new normal" where I don't see how Glastonbury the way it was known ever happens again. Those people are currently latching on "variants" and "children" as their keywords for why June 21st shouldn't happen, but they won't ever go away. On the other hand, the music industry (in the USA and I think also UK) seems quite set for "full normal" by September. First full camping, no restrictions, over 40k, outdoor festival in the UK with no negative press afterwards and I'll shoot up to 95%. 

    60%

  11. On 4/20/2021 at 7:44 AM, assorted said:

    46% - Boomtown cancelled, conversation has changed seamlessly from “don’t overwhelm hospitals” to “we can’t have any transmission” which seems to mean to me no lots of things until... ever? I think there’s going to have to be a lot of pressure from voters on politicians for this to change before early 2022 when Glastonbury has to decide.

    65% - the above hasn't changed *that much* - like there feels a powerful section of western society that wants a "new normal" where I don't see how Glastonbury the way it was known ever happens again. Those people are currently latching on "variants" and "children" as their keywords for why June 21st shouldn't happen, but they won't ever go away. On the other hand, the music industry (in the USA and I think also UK) seems quite set for "full normal" by September. First full camping, no restrictions, over 40k, outdoor festival in the UK with no negative press afterwards and I'll shoot up to 95%. 

  12. So as far as i can see...

    Acts on that Primavera poster that were on the Glastonbury 2020 poster:

    Kacey Musgraves, Charli XCX, Caribou, Fontaines DC, Kano, Big Thief, Khruangbin, Metronomy, Squid, Brittany Howard, Burna Boy, Clairo, Jesus and Mary Chain, Sampa the Great, beabodoobee, Jehnny Beth, Dua Lipa

    Acts on that Primavera poster that seemed very likely (either self-confirm or other reasons) for Glastonbury 2020/2021:

    Black Country New Road, Idles, Dry Cleaning, The Murder Capital, Rolling Blackouts Coastal Fever 

  13. 14 minutes ago, FloorFiller said:

    But he’ll still want to promote and tour the album and presumably be playing festivals next year too, so I don’t see why that would count him out of Glastonbury. Don’t think I ever heard anything about Glastonbury needing to be right at the start of the album promotion or anything. 

    He's still booked to play Roskilde before Lollapalooza this year as well, though I think the rest of his Europe dates are cancelled and I expect Roskilde will eventually follow. It's admirable Roskilde is still trying... 

  14. 36 minutes ago, henry bear said:

    I think it would be mean to invite two of the 2020 OS headliners back but not FBS, especially considering his commitment to the festival. I reckon any differences in line up will be more to do with acts dropping out rather than being dropped.

    I agree. It doesn’t seem like the vibe of this festival’s management to downgrade people for a cancelled festival once it’s back on just because they can get someone “better.” My assumption for 2022 is the same everything unless the acts turn down/are unavailable. 

    But I do also think there was something “extra” about FBS headlining OS that wasn’t yet announced. Whether that was guests or a mystery slot after/before him (so not really headlining) I don’t know but I suspect something. 

  15. On 4/15/2021 at 1:11 PM, assorted said:

    48% 

    46% - Boomtown cancelled, conversation has changed seamlessly from “don’t overwhelm hospitals” to “we can’t have any transmission” which seems to mean to me no lots of things until... ever? I think there’s going to have to be a lot of pressure from voters on politicians for this to change before early 2022 when Glastonbury has to decide.

  16. 6 hours ago, Leyrulion said:

    As I understand it It's essentially the concern that these events would be mass super spreaders that would result in the virus being seeded into areas it might have been eliminated from and then find its way to the unprotected. 

    The programme is trying to work out if all the measures you talk about in your post are enough to mitigate that risk.


    if that’s the new government idea (no transmission at all versus “let’s not overwhelm hospitals”), then I’m not sure concerts/festivals could ever come back. 

  17. 22 hours ago, Mellotr0n said:

    100%

    I'm genuinely curious as to the reasoning, for those who aren't that confident (say, below 80%).

    If it doesn't happen next year, why would it ever happen again?

    I’m down to 48% because of the UK festivals now starting to cancel. I think if Reading/Leeds happens my confidence shoots up to 90%.

     

    I agree about your idea that if not now, then never and my worry is the answer is “never.” At least some people believe in that while not always saying it out loud.

     

    https://www.theverge.com/platform/amp/22370176/covid-19-vaccinated-people-cdc-guidance-herd-immunity

     

    Above is a recent article where all the “public health experts” saying there should be no high risk activities until herd immunity.

     

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/15/herd-immunity-experts-discuss-if-its-possible-to-reach-covid-immunity.html

     

    And here is a even more recent article where “public health experts” say we may never reach herd immunity. 

    So it seems to me either we have to hit herd immunity, or politicians (and media) have to start ignoring public health experts, or Glastonbury (and any return to real normal) can’t ever happen. 

     

  18. On 3/31/2021 at 11:09 AM, assorted said:

    52%

    50% down as it seems social distancing won't be lifted in the UK in July and I'm seeing no end in sight, or even any date of an end, in the USA, either (in terms of full capacity venues, no more social distancing). Looking forward to hearing better news soon.

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