Sheffield Steve Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 All the models are pretty much in agreement now. Wednesday - dry and warm Thursday - starting dry and warm but showers coming up from the south, potentially heavy, later in the day Friday - a few showers possible during the day, with a main band of rain coming in during the afternoon/evening Saturday - showers, with some models showing a lot more showers than others Sunday - showers, with some models showing a lot more showers than others As ever with showers, it’s impossible to say how much rain Glasto will get. Could be a deluge, could be nothing, no one knows. Not the BBC, not the Met Office, no one. Unfortunately, we’ll have to take gear for wet and gear for dry, and hope for the best! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Haj88 Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 utter guff https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1628362/glastonbury-festival-forecast-wash-out-thundery-showers/amp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squirrelarmy Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, Haj88 said: utter guff The Express always is. I’m surprised you read it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 (edited) After such a positive turn in the 18Z last night, could we possibly hope for the same trend to develop further? Let's bloody hope so! It's time for the 00Z. WEDNESDAY Totally dry, highs of 24. Pressure picture consistent. THURSDAY Totally dry, highs of 26. Again, pressure very similar. FRIDAY Only light rain hits the site in the evening. Highs of 19. We are now moving into the key timeframe for where changes can happen. But, for now, the picture remains similar to the last run. SATURDAY Highs of only 17, but again all the rain misses the site. 3pm 6pm 9pm - no threat of rain at all. This run is more along the lines of the 12Z yesterday, with the low just touching the UK, rather than the 18Z which had it to the west. Shame we couldn't have got further improvement on the 00Z. SUNDAY A change to the position of the low means there is rain around on Sunday afternoon, highs of 18. Unfortunately this has rain during the afternoon and early evening, and light stuff at night. 3pm 6pm Unfortunately we've definitely gone back to the 12Z run with a small trough over the UK. More wind in this run. MONDAY - DEPARTURE Dry on this run. SUMMARY It's a shame we couldn't see a further improvement in the position of the low in this run, regressing slightly more into the position of the 12Z. However, there is less rain around on the Saturday in this run, yet a but more on the Sunday. Still a lot of uncertainty for the weekend, and we can still get a get position out of this. Edited June 21, 2022 by briddj 1 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ayrshire Chris Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, Haj88 said: utter guff https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1628362/glastonbury-festival-forecast-wash-out-thundery-showers/amp @The Nalmust write for the express Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aragorn Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 Disappointed regarding Thursday. Looked like 2 days of sun. But almost certainly showers and sun now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbizarre Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, briddj said: After such a positive turn in the 18Z last night, could we possibly hope for the same trend to develop further? Let's bloody hope so! It's time for the 00Z. WEDNESDAY Totally dry, highs of 24. Pressure picture consistent. THURSDAY Totally dry, highs of 26. Again, pressure very similar. FRIDAY Only light rain hits the site in the evening. Highs of 19. We are now moving into the key timeframe for where changes can happen. But, for now, the picture remains similar to the last run. SATURDAY Highs of only 17, but again all the rain misses the site. 3pm 6pm 9pm - no threat of rain at all. This run is more along the lines of the 12Z yesterday, with the low just touching the UK, rather than the 18Z which had it to the west. Shame we couldn't have got further improvement on the 00Z. SUNDAY A change to the position of the low means there is rain around on Sunday afternoon, highs of 18. Unfortunately this has rain during the afternoon and early evening, and light stuff at night. 3pm 6pm Unfortunately we've definitely gone back to the 12Z run with a small trough over the UK. More wind in this run. MONDAY - DEPARTURE Dry on this run. SUMMARY It's a shame we couldn't see a further improvement in the position of the low in this run, regressing slightly more into the position of the 12Z. However, there is less rain around on the Saturday in this run, yet a but more on the Sunday. Still a lot of uncertainty for the weekend, and we can still get a get position out of this. I would be perfectly happy with this run! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 56 minutes ago, LinvoyPrimus said: This run is encouraging but not loving BBC and Met Office now forecasting potential rain on Thursday as well, when it was previously looking like we'd be rain-free for at least the first two days of the festival (and likely three as Friday was looking pretty good). Shaping up to be very 2014-ish. Yep - and that was muddy. The slippery top level kind - like slurry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Aragorn said: Disappointed regarding Thursday. Looked like 2 days of sun. But almost certainly showers and sun now GFS isn't having any of this Thursday evening rain nonsense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moogster Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 Those articles are all schadenfreude from people who didn't get tickets/want to go but don't dare, then sit with a cuppa watching BBC thinking "it's so much better like this". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fightoffyour Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 7 hours ago, FuzzyDunlop said: I am gunna sign off from this thread & efests before the festival. I have stuff to do on Tuesday before we leave overnight. I hope everyone has a great festival. It's been a shite few years for everyone, we all deserve a good one. Lets hope the weather means we can all enjoy it.A special thanks to @briddj for his sterling work on here & to @The Nal for reminding us that weather reports are always 100% accurate.See you all in the fields. Enjoy man, the bartering over plus or minus 3 degrees has been mildly amusing but I hope you’ll get through the first few days ok and enjoy the main music weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LinvoyPrimus Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 34 minutes ago, briddj said: After such a positive turn in the 18Z last night, could we possibly hope for the same trend to develop further? Let's bloody hope so! It's time for the 00Z. WEDNESDAY Totally dry, highs of 24. Pressure picture consistent. THURSDAY Totally dry, highs of 26. Again, pressure very similar. FRIDAY Only light rain hits the site in the evening. Highs of 19. We are now moving into the key timeframe for where changes can happen. But, for now, the picture remains similar to the last run. SATURDAY Highs of only 17, but again all the rain misses the site. 3pm 6pm 9pm - no threat of rain at all. This run is more along the lines of the 12Z yesterday, with the low just touching the UK, rather than the 18Z which had it to the west. Shame we couldn't have got further improvement on the 00Z. SUNDAY A change to the position of the low means there is rain around on Sunday afternoon, highs of 18. Unfortunately this has rain during the afternoon and early evening, and light stuff at night. 3pm 6pm Unfortunately we've definitely gone back to the 12Z run with a small trough over the UK. More wind in this run. MONDAY - DEPARTURE Dry on this run. SUMMARY It's a shame we couldn't see a further improvement in the position of the low in this run, regressing slightly more into the position of the 12Z. However, there is less rain around on the Saturday in this run, yet a but more on the Sunday. Still a lot of uncertainty for the weekend, and we can still get a get position out of this. OK so the worst rainfall we're looking at is 3mm on Sunday? I feel like we can live with that right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 netweather has crashed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squirrelarmy Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, steviewevie said: netweather has crashed So has MetCheck. Think people might be checking the weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 Ok, so it's not great, but we don't know how bad it's going to be even at this late stage. Looks like probably will get on and off showers and rain from Thursday evening onwards. So pray to the weather gods that not too much of it hits the site, hopefully won't get too muddy, but I don't think we're going to be mud free either. Met office has it staying fairly cool over weekend, but not getting that cold at night, but I guess will feel cold if raining and windy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 It’s a shit show - accept and move on. Just drink more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaledonianGonzo Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, steviewevie said: Ok, so it's not great, but we don't know how bad it's going to be even at this late stage. Looks like probably will get on and off showers and rain from Thursday evening onwards. So pray to the weather gods that not too much of it hits the site, hopefully won't get too muddy, but I don't think we're going to be mud free either. Met office has it staying fairly cool over weekend, but not getting that cold at night, but I guess will feel cold if raining and windy. Like we've not spent the last month watching you praying for exactly this scenario. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 (edited) It’s looking like every site is forecasting different rain Friday to Sunday. BBC have it early Friday, met have it later on Friday, the models look like potentially none on Friday…still so up in the air. We’re getting showers, just no real idea of when or how much. Edited June 21, 2022 by jparx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazwwe Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said: Like we've not spent the last month watching you praying for exactly this scenario. Genuinely seen him more happier for rainier checks than if the temp is above 20 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, CaledonianGonzo said: Like we've not spent the last month watching you praying for exactly this scenario. woah. FIGHT! No I haven't, I didn't want it hot. My manifesto was always 18C max, 14C min, no rain, sun/cloud, gentle breeze. Maybe I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one. That 18C max upset a lot of people. But, yesterday's weather would have been pretty close to that, bit warmer which I would have allowed because I'm nice like that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stopwn1981 Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 9 degrees at night with rain and wind and a few with hypothermia at the medical tent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, chazwwe said: Genuinely seen him more happier for rainier checks than if the temp is above 20 degrees. no...just all relative...because I wasn't happy when 25+ temps were being forecast...but believe it or now I would prefer that to what we have now. But...whatever, I guess it's all my fault. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jparx Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 Are we really blaming individual posters for the forecast now 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed90 Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 Bit confused at what people are complaining about now. The ensembles now have us looking at extremely minimal rain all days. Latest ECMWF also has that Saturday band of rain missing us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glasto Weatherwatch Posted June 21, 2022 Report Share Posted June 21, 2022 So I suppose we’re reduced to: Best case: bit damp but you can sit on a bin bag Worst case: non-stop on off rain and that top level chocolate milkshake 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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