The Weather Thread 2022

[dotdash79]

29 minutes ago, wilko8 said:

This thread is like crack

No sure I would suck someone off for a post. 

[drummerboy]

@Alvoramthis will be your first Glastonbury right? I've been to every one since '99, which I think gives me the ability to predict that you're gonna fit right in. Have a blast mate! 

[gherkin8r]

So basically the bad weather has been pushed back further by a day or so. Which seems to have been the general pattern all along. My money is on Sunday being the hottest day.

[rascalpete]

1 hour ago, Glastonlocal said:

Is it a KNIFE-EDGE?

No, it’s a KNIFE. EDGE.

[Alvoram]

Just now, drummerboy said:

@Alvoramthis will be your first Glastonbury right? I've been to every one since '99, which I think gives me the ability to predict that you're gonna fit right in. Have a blast mate! 

Thank you drummerboy, hope you have a blast too. 🙂 

[mazola]

If we can stay dry up to and including Friday, then I'll be more than satisfied.

[kalifire]

1 hour ago, stopwn1981 said:

Then don’t read the fucking thread 😂

Or, why don’t you try making better contributions instead of aping a better poster and treating criticism like some source of weird victory. 

[stuartbert two hats]

29 minutes ago, dotdash79 said:

No sure I would suck someone off for a post. 

Depends what the temperature and precipitation levels were. And personal hygiene levels, of course.

[stuartbert two hats]

13 minutes ago, mazola said:

If we can stay dry up to and including Friday, then I'll be more than satisfied.

Yeah, if I can pitch in the dry, dance to Confidence Man in the sunshine and pack up in the dry, I'm happy...as long as it's not biblical for Macca.

[gazzared]

1 minute ago, stuartbert two hats said:

Yeah, if I can pitch in the dry, dance to Confidence Man in the sunshine and pack up in the dry, I'm happy...as long as it's not biblical for Macca.

Ive forgotten what iam watching now because of this weather thread 🤣

[Spindles]

Watch the skies.  Keep watching.

[T-Mouse]

4 minutes ago, Spindles said:

Watch the skies.  Keep watching.

 

[gazzared]

4 minutes ago, Spindles said:

Watch the skies.  Keep watching.

And play the tone.... John Williams Arcadia would be great 🤣👍

[kalifire]

7 minutes ago, gazzared said:

And play the tone.... John Williams Arcadia would be great 🤣👍

Oof, imagine. What a set that would be 😍

[AlexOvd]

BBC now has rain Friday and Saturday... 

HOWEVER that run gives some hope. Tomorrow can be a reaction day for the models. Ok, the low is there but didn't expand on this one. 

Edited June 19, 2022 by AlexOvd

[clarkete]

19 minutes ago, AlexOvd said:

BBC now has rain Friday and Saturday... 

light rain

[AlexOvd]

10 minutes ago, clarkete said:

light rain

Yeah, also some more sun now. It looks like there is indeed a big battle on those days and that's why AccuWeather is just taking a seat and waiting for the winner. Wednesday looks almosts a lock. 

YR decreased the amount of rain but added Thursday. 

We need a high pressure reaction next couple of days for the win. 

 

Edited June 19, 2022 by AlexOvd

[stuartbert two hats]

14 minutes ago, clarkete said:

light rain

Thank you! Light rain for only some of Friday. Nothing bothers me on the current beeb forecast. 

[stuartbert two hats]

It will be fascinating to see @deebeedoobee@Sawdusty surfer's reports on how this affects the ground, we'll have actual evidence to discuss whether something like 2.9mm is actually any kind of rain to worry about in the slightest.

[Sawdusty surfer]

9 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said:

It will be fascinating to see @deebeedoobee@Sawdusty surfer's reports on how this affects the ground, we'll have actual evidence to discuss whether something like 2.9mm is actually any kind of rain to worry about in the slightest.

Will update in the morning, it's  stopped  raining  now and will be  interesting  to see how things look tomorrow 

[stuartbert two hats]

Just now, Sawdusty surfer said:

Will update in the morning, it's  stopped  raining  now and will be  interesting  to see how things look tomorrow 

My last post was a bit messed up, I couldn't put any words inside the tagged names. I'm interested to see how much rain fell last night, since your report showed it wasn't enough to stop the ground being hard.

[Tardigrade]

This entire thread is chalked imo.

I'll predict the weather when I look into the sky on Tuesday night.

Shameless Fantastic Man plug, as this was playing as I typed this post.

 

[Alvoram]

1 hour ago, AlexOvd said:

BBC now has rain Friday and Saturday... 

HOWEVER that run gives some hope. Tomorrow can be a reaction day for the models. Ok, the low is there but didn't expand on this one. 

 

1 hour ago, clarkete said:

light rain

And less than 25% chance of light rain both days too!

[waynewdk]

39 minutes ago, Tardigrade said:

This entire thread is chalked imo.

I'll predict the weather when I look into the sky on Tuesday night.

Shameless Fantastic Man plug, as this was playing as I typed this post.

 

Looks like the low pressure is now going east 

[briddj]

Ok then, I've no idea what happened with the 18Z so this is going to be a surprise to me as we go through!

WEDNESDAY MORNING - GATES OPEN

Dry right through to now, when it's warm with temps of 19.

PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT

Still an extremely consistent picture. Latest on the left.

Onto the first two days of the festival.

WEDNESDAY

Totally dry, highs of 24.

Still very good consistency on Wednesday.

THURSDAY

Totally dry, highs of 26.

Unfortunately we are starting to see consistency for the low pushing down on Thursday.

FRIDAY

An improvement! Now a dry day with highs of 23! None of the rain hits the site.

But hang on a minute.... The bad news for the 00Z is that the low is worse. It's coming in deeper and more pronounced.

SATURDAY

Chance of light rain, highs of 20.

A big trough of low pressure capturing the UK.

SUNDAY

A small amount of rain hitting the site. Highs of 19.

Even though the low is fully here!

MONDAY MORNING

SUMMARY

Strange. A good and bad update.

While the low is very much winning, the temperatures are decent with nothing more than showers.

Think it's starting to look pretty certain now the low will win - the question being what exactly it will mean.

Bad update for the low, good update for the outcome!

Edited June 19, 2022 by briddj