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Will the 2021 festival go ahead?


JoeyT
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Glastonbury 2021   

434 members have voted

  1. 1. Following the Oxford Vaccine news will it go ahead?

    • Yes - I 100% believe
      43
    • Yes - I think so but not close to 100%. Need to see how the roll out progresses.
      158
    • Maybe - I'm 50/50
      87
    • Unlikely - Even with the latest news I think it's unlikely to take place
      79
    • No - The vaccine news is great but I can't see 200k people being allowed at Worthy Farm in June.
      67


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1 hour ago, DeanoL said:

Because 1 in 100 young healthy people who catch it get hospitalised - so even if we let it spread around the population, it will have to be done in a controlled fashion to stop the NHS getting overwhelmed.

Is this based as a % of those who have tested positive? As we know that there are loads of cases of Covid that are never confirmed by a positive test, especially those that are asymptommatic (they said on Newsnight last night I think that up to 80% of young people are asymptommatic). So when we include those that haven't had a confirmed case/those that are asymptomattic, then I imagine this would mean it would be lower than 1 in 100 getting hospitalised.

Edited by tigger123
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I had initially put the 'yes, but maybe we'll see' option... But now I'm feeling more like a no.

Sorry to be a negative Nigel, but I don't think there will be any major festivals running as normal until maybe 2023.

I feel like there will be lasting problems once the virus has pretty much been beaten, not to mention other political cock-ups like Brexit.

Maybe it's just me in a negative mindset at the moment, as my work decided to mix the bubbles 2 days before we finish, and someone that was put in my area tested positive yesterday... So now I am in isolation until the 27th and I'm spending Christmas at home instead of with my girlfriend and her family 😞

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8 minutes ago, K2SO said:

I had initially put the 'yes, but maybe we'll see' option... But now I'm feeling more like a no.

Sorry to be a negative Nigel, but I don't think there will be any major festivals running as normal until maybe 2023.

I feel like there will be lasting problems once the virus has pretty much been beaten, not to mention other political cock-ups like Brexit.

Maybe it's just me in a negative mindset at the moment, as my work decided to mix the bubbles 2 days before we finish, and someone that was put in my area tested positive yesterday... So now I am in isolation until the 27th and I'm spending Christmas at home instead of with my girlfriend and her family 😞

2023!?

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3 hours ago, eFestivals said:

the licence allows as many festivals at any time of year as the Eavii might want.

However, there's a strong expectation from the council that there won't be more than one a year, and with a year off now and then.

So in theory they could move the dates without any difficulties as far as the licence is concerned. 

There might be big difficulties with land availability, as well as suppliers and staff.

Thanks Neil, looks like there might be a glimmer of hope, although I won’t hedge my bets.

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25 minutes ago, K2SO said:

I had initially put the 'yes, but maybe we'll see' option... But now I'm feeling more like a no.

Sorry to be a negative Nigel, but I don't think there will be any major festivals running as normal until maybe 2023.

I feel like there will be lasting problems once the virus has pretty much been beaten, not to mention other political cock-ups like Brexit.

Maybe it's just me in a negative mindset at the moment, as my work decided to mix the bubbles 2 days before we finish, and someone that was put in my area tested positive yesterday... So now I am in isolation until the 27th and I'm spending Christmas at home instead of with my girlfriend and her family 😞

Nah I think end of summer 2021 is a good reasonable chance. 2022 for sure id have thought!

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58 minutes ago, tigger123 said:

Is this based as a % of those who have tested positive? As we know that there are loads of cases of Covid that are never confirmed by a positive test, especially those that asymptommatic (they said on Newsnight last night I think that up to 80% of young people are asymptommatic). So when we include those that haven't had a confirmed case/those that are asymptomattic, then I imagine this would mean it would be lower than 1 in 100 getting hospitalised.

Yeah that 1 in 100 number sounds fake as fuck 

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48 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

Yeah that 1 in 100 number sounds fake as fuck 

Quite.

While I can't be arsed to find the raw data to generate a real percentage, this is the current state of play with regards to admissions by age, and shows how hospitalisations are massively skewed to the older population.

image.png.ab99d37dd59a3c6751463951a29e41c7.png

Source - ONS & PHE

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46 minutes ago, incident said:

Quite.

While I can't be arsed to find the raw data to generate a real percentage, this is the current state of play with regards to admissions by age, and shows how hospitalisations are massively skewed to the older population.

image.png.ab99d37dd59a3c6751463951a29e41c7.png

Source - ONS & PHE

That’s significantly (if not actually) closer to 1 in 100,000 hospitalised under 40 then 1 in 100. 

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Just now, Deaf Nobby Burton said:

That’s significantly (if not actually) closer to 1 in 100,000 hospitalised under 40 then 1 in 100. 

so 2 from 200,000 .... Glastonbury population  .... without taking account of the numbers that have been jabbed already .... when its fairly common to get deaths in a standard year 

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3 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

I know quite a few people in their 20s who’ve had covid and it’s literally a cough for a few days and losing your taste for 5-7 days. 

for balance I know someone that age who was bed ridden for 2 weeks .... this really tells us not a great deal edit actually she must be younger .... just started at uni 

Edited by crazyfool1
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8 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

I know quite a few people in their 20s who’ve had covid and it’s literally a cough for a few days and losing your taste for 5-7 days. 

I’m in my 30’s and so is my wife.  Have felt absolutely awful for 2 weeks.  Still can’t taste anything at all and feeling very down about the whole thing.

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