Aragorn Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said: For the weather bods - is there a relationship between the sudden drop in temperatures this weekend and the subsequent divergence of the lines, beyond the fact that they're a further away in time? Is there something about the breakdown that's inherently chaotic? And once we're past that change in the weather, do we expect things to become more predictable? I.e. when next week starts, do we expect to have a fair degree of certainty of the festival weather conditions? Yes is the simple answer. By Sunday night we should have a very good idea of the chances of a total washout or not. Then it's down to the details from Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fred quimby Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, yehbutnobut said: Weather for the week ahead on the beeb looked faaaaaakin grim for this weekend… so if this does miss whilst I’m on site building… 🙏 As has been said previously, prepared to take one for the team to keep you petals dry during the week. 😘 Local weather man in SW was saying they are uncertain if it will get this far will change day by day no doubt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squirrelarmy Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 MetCheck looking chilly. Think I better start keeping an eye on this forecast too. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said: MetCheck looking chilly. Think I better start keeping an eye on this forecast too. Chilly but dry. I'd rather that than 34 degrees and being a sweety pig in the concerts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazwwe Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 11 at night in Pilton is a bit chilly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TaylorT Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Love how some are saying those temps are chilly. Those are heatwave temperatures up here in Scotland. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeyT Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Latest ECM Run: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yehbutnobut Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Just means more cuddling. I’m down with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aragorn Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 minute ago, JoeyT said: Latest ECM Run: Not a bad run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuartbert two hats Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 22 minutes ago, Aragorn said: Yes is the simple answer. By Sunday night we should have a very good idea of the chances of a total washout or not. Then it's down to the details from Monday. Is that simply because of time, or because of the breakdown? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 1 hour ago, kevbizarre said: I wonder if we had this weeks’ weather (amazing Wed to Friday) and then awful weekend would we be happy? I think I would be ok with that nah, next week looks much better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 22 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said: MetCheck looking chilly. Think I better start keeping an eye on this forecast too. looks good, but rain risk is fairly high over the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said: Is that simply because of time, or because of the breakdown? think it's a bit of both isn't it? models are struggling to forecast what happens after the hot weather end of this week, but they also disagree when further away in time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squirrelarmy Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, steviewevie said: looks good, but rain risk is fairly high over the weekend. Have you noticed the correlation between low pressure, cold temperatures and rain chance? As is stands any rain won’t dry up so we’ll all be wearing wet clothes on wet ground. This is why we want the pressure high and sun warm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glastonlocal Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 24 minutes ago, JoeyT said: Latest ECM Run: Can we get a readout on this from a Weatherbod please? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeyT Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 One positive looking at this chart from the Met Office in regards to the rainfall on Sunday is the majority of it looks to be falling through the night. First chart is 3am. Second is 6am which shows the rain has gone north (where it belongs 😉) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexOvd Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 26 minutes ago, JoeyT said: Latest ECM Run: High pressure awakens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billy Corgan's Ego Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 31 minutes ago, TaylorT said: Love how some are saying those temps are chilly. Those are heatwave temperatures up here in Scotland. It's making me laugh a lot. Cannot believe some can see negatives in the above forecast....no rain, mostly sunny and not below 18C any day. That's unbelievable festival weather 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steviewevie Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 16 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said: Have you noticed the correlation between low pressure, cold temperatures and rain chance? As is stands any rain won’t dry up so we’ll all be wearing wet clothes on wet ground. This is why we want the pressure high and sun warm. By warm you mean 18C I suppose Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TaylorT Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Billy Corgan's Ego said: It's making me laugh a lot. Cannot believe some can see negatives in the above forecast....no rain, mostly sunny and not below 18C any day. That's unbelievable festival weather People contemplating taking hats n scarves 😂😂😂😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
parsonjack Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 Yes it's the BBC...but this is about as perfect as it comes to be honest. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
squirrelarmy Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, TaylorT said: People contemplating taking hats n scarves 😂😂😂😂 Can’t go to a festival without a hat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheffield Steve Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 The UK Met Office model is coming in range now. But the models are all struggling with the setup over the festival, so all of these forecasts should be taken with a large pinch of salt. The Met Office model below, as with most of the other models, has the start of the queue party completely dry, but the GFS has plenty of rain about. We won’t have any accurate forecasts until Monday at the earliest with this kind of setup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave_c Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, squirrelarmy said: Can’t go to a festival without a hat I don't own a hat, should probably get one. Edited June 15, 2022 by Dave_c Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briddj Posted June 15, 2022 Report Share Posted June 15, 2022 39 minutes ago, JoeyT said: Latest ECM Run: Looks lovely. I've always believed in the ECM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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