Rolling Chance of Glastonbury 2021 Thread

[makeyourtransition 10]

100%

[Gregfc15 140]

4%

Stats catch up

Day 7 [till 25/12]: 35.44%, (+4.32%)

Rolling Average (RA) 32.74% (+0.24%)

Day 8 [till 28/12]: 37.52 (+2.08)

RA: 33.05 (+0.31)

Day 9 [29/12]: 15.67 (-21.85)

RA: 31.56 (-1.49)

Day 10 [31/12]: 28.89 (+13.22)

RA:  31.32 (-0.24)

Day 11 [02/01]: 23.30 (-5.59)

RA: 30.76 (-0.56)

Day 12 [4/1]: 24.27 (+0.97)

RA: 30.40 (-0.36)

 

Rolling Average swing from Day 1: -16.03

[Gregfc15 140]

[Gregfc15 140]

Ignore the graph above, wrong data for rolling average

[Sasperella 529]

1 hour ago, Gregfc15 said:

4%

Stats catch up

Day 7 [till 25/12]: 35.44%, (+4.32%)

Rolling Average (RA) 32.74% (+0.24%)

Day 8 [till 28/12]: 37.52 (+2.08)

RA: 33.05 (+0.31)

Day 9 [29/12]: 15.67 (-21.85)

RA: 31.56 (-1.49)

Day 10 [31/12]: 28.89 (+13.22)

RA:  31.32 (-0.24)

Day 11 [02/01]: 23.30 (-5.59)

RA: 30.76 (-0.56)

Day 12 [4/1]: 24.27 (+0.97)

RA: 30.40 (-0.36)

 

Rolling Average swing from Day 1: -16.03

To clarify, you get a big like here for effort (good job!) and not because of the swing average

[Avalon_Fields 638]

Party like it’s 19.99%

[Gnomicide 4,809]

2 hours ago, Gregfc15 said:

Ignore the graph above, wrong data for rolling average

Graphs! Amazing.

[sadimmock 47]

55%

[hfuhruhurr 237]

95%

(confidence slightly shaken, will be more positive after a cuppa)

[WestCountryGirl 241]

2%

[ShakeyCrash 147]

10%. 

[JoeyT 1,054]

12%

[Supernintendo Chalmers 1,647]

24 weeks

0%

[northernringo 223]

On 12/29/2020 at 11:14 AM, northernringo said:

10%

1%

[crazyfool1 3,628]

0.1 % 

[blutarsky 213]

 5% 

Edited January 4 by blutarsky

[Sawdusty Surfer 1,754]

Can't put a specific percentage on it but can't help that the realistic chances are slipping away......

 

 

[Hotchilidog 178]

40% for me which is more pessimistic than I usually am. Next 7-8 weeks are likely to be grim news wise. If by March the increased restrictions and vaccinations signal a positive change in the direction of travel then hope can begin again. It's the June start that is problem for Glastonbury, I am much more hopeful that I'll be at Bloodstock in August.

[Wellyboot 482]

8%

[morph100 566]

7%

[Joshuwarr 139]

18%

[phimill 13]

0% - Mel B just said on 5live that Glastonbury has been cancelled as of today...

[Sawdusty Surfer 1,754]

7 minutes ago, phimill said:

0% - Mel B just said on 5live that Glastonbury has been cancelled as of today...

First says it at 15.49 and then when questioned about it she said that they have said it today! Then after Mel B goes presenter says his team haven't heard owt.

 Cripes.If correct, what a shocking leak.

[The Nal 3,732]

13 minutes ago, phimill said:

0% - Mel B just said on 5live that Glastonbury has been cancelled as of today...

Thats scary news.

[squirrelarmy 842]

100% 
 

Mel B’s from Leeds, she knows nowt.