The Weather Thread 2019

[JayBeeis]

If/When it rains really heavy - am I going to struggle to get my Mazda 2 in & out the car park?  (worthy view)

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

7 minutes ago, Jimmerz95 said:

If/When it rains really heavy - am I going to struggle to get my Mazda 2 in & out the car park?  (worthy view)

Nope, Worthy View is high ground and limited car traffic. Was fine in 2016. 

[fred quimby]

8 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Constant rain like that no matter how light = mud.

We're in trouble.

We're in big big trouble. 

Aye. Stays like this Mrs Q will not be coming down. Means more rum for me though. Every mudbath etc

[4AssedMonkey]

My logical brain is telling me it’s pointless looking every 6 hrs at forecasts for a week in advance. But I can’t stop.

My name is 4AM and I’m a forecast addict...

[briddj]

" Historically these plumes are difficult to model because we often see them get to northern France and edge ne a bit too far east often clipping the far south and se. However barring the GFS the trends so far today are for a more direct hit . "

ECM is definitely going for a very warm, dry festival.

COME ON, GFS. GET ON BOARD.

Edited June 22, 2019 by briddj

[Aragorn]

49 minutes ago, briddj said:

I'm not even bothering with a full 06Z update. It's too depressing. We go again at 5.30ish......

I trust the ECM though....

 

Pretty bad run. Ensemble mean also wet. 

 

[TokiDoki]

45 minutes ago, lazzareo said:

That's an average of 0.36 mm per hour which is classed as slight rain so wouldn't expect mud bath unless it all comes in one downpour.

It would likely be coming down as heavy downpours / storms, rather than drizzle, but I think a mudbath would be the result from ~40mm of rain over the weekend whatever form it takes. 

However it's definitely not set in stone, GFS seems to be on it's own in predicting such a wet festival... more model runs needed!

[JayBeeis]

39 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

Nope, Worthy View is high ground and limited car traffic. Was fine in 2016. 

Thank you my friend

[Mr.Tease]

It only 17c here but humid - 25c and humid is going to hellish for walking through the fields with all our stuff, at those temps my boxer shorts end up curling up my legs and turning into a pair of very uncomfortable y-fronts

[sprocketrocket]

Guys, we'll be alright.

[Saint northover]

Hopefully this rings true. 

[barkley87]

ECM! ECM! 

[Cooter]

9 minutes ago, sprocketrocket said:

Guys, we'll be alright.

That's brilliant news sprocket, cheers.

[Mr.Tease]

1 hour ago, lazzareo said:

What happened to the forecast of no rain and lots of sun?  

Gone, lost in time like tears in rain

[briddj]

Netweather still confident GFS will not be the correct model.

" I feel the GFS overdoes Atlantic lows at D4-D6 and this might be the reason for the small differences. If so, expect the GFS op to move back to the euro models in the next 24 hours.  "

 

[Euphoricape]

20 minutes ago, Saint northover said:

Hopefully this rings true. 

Surely this is fantastic news if true..

[Euphoricape]

59 minutes ago, briddj said:

" Historically these plumes are difficult to model because we often see them get to northern France and edge ne a bit too far east often clipping the far south and se. However barring the GFS the trends so far today are for a more direct hit . "

ECM is definitely going for a very warm, dry festival.

COME ON, GFS. GET ON BOARD.

Yes, yes, yes, yes, YES!!!!!

sorry, been spending too much time on netweather.

[Gedh]

Weather fatigue must be setting in, the thread has dropped out of the top 3. 

[GregsyA]

I am finding the highs and lows of this strangely exhilarating. I am considering bailing out of Glastonbury and sticking to the Weather Thread next week. 

[briddj]

7 minutes ago, GregsyA said:

I am finding the highs and lows of this strangely exhilarating. I am considering bailing out of Glastonbury and sticking to the Weather Thread next week. 

All of us, trying to get a signal so we can check on The Weather Thread. Gimps.

[Gedh]

I guess we could post interesting weather conditions when we get the odd spare minute.

( For interesting, read completely false)

[justperfect]

@briddj......when you setting off? I'm not there until Thursday......what am I going to do whilst not doing much work all day Wednesday on here ?

[briddj]

8 minutes ago, justperfect said:

@briddj......when you setting off? I'm not there until Thursday......what am I going to do whilst not doing much work all day Wednesday on here ?

Setting off on Wednesday before lunch. So I might just do the 06Z before I leave (let's be honest, it's probably going to happen).

[CaledonianGonzo]

I want it all: the terrifying lows, the dizzying highs, the creamy middles. Sure, I might offend a few of the bluenoses with my cocky stride and musky odors - oh, I'll never be the darling of the so-called "City Fathers" who cluck their tongues, stroke their beards, and talk about "What's to be done with this Lekkido Lord of the Lobsters?"

[justperfect]

4 minutes ago, briddj said:

Setting off on Wednesday before lunch. So I might just do the 06Z before I leave (let's be honest, it's probably going to happen).

Might as well see the job through to the glorious end. Thanks for your efforts the past week or two.