The Weather Thread 2019

[fred quimby]

1 minute ago, briddj said:

From Netweather: "For people wondering about the the Surface temperatures being suppressed its quite a plausible outcome. Soundings show there is a strong EML in place and given the cold SST's there will probably a lot of convective debris and strata-clu riding atop the θ-E advection from France. "

What the fuck does that mean? ?

surely they are making it up

[tumbles]

Something’s spooked the BBC app slightly too 

[DL50]

So is it gonna be sunny or not?

[Woffy]

9 minutes ago, briddj said:

From Netweather: "For people wondering about the the Surface temperatures being suppressed its quite a plausible outcome. Soundings show there is a strong EML in place and given the cold SST's there will probably a lot of convective debris and strata-clu riding atop the θ-E advection from France. "

What the fuck does that mean? ?

‘strata-clu’

’riding atop’

’the θ-E advection’

Ohhhh, for fucks sake! Well that’s that then. 

Gutted. 

[Olshansky]

20 minutes ago, briddj said:

That said, the actual run itself here is almost perfect festival weather. Completely dry, not too hot.

This is because I bought waterproof trousers for the first time ever 

[waltere]

That latest run is absolutely perfect as far as I'm concerned

[frostypaw]

15 minutes ago, briddj said:

From Netweather: "For people wondering about the the Surface temperatures being suppressed its quite a plausible outcome. Soundings show there is a strong EML in place and given the cold SST's there will probably a lot of convective debris and strata-clu riding atop the θ-E advection from France. "

What the fuck does that mean? ?

low sea temps cooling air causing turbulence and messing up the 'jet' of it and bringing more cloud into play

[davelucs]

10 minutes ago, DL50 said:

So is it gonna be sunny or not?

Sunny cha, Phil Jones said so, I think.....

[mpdow2]

17 minutes ago, briddj said:

From Netweather: "For people wondering about the the Surface temperatures being suppressed its quite a plausible outcome. Soundings show there is a strong EML in place and given the cold SST's there will probably a lot of convective debris and strata-clu riding atop the θ-E advection from France. "

What the fuck does that mean? ?

Of course the strata-clu it was there for us all to see. How the hell did I miss this?

[doogie]

30 minutes ago, briddj said:

That said, the actual run itself here is almost perfect festival weather. Completely dry, not too hot.

Stick Stick Stick Stick Sticky Sticky Stick Stick

 

[stopwn1981]

Perfect run, perfect temps...STICK

[gherkin8r]

36 minutes ago, briddj said:

From Netweather: "For people wondering about the the Surface temperatures being suppressed its quite a plausible outcome. Soundings show there is a strong EML in place and given the cold SST's there will probably a lot of convective debris and strata-clu riding atop the θ-E advection from France. "

What the fuck does that mean? ?

You're just too good to be true, can't my strata-clu

[Wallace]

I’ll be honest guys, I’m shitting myself. I should probably go to the loo.

Edited June 22, 2019 by Wallace

[Wallace]

16 hours ago, stopwn1981 said:

Meanwhile over a Netweather - are we about to get fingered?

Indeed ECM & UKMO both allowing the main ridge to topple slightly SE at which point the plume can fully engage the UK

ECM ~23c this morning

Incredible stuff from EC !!

And even better the Azores high has taken his weetabix  this morning   bye bye Atlantic .. 

Would love to be fingered

[stopwn1981]

22 minutes ago, Wallace said:

Would love to be fingered

Slag

[Ryan1984]

Countryfile forecast coming up in the next 24 hours. Shit is about to get very real.

[Ommadawn]

46 minutes ago, Wallace said:

I’ll be honest guys, I’m shitting myself. I should probably go to the loo.

 

43 minutes ago, Wallace said:

Would love to be fingered

Maybe just not now

[bombfrog]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

there is a strong EML in place

 

[T-Mouse]

After all we've been through. It's actually looks like we are getting properly fingered by the Azores.

God I hope you this run and the other models stay in sync. Despite everything, we really could be in for a 2010.

[Northern Jack]

I'll take that all day long - not getting my hopes up until I've watched Countryfile though.

Not packing the factor 50 just yet!

[PaintedInSand]

1 hour ago, briddj said:

So, here's the 18Z run through....

Pressure: As before, builds to a high through to Wednesday before dropping on Friday. Higher pressure stays in control until dropping a little on Sunday.

Precipitation: Rain on Sunday 3pm to 9pm, and a little bit more overnight to lunch but it's not very much at all.

There is then NO RAIN AT ALL worth mentioning throughout the whole festival. Not even the overnight rain into Wednesday. This is how it looks when the gates open, cooler than previous runs at 16-17 but dry.

Max temperature: Sunday 20-21, Monday 20, Tuesday 21, Wednesday 19-20, Thursday 21-22, Friday 25, Saturday 22-23, Sunday 19-20

Summary: This run a bit of an odd run because it has downgraded temperatures MASSIVELY with only Friday having above average temperates for the time of year. Will be interesting to see in the next few days what agreement there is elsewhere on this.

That said, the actual run itself here is almost perfect festival weather. Completely dry, not too hot.

 

[dizzymoo]

6 hours ago, Tranquility of Solitude said:

I think there’s a couple of meteorologists sat in a room somewhere laughing at us. 

“Oh go on.... make it show them it’s pissing down again on the next run”

and bumping fists whilst reading this thread.

Evidence for this... if you search for Pilton forecast on Netweather it shows temperatures in the low teens and thunderstorms during the festival. What it doesn't tell you is that this is Pilton in Edinburgh!

[Winslow Leach]

I dunno if it's because I'm up at 02:08AM and have broken into my festival... ahem... supplies... but this thread has been simultaneously a terrifying rollercoaster and a colossal, hilarious bonding experience/rollercoaster over this last week.

 

Hats off to you all, especially @The Nal. 

[Winslow Leach]

Trying to remember if I've ever met The Nal, I went to the efests meet up once in 2015 and met a few people, but if I remember rightly @Wooderson bought me a pint and told me that The Nal was (and I quote) 'around here somewhere, walking about like sex on legs' but unsure if we actually crossed paths.

 

True story.

[tevaburger]

43 minutes ago, Winslow Leach said:

Trying to remember if I've ever met The Nal, I went to the efests meet up once in 2015 and met a few people, but if I remember rightly @Wooderson bought me a pint and told me that The Nal was (and I quote) 'around here somewhere, walking about like sex on legs' but unsure if we actually crossed paths.

 

True story.

Jagger dance?