Jump to content

When will this shit end?


Recommended Posts

6 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

So comparing the movement in cases from today and this day last week (yes I am a nerd & this is just rough work so not the be all):

England: +10.19% - Tier, local restrictions.

Scotland: -8.86% - Circuit break national lockdown since 7th October.

Wales: +5.14% - Fire break national lockdown since 23rd October.

 

I think you saw the numbers just as they were updating, you aren't losing the plot just yet!

Just to point out, Scottish numbers were unusually high last Tuesday because there was a laboratory issue over the previous weekend. I’m not sure how the 7 day average has changed since last week, but Sturgeon is pointing to a slowed doubling time but certainly not a fall in infections. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 40.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • steviewevie

    4701

  • Ozanne

    3393

  • crazyfool1

    3380

  • zahidf

    2185

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

I think on a music festival message board it’s a legitimate question to ask. It doesn’t suggest the OP doesn’t give a shit about anything else. Of course there are much bigger things to be worrie

I can’t get the following thought out of my head and it’s making the old bottom lip wobble: Wednesday evening at the 2021 festival, the sun has been out all day but temperature not stifling, perf

Howdy folks...sorry I'm late to the party! Was in a meeting and could see notifications coming up! So, looks very promising indeed. The vaccinated group not only didn't develop severe disease, bu

Posted Images

6 minutes ago, Quark said:

Is this not a bit of a busman's holiday for you TD?  It's amazingly helpful to read your posts, but I kind of imagine it'd be like me coming onto a festival forum and answering endless questions about IT contracts! :lol:

Obviously if the time comes* when that information is as useful and in demand to the population at large I'll step up to the plate as you have ;)

*it really won't, no-one gives a shit

That’s fair comment ... I wonder if TD has escaped this thread b4 :) 

Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

So comparing the movement in cases from today and this day last week (yes I am a nerd & this is just rough work so not the be all):

England: +10.19% - Tier, local restrictions.

Scotland: -8.86% - Circuit break national lockdown since 7th October.

Wales: +5.14% - Fire break national lockdown since 23rd October.

Just to build on this it does appear cases in Scotland are starting to fall going by the data on the government site. Its early sure but signs their lockdown could be working.

 

Screenshot 2020-10-27 at 17.02.54.png

Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Quark said:

Is this not a bit of a busman's holiday for you TD?  It's amazingly helpful to read your posts, but I kind of imagine it'd be like me coming onto a festival forum and answering endless questions about IT contracts! :lol:

Obviously if the time comes* when that information is as useful and in demand to the population at large I'll step up to the plate as you have ;)

*it really won't, no-one gives a shit

😂 

nah, it’s grand, I think about this stuff all the time anyway!

  • Upvote 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

Just to build on this it does appear cases in Scotland are starting to fall going by the data on the government site. Its early sure but signs their lockdown could be working.

 

Screenshot 2020-10-27 at 17.02.54.png

Got to note that their “circuit break” is basically equivalent to tiers 2 and 3 in England, so it’s encouraging if falls can be seen without actually going any stricter than tier 3 :) 

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

Got to note that their “circuit break” is basically equivalent to tiers 2 and 3 in England, so it’s encouraging if falls can be seen without actually going any stricter than tier 3 :) 

I mean not really, they’ve shut indoor dining completely haven’t they? We still have all establishments open who sell food... including spoons.

Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

Also as Peston points out, the death rate just doesn’t make sense compared to the infection rates both in terms of the official numbers and the prevalence studies. Either we have a really unhealthy population that’s screwing us a bit, some kind human error is in play, or we are missing lots of cases even in the prevalence studies. 

I think we are missing a lot of cases. Today’s positive rate was close to 10%.

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, FestivalJamie said:

I mean not really, they’ve shut indoor dining completely haven’t they? We still have all establishments open who sell food... including spoons.

Yeah okay their tier 3 is a bit stricter as it has closed indoor hospitality altogether, good point 

Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Fuzzy Afro said:

https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-10-27/pfizer-enrolls-over-42-000-patients-for-covid-19-vaccine-trial?__twitter_impression=true
 

 

@Toilet Duck - This saying Pfizer hasn’t even seen 32 events yet, well short of the required 150? Can we forget that one being approved before Christmas? 

The 150 is the final readout of the trial, needed to show 50% efficacy. If a signal on efficacy is there earlier, they’ll use it to ask for emergency use and the better the efficacy, the fewer events needed to see a signal. They are now expecting 70-90% efficacy, but until they actually unblind the data and look, they won’t know for sure. I guess they must be getting close to the required number of events for their planned interim analysis if they have been suggesting applying for EUA as soon as the FDA will allow them to (which is just under 4 weeks away). Again, there’s still time for things to not work out for any of the candidates, but the Pfizer one looks to be still on track. The 150 wasn’t expected to be reached til about next summer. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, FestivalJamie said:

I mean not really, they’ve shut indoor dining completely haven’t they? We still have all establishments open who sell food... including spoons.

Don't, he's just trying to get a response.

Scotlands measures are tougher than tier 3 and form a kind of 'lockdown-lite' basically. Some places can stay open, indoor restaurants can be open 6 - 6 with no alcohol being sold etc. Then you have the tougher measures through the central belt. It's probably what our tier 4 would be if they brought it in. From the data though it does appear to show very early signs of working in Scotland.

Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, Toilet Duck said:

😂

nah, it’s grand, I think about this stuff all the time anyway!

Fair do's.  If you wanna know anything about milestone payment criteria or liabilities for confidentiality breaches just give me a shout.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, onthebeach said:

The deaths reported today are so sad and horribly high even allowing for the weekend lag. Not sure if I saw this tweet on here from 2 days ago, but I have been thinking that deaths have been high for the last 2 weeks

 

I think this tweet was posted, but this is an interesting point. If fatality rates are supposed to be lower now then surely it just means a lot of cases are being missed and case numbers are actually considerably higher?

Edited by Zoo Music Girl
Link to post
Share on other sites

Massive increase in testing capacity  today. 

Capacity is over 568,000 including anti body tests. Not counting antibody tests puts them at 447k. 

They could pass 500k PCR tests on its own soon.

Edited by Leyrulion
  • Upvote 1
  • Downvote 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Zoo Music Girl said:

I think this tweet was posted, but this is an interesting point. If fatality rates are supposed to br lower now then surely it just means a lot of cases are being missed and case numbers are actually considerably higher?

I really  hope it’s missing cases or it looks like we are not doing as well as we were hoping on the fatality rate what with all the new therapeutics/procedures that are now in place since March/April 

Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Leyrulion said:

Massive increase in testing today. 

Capacity is over 568,000 including anti body tests. Not counting antibody tests puts them at 447k. 

They could pass 500k PCR tests on its own soon.

This is just false?

There is an increase in testing capacity.

The actual tests processed was down to 261,855.

Link to post
Share on other sites

With the big testing increases (40% up since October 1st just for the virus), positive news about vaccines coming imminently, plans for even further mass testing I'm feeling really hopeful today. 

Maybe 10 more weeks of pain to see us into the new year and we could genuinely be in a really positive situation come the start of the new year.

  • Upvote 2
  • Downvote 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, FestivalJamie said:

This is just false?

There is an increase in testing capacity.

The actual tests processed was down to 261,855.

Not sure why this slipped through my muting of you tbh. 

Missed a word out. Calmdown. 

 

  • Upvote 1
  • Downvote 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Leyrulion said:

With the big testing increases (40% up since October 1st just for the virus), positive news about vaccines coming imminently, plans for even further mass testing I'm feeling really hopeful today. 

Maybe 10 more weeks of pain to see us into the new year and we could genuinely be in a really positive situation come the start of the new year.

The positivity rate was almost 10% today, the highest it’s been probably since the spring. I don’t personally take any good news from that.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, FestivalJamie said:

The positivity rate was almost 10% today, the highest it’s been probably since the spring. I don’t personally take any good news from that.

Good to see you around here again mate, hope the new job's going well.

Whilst I agree with you to an extent there is plenty to be positive about today. Testing capacity is up to a huge level, vaccine movement can be seen from many different places and we are nearing the festive season. I know it looks tough out there and it is but trust me there's loads to be hopeful about!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...



×
×
  • Create New...