Jump to content

The Weather Thread 2022


sedra

Recommended Posts

6 hours ago, Alvoram said:

You roll the dice, if your numbers don't come up there can be consequences. We're not the first and won't be the last, until football changes it's ways. 

Cheers though. 🙂

We still had a great day in 2019, we weren't expecting anything from that game, and never really looked in it to be honest. 

It was the QPR game that hurt the most! I was at that one too. It felt, that whole game, like we couldn't lose... QPR deserved nothing from that game... But that's football. To be fair, we've been lucky at Wembley too, deserved nothing against WBA in 2007, but somehow got promoted. 

You know what, the playoffs are awful aren't they? 🤷‍♂️

Yeah it’s a brutal game. At least when we lost the year before we didn’t deserve it or ever look like winning, but that’s Bruceball for you.

You did us a massive favour the year after by beating Leeds in the semis. That would’ve been a horrible final for us, but against you there was only ever one winner on the day. You’ll be back!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

so different to GFS.

I'm starting to think that people who say these forecasters haven't got a fucking clue are onto something.

Yeah, it looks like it will be a really unpredictible weather that it going to be resolved by little details...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, tazbang said:

Lots of people draw all their conclusions from a single model run. The good thing about GFS is that the model can be looked at in the context of 30 separate runs of the model with slightly different parameters (called the GEFS ensembles). This allows an idea of whether the main GFS model run (operational) is nailed on or an 'outlier'.

From the GEFS ensembles we can see that very few runs are predicting the Friday night rain that the operational (green) run does - it is an outlier. Might happen, but I wouldn't be too worried at the moment.

prcpSomerset (1).webp

the operational is spiking on 25th/26th on that one...that's saturday/sunday....?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ok...so GFS and other models have been predicting torrential rain for this weekend, but that now seems to have gone and it might just be a few showers...which is what BBC have had on their forecast all week. And the BBC still has sun/cloud 19/11  boring weather all next week and weekend. Maybe BBC knows...in the end we have changeable weather in this country but we don't get much extreme stuff...so maybe it won't be that hot or that cold or that wet...just usual warmish, bit damp, boring british stuff. Maybe.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

1 minute ago, steviewevie said:

ok...so GFS and other models have been predicting torrential rain for this weekend, but that now seems to have gone and it might just be a few showers...which is what BBC have had on their forecast all week. And the BBC still has sun/cloud 19/11  boring weather all next week and weekend. Maybe BBC knows...in the end we have changeable weather in this country but we don't get much extreme stuff...so maybe it won't be that hot or that cold or that wet...just usual warmish, bit damp, boring british stuff. Maybe.

I don't really mind the rain if it's light and just couple of hours. What I want to avoid it's a mudbath or an extreme heatwave. I am not asking for that much!

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I remember being at Green Man a few years back, when the Met Office had a stall in Einstein's Garden. All the weather sites were predicting rain for the next day, but the Met Office's board outside was saying cloudy and dry.

The Met Office folk said stuff about how the large scale models can't - and aren't supposed to - model for some of the unique terrain in the UK and various other local level things that the Met Office models specialise in. I'm nowhere near intelligent enough to understand it fully, but what I do know is that they got it right.

So yeah, we don't know yet but it's good, if stressful, entertainment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So the last few runs are showing us getting a fingering from the north instead of the one we wanted? 

Meh, it's all pseudo science anyway... Until they start sowing nice weather again, it really means nothing this far out and is all guesswork!!! 🙈😂

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.



×
×
  • Create New...