PolygonWindow

Extended run (showing weekly avg rain for festival week): https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Extended (42 days)"]} medium range (showing rainfall up until the Wednesday gates opening): https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Medium (15 days)"]} I guess the guys on that forum think this run potentially looks better than the previous and the risk of a breakdown is reducing? Not sure how the extended stuff works tbh but it updates daily on the IFS version about 9pm. Medium range twice in morning and evening.

ECMWF daily runs. Called IFS on their site!

Yeah, this ain't good. Probs our biggest blow yet given we've been slagging the GFS off in favour of this ECMWF.

Tuesday is horrendous on that run too. Very heavy rain. I've noticed that in the Netweather forum they are really questioning the integrity of the GFS when it comes to low pressure coming in resulting in 'breakdowns'. Apparently it has a consistent track record of exhibiting the worst possible scenario. ECMWF more reliable at this point.

GFS DISASTER

I know it’s TOO EARLYtm, but this has been consistent with average rainfall for a few days now so looking good! Fabrizio has HERE WE GO, we have ITS TOO EARLY.

ECMWF IFS daily for today - well above avg temperature and avg rainfall for festival week. A welcome update given the state of the GFS.

Just seems a whole load of waffle. Hurting my head trying to work out Wed-Sun nxt wk lol

Don’t even understand this lol. Timescales all over the gaff

It's had some good runs too!

ECMWF still showing average rainfall for the Glasto week. Got a lot better as we've got closer, last week it was showing above average.

They have a high of 15 degree Thurs lunchtime so don’t waste your time checking until closer in range 🙂

Absolute 100000% stick

I know it's TOO EARLY etc. but today I am starting to get the sense we are not trending in the right direction unfortunately. Looks as if next week is going to be nice and the week after not great. Want to be proved wrong tho obv.

Thanks for the above. How are you getting the ECMWF detailed forecast that far into the future? edit: just noticed this is for the week prior!

That low under us/ coming south eastern from Europe is proper annoying me

‘Wetter than average’ is not a horrific direction 2 weeks out.

That’s borderline Nal from you pal!

And a high of 16 degrees on the Wed, it’s complete bs.

Update from Met Office. P sure it’s meant to say Mid June as opposed to Mid July.

Nal is human?!

Hopefully just a dud run across the board then!

GEFS has got the most biblical rain ever. Must be based on that GFS. TWIST!