The Weather Thread 2019

[FuzzyDunlop]

For the collective, that's the worst run - too hot for me for a few days and then too much rain for everyone else (and me if I am honest, but I'd rather have that than the heat).

 

Revisit this tomorrow!

 

Temp wise, I like the look of that Sunday though

 

Edited June 21, 2019 by FuzzyDunlop

[lordjord93]

I saw this mornings update and I haven't thought about the weather since. I came to check just now and I wont look away again 

Edited June 21, 2019 by lordjord93

[kemosabe]

Well it was fun while it lasted. 

[Euphoricape]

This is a joke

[stopwn1981]

6 minutes ago, briddj said:

So, here's the 12Z in full.

Pressure: As before the high is in command through the week, but unlike in the last run this time the low muscles its way back in over the weekend and that totally changes the forecast. Everything about this Glastonbury is basically hinging on this low and the high pressure being able to win out. The low edging in will bring weather fronts with it on Saturday and Sunday.

Here you see how the yellow circle this time is now closer to the UK and thus lowering the pressure and bringing poorer weather prospects.

Precipitation: Dry all this weekend until 3pm Sunday when the rain arrives - as has been the story for the last two days. Rain during the day not too bad but could be some heavier stuff overnight. But it's clear by daybreak and then essentially dry all day Monday. Ground will be good again. Bit more rain around on Tuesday morning that is through by lunch, the heaviest in the early hours which leaves more day drying time. Essentially clear again bar the odd possible light shower the rest of Tuesday.

Dry overnight into Wednesday morning. This is what it looks like around gates opening time at 9am. Dry and clear.

Now looks to be some light rain around on Wednesday evening from around 6pm, though it's nothing to be concerned about.

Thursday is completely dry.

Friday now has a pocket of rain arriving around 3pm and it is going to stick around for a while on this run unfortunately. It's not particularly heavy at first but there is a very nasty band of rain showing for 9pm Saturday. If you're faint of heart, look away now....

Rain clears through by 3am on Sunday morning, but then another band sweeps in behind it at midday on Sunday and it's showing as raining consistently all through the final day.

Max Temperature: Saturday 19-20, Sunday 22, Monday 22-23, Tuesday 21-22, Wednesday 26-27, Thursday 24-25, Friday 25-26, Saturday 24-25, Sunday 16-17

Summary: So we have gone from the very top of the rollercoaster to almost the very bottom in six hours. Basically, we've gone from the last forecast having no rain to this forecast raining all the time. It's crucial to note that 7 days out there is no certainty in any of this and it will change again (thank fuck).

Put it this way, we're better having this horror turn now rather than in a few days' time.

What an emotional ride this is.

This run in one pic....

[zeppelin]

I really should just ignore this thread til Monday evening. 

[Ayrshire Chris]

BBC stilllooking decent after Tuesday night right through to Sunday as is met office 

[sprocketrocket]

Guys, we'll be alright.

[stopwn1981]

Just now, Ayrshire Chris said:

BBC stilllooking decent after Tuesday night right through to Sunday as is met office 

Because they will update their forecasts on the basis of the 12z GFS run later on today

[Ryan6876]

1 minute ago, stopwn1981 said:

Because they will update their forecasts on the basis of the 12z GFS run later on today

What time will that run be ? This is better entertainment than The Sopranos 

[The Nal]

Efests in "weather forecasts aren't reliable until a few days before" shocker". 

[cb4747]

Who else is well fucking excited though?!? I’m struggling to get on with daily life without thinking about it every 2 mins

[zeppelin]

1 minute ago, cb4747 said:

Who else is well fucking excited though?!? I’m struggling to get on with daily life without thinking about it every 2 mins

I'm on my way to a stag do and all I'm thinking about is the weather for next weekend! 

[Plume]

Any tips for staying dry?

[stopwn1981]

Gavs latest more wider update is fun:

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/

rain, thunder, rain, thunder, thunder, thunder cats, rain.

?

[briddj]

2 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Gavs latest more wider update is fun:

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/

rain, thunder, rain, thunder, thunder, thunder cats, rain.

?

Hoooooooooooo! 

[briddj]

10 minutes ago, Ryan6876 said:

What time will that run be ? This is better entertainment than The Sopranos 

This is the 12Z but apps have to catch up and might not necessarily be using the GFS operational, which is what this is in here. 

[DL50]

Im finding this thread, the graphs and jargon etc impossible to follow 

Is it going to be sunny or not?

[rivalschools.price]

Just passed the site now and it looks dry and green, at least thats a good start.

[Mr.Tease]

It's gone from this:

To This:

[Glastonlocal]

1 minute ago, DL50 said:

Im finding this thread, the graphs and jargon etc impossible to follow 

Is it going to be sunny or not?

It's going to absolutely shit it down on Saturday and Sunday. Otherwise ok. Could still change. 

[morph100]

2 minutes ago, DL50 said:

Im finding this thread, the graphs and jargon etc impossible to follow 

Is it going to be sunny or not?

Depends on the level of plume of the Azores finger I think

[Mr.Tease]

1 minute ago, DL50 said:

Im finding this thread, the graphs and jargon etc impossible to follow 

Is it going to be sunny or not?

It's gone from looking like being dry and hot and sunny throughout, to rain all day friday (from the afternoon onwards), an absolute deluge on the Saturday (2005 storm style), followed by raining all through til the Monday.

Wednesday and Thursday still clinging on to hot sunny and dry (but humid), though that could turn to s*** too!

[mazola]

Fuck this shit

[DL50]

2 minutes ago, Glastonlocal said:

It's going to absolutely shit it down on Saturday and Sunday. Otherwise ok. Could still change. 

That's terminology that I can get behind. Thanks