The Weather Thread 2019

[mario man]

41 minutes ago, mrfunk said:

And still nobody talks about 1998 ?

97 was my first, 98 my second. There’s a few others here who also endured that baptism.

Thank god the sun finally came out in 99 ☀️ third time lucky 

[gooner1990]

Just now, mario man said:

97 was my first, 98 my second. There’s a few others here who also endured that baptism.

Thank god the sun finally came out in 99 ☀️ third time lucky 

04, 05 & 07 were my first three who all had bad weather to a varying degree!

[tazbang]

Why, why, why am I sitting here watching the GFS 18z forecast coming in with the anticipation of some movie thriller? I should really go to bed/get a life/both!

Anyway, it looks warm, with a bit of wet.

[stopwn1981]

18Z - it’s getting better man!

[Euphoricape]

Looking much better!

[frostypaw]

2 hours ago, yehbutnobut said:

Been away from this thread for a few hours. In roller coasters, where are we?

Approaching the final heartline corkscre, then a tight high-g 270° down through a couple of bunny hops before the brakes into the station.

Edited June 20, 2019 by frostypaw

[bombfrog]

1 hour ago, Euphoricape said:

Looking much better!

Is it? Everyone on the weather forum has gone to bed so I have no idea what the 18z is or even where to find it ?

[Olshansky]

at this point, as long as I'm not setting up a tent in a downpour Ill be a happy man

[briddj]

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday. The low pressure is now beginning to edge in on Thursday and is right over the north of the UK by Saturday morning BUT the high then fights back and later on Saturday it is building again. Back in higher pressure by Sunday.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for today, then dry through to Sunday at 3pm - everything will be dry - when there is quite a bit of rain around until 6am Monday. Some rain on Monday BUT the overnight rain into Tuesday has now reduced greatly. Tuesday day now esentially dry - and now there is basically NO rain on Wednesday. Now possibility of a little overnight into Saturday, and showers on Saturday. Then dry on Sunday. No mud worries based on this and the Tues temps before the gaps open.

Temperatures: This Saturday 19-20 and Sunday 22-23, Monday 24-25, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 27, Thursday 28-29, Friday 19-20, Saturday 19 and Sunday 19

So as you can see it's still very fluid on a) how much heat will be brought in b) the position of the low out to the south west and how it will affect us

So while there is a little rain on the Saturday here, there's not much there and the Wednesday is now dry.

The Monday to Wednesday pattern is now looking locked in, with higher temperatures etc.

But what happens from Thursday onwards remains up in the air and will do until at least Sunday I would say.

 

[nikkic]

We’re far from over the line yet, but we’re getting close now people. 

Just need things to stay positive over the next few days. 

[Duggyfresh44]

10 minutes ago, briddj said:

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday. The low pressure is now beginning to edge in on Thursday and is right over the north of the UK by Saturday morning BUT the high then fights back and later on Saturday it is building again. Back in higher pressure by Sunday.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for today, then dry through to Sunday at 3pm - everything will be dry - when there is quite a bit of rain around until 6am Monday. Some rain on Monday BUT the overnight rain into Tuesday has now reduced greatly. Tuesday day now esentially dry - and now there is basically NO rain on Wednesday. Now possibility of a little overnight into Saturday, and showers on Saturday. Then dry on Sunday. No mud worries based on this and the Tues temps before the gaps open.

Temperatures: This Saturday 19-20 and Sunday 22-23, Monday 24-25, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 27, Thursday 28-29, Friday 19-20, Saturday 19 and Sunday 19

So as you can see it's still very fluid on a) how much heat will be brought in b) the position of the low out to the south west and how it will affect us

So while there is a little rain on the Saturday here, there's not much there and the Wednesday is now dry.

The Monday to Wednesday pattern is now looking locked in, with higher temperatures etc.

But what happens from Thursday onwards remains up in the air and will do until at least Sunday I would say.

 

This is great news. And ALL the weather sites I've looked at are pretty much in agreement with this.

 

[Homer]

10 minutes ago, briddj said:

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday. The low pressure is now beginning to edge in on Thursday and is right over the north of the UK by Saturday morning BUT the high then fights back and later on Saturday it is building again. Back in higher pressure by Sunday.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for today, then dry through to Sunday at 3pm - everything will be dry - when there is quite a bit of rain around until 6am Monday. Some rain on Monday BUT the overnight rain into Tuesday has now reduced greatly. Tuesday day now esentially dry - and now there is basically NO rain on Wednesday. Now possibility of a little overnight into Saturday, and showers on Saturday. Then dry on Sunday. No mud worries based on this and the Tues temps before the gaps open.

Temperatures: This Saturday 19-20 and Sunday 22-23, Monday 24-25, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 27, Thursday 28-29, Friday 19-20, Saturday 19 and Sunday 19

So as you can see it's still very fluid on a) how much heat will be brought in b) the position of the low out to the south west and how it will affect us

So while there is a little rain on the Saturday here, there's not much there and the Wednesday is now dry.

The Monday to Wednesday pattern is now looking locked in, with higher temperatures etc.

But what happens from Thursday onwards remains up in the air and will do until at least Sunday I would say.

 

WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!! (Etc)

[sprocketrocket]

@briddj what are you seeing on Tuesday that I'm not?

15 minutes ago, briddj said:

 Tuesday day now esentially dry - and now there is basically NO rain on Wednesday.

 

 

Edited June 20, 2019 by sprocketrocket

[doodlesbyben]

12 minutes ago, briddj said:

Here's the GFS 00Z.

High pressure: Pressure building to a high on Wednesday. The low pressure is now beginning to edge in on Thursday and is right over the north of the UK by Saturday morning BUT the high then fights back and later on Saturday it is building again. Back in higher pressure by Sunday.

Precipitation: Little bit showing for today, then dry through to Sunday at 3pm - everything will be dry - when there is quite a bit of rain around until 6am Monday. Some rain on Monday BUT the overnight rain into Tuesday has now reduced greatly. Tuesday day now esentially dry - and now there is basically NO rain on Wednesday. Now possibility of a little overnight into Saturday, and showers on Saturday. Then dry on Sunday. No mud worries based on this and the Tues temps before the gaps open.

Temperatures: This Saturday 19-20 and Sunday 22-23, Monday 24-25, Tuesday 23-24, Wednesday 27, Thursday 28-29, Friday 19-20, Saturday 19 and Sunday 19

So as you can see it's still very fluid on a) how much heat will be brought in b) the position of the low out to the south west and how it will affect us

So while there is a little rain on the Saturday here, there's not much there and the Wednesday is now dry.

The Monday to Wednesday pattern is now looking locked in, with higher temperatures etc.

But what happens from Thursday onwards remains up in the air and will do until at least Sunday I would say.

 

So looking good for anyone queuing overnight on Tuesday?

[Razza_bezza]

Just now, doodlesbyben said:

So looking good for anyone queuing overnight on Tuesday?

Hope so I’m heading up Tuesday eve

[tumbles]

*wakes up, checks this thread* 

[deebeedoobee]

On 6 music just now they said they were having Emily on with the pocketbook guide to Glastonbury. But he was speaking to the weather man who just ummed and ahhhed when asked about the weather next week. Said he couldn’t know what will happen from Wednesday onwards. He said the lead up would be warmer temperatures and some heavy rain.

i think that was the jist of the message anyway.  

[semmtexx]

5 minutes ago, tumbles said:

*wakes up, checks this thread* 

Indeed. And add:

Checks webcam. Checks Tor webcam. Checks Glastonbury town centre webcam. Checks state of ground thread. 

Then says morning to lovely patient Mrs semmtexx!

(Actually now making her a cuppa!)

Edited June 20, 2019 by semmtexx

[dmedxb]

3 minutes ago, deebeedoobee said:

On 6 music just now they said they were having Emily on with the pocketbook guide to Glastonbury. But he was speaking to the weather man who just ummed and ahhhed when asked about the weather next week. Said he couldn’t know what will happen from Wednesday onwards. He said the lead up would be warmer temperatures and some heavy rain.

i think that was the jist of the message anyway.  

Yeah, he really wasn't comfortable with that question, was he?

[stopwn1981]

Meanwhile over at netweather:

activity is unusually far west with multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms running up through the West Country and Ireland - The later having accumulated precip of near 150mm by next Friday

Let’s hope the Irish take one for the team!

[Splatt]

I think someone over on net weather has mentioned tornadoes ?

[Duggyfresh44]

5 minutes ago, stopwn1981 said:

Meanwhile over at netweather:

activity is unusually far west with multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms running up through the West Country and Ireland - The later having accumulated precip of near 150mm by next Friday

Let’s hope the Irish take one for the team!

Yes but that paragraph ends - 

 Despite several thousand kilo joules of CAPE over E+W theres actually not that much TS activity or precip east of Dorset as little in the way of triggers.

[Woffy]

Bright sunshine and clear blue skies over Andover this morning. 

Therefore I’m feeling very positive for next week.

[AmyShambles]

Absolutely battering it down just outside Manchester, just got soaked going for the bus. It's depressing stuff.

[briddj]

43 minutes ago, sprocketrocket said:

@briddj what are you seeing on Tuesday that I'm not?

 

 I did say Tuesday day now essentially dry - there's the possibility of showers in the AM but they would not amount to anything much at all. The heavy rain is in South Wales and Gloucestershire.