When will this shit end?

[JoeyT]

46 minutes ago, efcfanwirral said:

 

You love to see it! 

[efcfanwirral]

If it wasn't for religious holidays we'd be coming out of it now. I hope we don't do anything stupid, like that article suggests, for Easter, which I know for religious people means a lot but for the rest of us means less than nothing  

[st dan]

The Express only stating that outdoor meetings of 6 ‘could’ happen by May. So seems to have been a briefing mixup somewhere along the way. 

Edited February 12, 2021 by st dan

[Steveb72]

1 hour ago, Punksnotdead said:

I think I might be in 6 too - whereabouts in the country are you?

On the Wirral

[zahidf]

15 minutes ago, Mr.Tease said:

Daily Mail headlines start rolling: “You WILL be able to hug granny at Easter!”

Well yes, she's been vaccinated! Hug away

[Mellotr0n]

14 minutes ago, RobertProsineckisLighter said:

Wasn't it shown earlier in the pandemic that more transmission was happening in private dwellings than in restaurants etc... 

Allowing household mixing in hospitality venues might be the sweet spot that's needed, maybe?

Don’t you think though that if people think they can see each other in the pub,

“well why on earth can’t we see each other at the house? Less people so less dangerous?”

(I am of course playing Devil’s Advocate a little).

[Mellotr0n]

4 minutes ago, st dan said:

The Express only stating that outdoor meetings of 6 ‘could’ happen by May. So seems to have been a briefing mixup somewhere along the way. 

Blimey. I had assumed rule of 6 outside would be one of the first things we’d get, perhaps mid/late March...

[xxialac]

15 minutes ago, Paul ™ said:

Poor programming when you can put any info in and it goes through 

This is one of the quarantine hotels. Imagining being stuck in that space for 11 sodding days AND spending £1750 for the privilege.

I don't think my mental health could take that...

Edited February 12, 2021 by xxialac

[st dan]

1 minute ago, Mellotr0n said:

Blimey. I had assumed rule of 6 outside would be one of the first things we’d get, perhaps mid/late March...

Yeah me too! Reading it again it only states ‘experts predict’. Who needs the experts eh! Roll on Easter. 

[st dan]

1 minute ago, xxialac said:

This is one of the quarantine hotels. Imagining being stuck in that space for 11 sodding days AND spending £1750 for the privelege.

I don't think my mental health could take that...

Blimey ..

[Toilet Duck]

22 minutes ago, Mr.Tease said:

I thought it was just me wondering this earlier so didn’t say anything, but can someone explain this:

 

As R drops, each successive generation of people infected is smaller than the last. So for example, if R is 4, then 1000 infected people will infect 4000. If R drops to 3, then 1000 infected people will infect 3000. Cases have dropped from 4000 to 3000 but R isn’t below 1. The graph above shows daily cases rather than cumulative ones (that’s a line that keeps growing!). When R does drop below 1, cases will eventually dwindle to 0, how far below 1 determines how quickly you get there. Estimating R is difficult and not that exact (hence a range is given that reflects the current caseload). But cases will appear to drop before R actually reaches 1. 

[stuartbert two hats]

15 minutes ago, BobWillis said:

And shrank in November. 

Massive, massive lag?

[steviewevie]

[Paul ™]

5 minutes ago, xxialac said:

This is one of the quarantine hotels. Imagining being stuck in that space for 11 sodding days AND spending £1750 for the privilege.

I don't think my mental health could take that...

Haha where did you see that? Is that genuine? 

 

[steviewevie]

Maybe data coming out of hospitals is all good and they really can have shops and pubs all open before the May local elections....

[RobertProsineckisLighter]

Just now, Mellotr0n said:

Don’t you think though that if people think they can see each other in the pub,

“well why on earth can’t we see each other at the house? Less people so less dangerous?”

(I am of course playing Devil’s Advocate a little).

Yep I can see the arguement both ways. I guess the idea being if you give people somewhere they meet they might choose to do it there rather than the more risky home.

[xxialac]

2 minutes ago, st dan said:

Blimey ..

Hi, um, can I have an Irish coffee delivered to the room please? No. Tea? Um, can of Fanta? Minibar - no I’ll get it myself.

[Suprefan]

We’re expanding who can get it, yay.

 

 

 

[xxialac]

3 minutes ago, Paul ™ said:

Haha where did you see that? Is that genuine? 

 

Yep, that's the Thistle. It's not even the cheapest hotel.

They're using the Ibis Styles which is £60 a night normally or, er, now £175 with meals and no use of any of the facilities. 

[zahidf]

 

[RobertProsineckisLighter]

15 minutes ago, xxialac said:

This is one of the quarantine hotels. Imagining being stuck in that space for 11 sodding days AND spending £1750 for the privilege.

I don't think my mental health could take that...

You just know it's going to have a TV with only three channels you can tune too, 2 shopping channels and Drama or something like that. 

[Fuzzy Afro]

13 minutes ago, Toilet Duck said:

As R drops, each successive generation of people infected is smaller than the last. So for example, if R is 4, then 1000 infected people will infect 4000. If R drops to 3, then 1000 infected people will infect 3000. Cases have dropped from 4000 to 3000 but R isn’t below 1. The graph above shows daily cases rather than cumulative ones (that’s a line that keeps growing!). When R does drop below 1, cases will eventually dwindle to 0, how far below 1 determines how quickly you get there. Estimating R is difficult and not that exact (hence a range is given that reflects the current caseload). But cases will appear to drop before R actually reaches 1. 

In this analogy wouldn't 4000 infect 12000 when R = 3 though?

[steviewevie]

5 minutes ago, Suprefan said:

We’re expanding who can get it, yay.

 

 

 

Interesting that pregnancy on there.

[xxialac]

1 minute ago, RobertProsineckisLighter said:

You just know it's going to have a TV with only three channels you can tune too, 2 shopping channels and Drama or something like that. 

Yep. But at least you can be the worst guest in the history of hotels and you know they won't throw you out.

[Ozanne]

How many times does this government have to make the same mistakes over and over again? No one cares that’s the saddest thing.