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The Weather Thread 2019


sedra

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10 minutes ago, Bin Fish said:

Spare a thought for @FuzzyDunlop!

tenor.gif?itemid=4956349(

(weather thread devotees desperate for sun and dry weather)

 

I do hope he's okay- those temps are brutal for folks that struggle with the heat, especially with the night time temps being so high (would suggest it's humid heat)

 

edit: yikes, those temps are even higher than I originally thought, and all the way through to Saturday?

Those are quite dangerous temps, especially with people drinking a lot of alcohol- take care folks!

Edited by Mr.Tease
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So here's the 12Z. Can we start to go back up the rollercoaster?

Pressure: Building in through the week as we've always seen. But a huge improvement here as we no longer see the low winning out through Thursday. Here's a comparison between runs, and as you can see the right panel (latest run) keeps the UK in the red rather than the lower pressure orange creeping in and beginning to break up the high pressure.

image.thumb.png.dd4418e66d50f33d0a4dff4b194064df.png

The low pressure does start to make inroads by Friday evening, but it is now just a glancing blow for the south of the UK.

Precipitation: As usual, dry to tomorrow at 3pm rain the rain comes in but and sticks around to Monday lunchtime. None of it is the really heavy stuff we've seen in past runs though. 

This is how it looks when the gates open on Wednesday - the band of heavy rain shown is tracking the channel and doesn't hit the southwest mainland. There could be some morning showers for Somerset but shouldn't amount to much.

image.thumb.png.2c0917d86f6162ea3eea1c8794b743d6.png

After those possible morning showers on Wednesday, there is no rain showing for the whole festival!

The first day of the festival is going to be sweltering (see below)! And it is showing as 25-26 degrees at midnight, and it's back to that again by 9am Saturday...

image.thumb.png.4dafcb8b34b1ca352a11fe45beab8b85.png

There is a heavy band of rain on Saturday which is showing as hitting north Wales and north west, so we just need to be wary of that.

Look at the temperature!

image.thumb.png.715783655b0c50efb5fcce149ea31d5a.png

Max Temperature: Sunday 19, Monday 20-21, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 23-24, Thursday 24, Friday 27-28, Saturday 29-30, Sunday 19-20


Summary: This is a massively improved run, and at last the GFS is getting back in line with the ECM. It's not quite aligning, as the low pressure does still fight back over the weekend. But now it does not bring the weather fronts in, though it is much cooler (will be a relief!) on the Sunday.

So bar perhaps some Wednesday morning showers, we are currently BACK ON TRACK. Let's hope the pockets of rain that are around, and currently not showing to hit the south west, stay the hell away.

See you back here at 11.20.....

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3 minutes ago, briddj said:

So here's the 12Z. Can we start to go back up the rollercoaster?

Pressure: Building in through the week as we've always seen. But a huge improvement here as we no longer see the low winning out through Thursday. Here's a comparison between runs, and as you can see the right panel (latest run) keeps the UK in the red rather than the lower pressure orange creeping in and beginning to break up the high pressure.

image.thumb.png.dd4418e66d50f33d0a4dff4b194064df.png

The low pressure does start to make inroads by Friday evening, but it is now just a glancing blow for the south of the UK.

Precipitation: As usual, dry to tomorrow at 3pm rain the rain comes in but and sticks around to Monday lunchtime. None of it is the really heavy stuff we've seen in past runs though. 

This is how it looks when the gates open on Wednesday - the band of heavy rain shown is tracking the channel and doesn't hit the southwest mainland. There could be some morning showers for Somerset but shouldn't amount to much.

image.thumb.png.2c0917d86f6162ea3eea1c8794b743d6.png

After those possible morning showers on Wednesday, there is no rain showing for the whole festival!

The first day of the festival is going to be sweltering (see below)! And it is showing as 25-26 degrees at midnight, and it's back to that again by 9am Saturday...

image.thumb.png.4dafcb8b34b1ca352a11fe45beab8b85.png

There is a heavy band of rain on Saturday which is showing as hitting north Wales and north west, so we just need to be wary of that.

Look at the temperature!

image.thumb.png.715783655b0c50efb5fcce149ea31d5a.png

Max Temperature: Sunday 19, Monday 20-21, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 23-24, Thursday 24, Friday 27-28, Saturday 29-30, Sunday 19-20


Summary: This is a massively improved run, and at last the GFS is getting back in line with the ECM. It's not quite aligning, as the low pressure does still fight back over the weekend. But now it does not bring the weather fronts in, though it is much cooler (will be a relief!) on the Sunday.

So bar perhaps some Wednesday morning showers, we are currently BACK ON TRACK. Let's hope the pockets of rain that are around, and currently not showing to hit the south west, stay the hell away.

See you back here at 11.20.....

Think we'll be praying for rain if those temps come to pass- imagine 2017 wednesday's heat every day!?

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12 minutes ago, briddj said:

So here's the 12Z. Can we start to go back up the rollercoaster?

Pressure: Building in through the week as we've always seen. But a huge improvement here as we no longer see the low winning out through Thursday. Here's a comparison between runs, and as you can see the right panel (latest run) keeps the UK in the red rather than the lower pressure orange creeping in and beginning to break up the high pressure.

image.thumb.png.dd4418e66d50f33d0a4dff4b194064df.png

The low pressure does start to make inroads by Friday evening, but it is now just a glancing blow for the south of the UK.

Precipitation: As usual, dry to tomorrow at 3pm rain the rain comes in but and sticks around to Monday lunchtime. None of it is the really heavy stuff we've seen in past runs though. 

This is how it looks when the gates open on Wednesday - the band of heavy rain shown is tracking the channel and doesn't hit the southwest mainland. There could be some morning showers for Somerset but shouldn't amount to much.

image.thumb.png.2c0917d86f6162ea3eea1c8794b743d6.png

After those possible morning showers on Wednesday, there is no rain showing for the whole festival!

The first day of the festival is going to be sweltering (see below)! And it is showing as 25-26 degrees at midnight, and it's back to that again by 9am Saturday...

image.thumb.png.4dafcb8b34b1ca352a11fe45beab8b85.png

There is a heavy band of rain on Saturday which is showing as hitting north Wales and north west, so we just need to be wary of that.

Look at the temperature!

image.thumb.png.715783655b0c50efb5fcce149ea31d5a.png

Max Temperature: Sunday 19, Monday 20-21, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 23-24, Thursday 24, Friday 27-28, Saturday 29-30, Sunday 19-20


Summary: This is a massively improved run, and at last the GFS is getting back in line with the ECM. It's not quite aligning, as the low pressure does still fight back over the weekend. But now it does not bring the weather fronts in, though it is much cooler (will be a relief!) on the Sunday.

So bar perhaps some Wednesday morning showers, we are currently BACK ON TRACK. Let's hope the pockets of rain that are around, and currently not showing to hit the south west, stay the hell away.

See you back here at 11.20.....

giphy-15.gif.f4cfca7756ca00731866804ec741e454.gifthose temperatures.....

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