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When will this shit end?


Chrisp1986

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2 minutes ago, ace56blaa said:

image.thumb.png.1604914011947ab73309daaaa1d43b65.pngSo this is the new figures today, seems almost exactly yesterdays figures and some of the figures having been updated. - It says deaths is 71 again today. which is upsetting was hoping yesterday was a fluke. 

Not sure this is accurate. 52 deaths being reported elsewhere. 

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1 minute ago, crazyfool1 said:

71 came through as a sky news flash ... 

91227AE8-C068-4451-BE7C-6EA675BC7376.jpeg

Yeah he gov website says it's definitely 71 again today. - My point about it missing loads of data and getting stuff wrong and leaving old data on the homepage as if it's newly reported for days until it's updated has been happening throughout the pandemic. - Just thankful we aren't having the stint of no data we did in the middle

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1 hour ago, Toilet Duck said:

Yep, read this after I replied to your other question...pretty much all the trials are powered the same way. 15,000 people in each group, vaccine vs control. They need 150 or so events (infections) in the control arm to find a statistically significant difference in the vaccinated arm (and they pitched this as 50% effective, but are probably hoping for better...that would be enough for the vaccine to be useful though). So, about 1% of the people in the control arm of the trill need to get infected before they reach their primary endpoint. They will get a signal before that though, so based on that, it's up to the regulators whether they want to take that and the phase 1, phase 2 and pre-clinical data and issue an emergency use authorisation (which will ball this vaccines get until there is longer follow up). 

This is all really interesting, thanks for the explanations/ updates.

Have you any summary idea where some of the more advance trials are currently in terms of optimism from early data? Never quite know how to interpret things in the MSM on this subject, such as the pauses in Oxford vaccine trials - whether there is any real cause for concern or just par for the scientific course. 

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50 minutes ago, ace56blaa said:

image.thumb.png.382413e2652a41ee1ab8ddee4e1d019a.pngHave we talked about how the testing figures have changed since reported yesterday and been renamed pcr tests processed. 

I swear it was 198,000 tests processed when reported yesterday.

Correct....it was 198,402 yesterday so something has changed with testing numbers.

What's more they have also changed for every day since 5th May, with an increase on every day since then, and by as much as 20k+ over recent weeks.  If anyone wants to see the figures since April as reported up to yesterday I can share them.

The net effect of this is that with more tests and same number of cases the Positivity % goes down.  Sounds good....but why have the figures been revised in this way?  

🤔

Edited by parsonjack
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