AlexOvd
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Posts posted by AlexOvd
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The high needs to wake up but we are running out of time a bit. Couple of next runs are decisive.
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We are close to be defeated. Such an avalanche of bad forecasts 🤔
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3 minutes ago, briddj said:
SATURDAY
So, how is the influence of the low starting to affect us?
Highs of 19. There is rain around, which doesn't arrive until 3pm and is present in showers through the evening - but nothing to be afraid of.
The low pressure is moving right on top of the UK again in this run.
It really feels the high is pushing here.
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4 minutes ago, The Nal said:
Hopefully you can fix it for us
I don't think so.
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Just now, stuartbert two hats said:
Monday is ages off. And we might be gone by then.
Or even better, miss it entirely 😁
Yeah, just by looking at the weather for Glastonbury instead of Pilton the value drop to 5mm on that day.
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The Nal's favourite, YR, is pushing slowly the rain back with no rain until Saturday afternoon (and just under 2 mm). Hopefully this will be the trend. The more far the rain is, the better chances we have to "fix" it.
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1 minute ago, steviewevie said:
Netweather latest forecast...bit less rain...(and these are feel like temps)
29 degrees and 28 degrees Thursday and Friday. Boh.
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2 minutes ago, briddj said:
Iiiiittttt'ssssss time for the 12Z!
We need to give a medal to this guy. The real legend of the thread.
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And about the Met Office improved a little bit for Saturday. Little rain in the early morning turning into sunny. It doesn't sound like anything biblical.
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The Weather Channel still without improving their prediction
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5 minutes ago, T-Mouse said:
ECMWF has low pressure less intense and being held up over Ireland until Sunday. The tide is turning. I'm starting to believe
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1
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1 minute ago, Alvoram said:
Not sure where you’re looking at but BBC is showing dry every day, apart from up to a 28% chance of a shower mid afternoon Saturday!!!
Another time I was checking East Pilton. I am losing my mind seriously 😂
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Not sure what models say but websites are updating for worse. BBC is showing now rain Sat&Sun while most places also include Friday.
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Foals - Spanish Sahara
Wolf Alice - Last Man on the Earth
Macca - Hey Jude
Kendrick - N95
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BBC is actually forecasting sunny 26 degrees Thursday. This may not be for everyone.
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As long we were have a completely dry festival until Saturday I would be more than satisfied.
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4 minutes ago, steviewevie said:
ECMWF previous run (12Z) on left, and current (0Z) on right...also a big difference (but I prefer UKMO)
I hope that little buble is destroyed in the next run...
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12 minutes ago, steviewevie said:
UKMO previous run (12Z) on left, and current (0Z) on right...big difference...
Interesting... But one is for Saturday and the other one for Sunday no?
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1 minute ago, squirrelarmy said:
MetCheck has it cold and dry. Saturday and Sunday are going to feel very chilly.
Few extra layers needed for those nights and still very changeable conditions with a stiff breeze.
But generally looks like the rain is moving more into Saturday overall and in that predictions not that heavy. Hopefully as Friday is the busiest day for bands (at least for me).
Anyway this is constantly changing.
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2 hours ago, briddj said:
Ok then, I've no idea what happened with the 18Z so this is going to be a surprise to me as we go through!
WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN
Dry right through to now, when it's warm with temps of 19.
PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT
Still an extremely consistent picture. Latest on the left.
Onto the first two days of the festival.
WEDNESDAY
Totally dry, highs of 24.
Still very good consistency on Wednesday.
THURSDAY
Totally dry, highs of 26.
Unfortunately we are starting to see consistency for the low pushing down on Thursday.
FRIDAY
An improvement! Now a dry day with highs of 23! None of the rain hits the site.
But hang on a minute.... The bad news for the 00Z is that the low is worse. It's coming in deeper and more pronounced.
SATURDAY
Chance of light rain, highs of 20.
A big trough of low pressure capturing the UK.
SUNDAY
A small amount of rain hitting the site. Highs of 19.
Even though the low is fully here!
MONDAY MORNING
SUMMARY
Strange. A good and bad update.
While the low is very much winning, the temperatures are decent with nothing more than showers.
Think it's starting to look pretty certain now the low will win - the question being what exactly it will mean.
Bad update for the low, good update for the outcome!
This is the update from the morning or last night? Your work is absolutely awesome, thank you for keeping us informed!
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And the lads of AccuWeather didn't update including rain on their prediction. Still holding.
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16 minutes ago, steviewevie said:
...and met office website, as I think someone has mentioned, has dry but cloudy on friday and some showers on saturday afternoon...
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/gcn5n88mb#?nearestTo=Pilton (Somerset)&date=2022-06-25
The precipitation I think was showing peaks of 50/60% on Saturday and now 30%.
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14 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:
Kalifire has bullied me into changing my no good ways. The ECM 00z is improving…we’re saved
GAME. ON.
The Weather Thread 2022
in Chat
Posted
They added more chances that they had before. Before it was just couple of hours early morning.