When will this shit end?

[squirrelarmy]

Stop eduction in the north! Can’t have those commoners learning things. 

[Ozanne]

8 minutes ago, crazyfool1 said:

im here for the bollocks and the info .... thats ok isn't it ?  this thread makes me learn a bit more about other peoples thoughts on things 

Course it is, this thread will become part of history when this is all over. 

[steviewevie]

 

[stuie]

12 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

 

How is this breaking news? Of course the R is > 1. If it wasn’t then the number of cases wouldn’t have risen.

[fred quimby]

26 minutes ago, mazola said:

Jesus Christ this thread does my head in, I'm only here for toiletduck and stats but the amount of bollocks I wade through every day is starting feel not worth it.

He has become a bit of a cult hero, mine anyway

[steviewevie]

Just now, stuie said:

How is this breaking news? Of course the R is > 1. If it wasn’t then the number of cases wouldn’t have risen.

it's official I guess...

[Crazyfool01]

9 minutes ago, Ozanne said:

Course it is, this thread will become part of history when this is all over. 

wonder how many pages we will be on when this drops to page 2 ......... my guess will be over 2500 

[Fuzzy Afro]

2 minutes ago, stuie said:

How is this breaking news? Of course the R is > 1. If it wasn’t then the number of cases wouldn’t have risen.

Not necessarily. There was instances 3-4 weeks ago where the official case numbers were rising (because of either more testing, or more *targeted* testing) but the R number was below 1 (because the true underlying number of infections were falling)

 

The key point now is that infections are rising, and hence R > 1. Positive cases are not necessarily always a good estimator of the true number of infections.

[steviewevie]

Freshers week next week at Manchester Uni. Party party cough cough.

[gazzared]

On 9/6/2020 at 6:26 PM, squirrelarmy said:

Just the North West. Can’t trust anyone from there

Merseyside now on the watch list....not surprising judging by all the social media pictures I saw from friends of friends Saturday night... Looked like a normal new years eve party 😡

[Fuzzy Afro]

4 minutes ago, steviewevie said:

Freshers week next week at Manchester Uni. Party party cough cough.

Whole new meaning of the term "freshers flu"

[steviewevie]

 

[Ozanne]

17 minutes ago, crazyfool1 said:

wonder how many pages we will be on when this drops to page 2 ......... my guess will be over 2500 

Gotta be somewhere around there, we should make page 1,000 a big moment.  

[Pinhead]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/11/coronavirus-cases-in-england-doubling-every-eight-days-study-shows

France worse tho - 10K in a day - highest ever single day total. Near 100K in a day in india. No doubt improved testing biases this a little, but probably not enough to explain away increases. Suppose everyone knew this would probably happen tho.

[metallimuse]

Do we think at the rate it's going a second full English lockdown is likely?

[Ozanne]

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/sep/11/birmingham-lockdown-rules-tightened-as-covid-cases-rise?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

 

Restrictions tightened in Birmingham. 

[zahidf]

Just now, metallimuse said:

Do we think at the rate it's going a second full English lockdown is likely?

Nah regional lockdown I reckon 

[Pinhead]

Just now, metallimuse said:

Do we think at the rate it's going a second full English lockdown is likely?

I do tbh, yep.

[steviewevie]

1 minute ago, Pinhead said:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/sep/11/coronavirus-cases-in-england-doubling-every-eight-days-study-shows

France worse tho - 10K in a day - highest ever single day total. Near 100K in a day in india. No doubt improved testing biases this a little, but probably not enough to explain away increases. Suppose everyone knew this would probably happen tho.

Yeah, France is looking bad..I think Macron going to annouce a plan to tackle rising cases today.....

[steviewevie]

2 minutes ago, metallimuse said:

Do we think at the rate it's going a second full English lockdown is likely?

No, I don't think so...don't think the economy could take it. But, who knows.

[steviewevie]

 

[squirrelarmy]

3 minutes ago, zahidf said:

Nah regional lockdown I reckon 

The North will get locked down. Won’t affect most Tory voters. 

[steviewevie]

1 minute ago, squirrelarmy said:

The North will get locked down. Won’t affect most Tory voters. 

northern working class are the new tories.

[Mark E. Spliff]

33 minutes ago, stuie said:

How is this breaking news? Of course the R is > 1. If it wasn’t then the number of cases wouldn’t have risen.

Not so.  R rate measures the acceleration of the increase in numbers infected, not the increase.  The following three examples are oversimplified, i.e. they don't take any account of the latency period etc, but they still illustrate the effects of different R rates:

1.  R rate = 2

Day one 10 cases.  Day two 20 cases.  Day three 40 cases.  Day four 80 cases.

2.  R rate = 1.

 Day one ten cases.  Day two 20 cases.  Day three 30 cases.  Day four 40 cases.  Etc.

3.  R rate = 0.5

Day one ten cases.  Day two  15 cases.  Day three 17.5 cases.  Day four 18.75 cases.  Etc.

Edited September 11, 2020 by Mark E. Spliff

[SDSM]

2 hours ago, tigger123 said:

Prat Hancock 

Before I get any stick for giving a downvote, I feel that posting this under c**t gallery is highly disrespectful