Rolling Chance of Glastonbury 2022 Thread

[priest17]

0

[John the Moth]

98% down from 100% on the rumblings out of Brazil that herd immunity may not be possible 😳

[whitehorses]

96

[Smeble]

13 hours ago, mcshed said:

Glastonbury has been scheduled 37 times and cancelled due to a pandemic twice. So has a 94.6% base rate of successfully going ahead. Anyone with a number above that is saying it's more than usually likely to go ahead.

92%

Glastonbury has been scheduled to take place 2 times during a pandemic and has been cancelled both times, statistically it has 0% chance of happening next year if the pandemic is still occurring.

[Reckoner]

23/1 Average: 85.52

 

24-25/1 Average: 83.31 (-2.20%)

Rolling Average: 84.68 (-1.36%)

[dreadwing]

90%

[blutarsky]

90

[yehbutnobut]

94.99%

[Avalon_Fields]

95%
 

....and 100% for 2023

[Greenelk]

99%

[ErnestWorthing]

99%

[circus92]

100% Club all the way

[FakeEmpire]

5%

I'm just finding it difficult to be positive right now. The deja vu is real.

[Wellyboot]

72%

[THEBOILERMAN]

100%

[DareToDibble]

60%

[Bryanrebe]

50%

[BlackZeppelin]

75%

Vaccine efficacy on new variants seems the biggest threat

[Wellyboot]

78%

[Jacksamthompson]

99%

[Crazyfool01]

[circus92]

100%

[duke88]

51%

[Bryanrebe]

41% (previous 50%)

[kalifire]

90%