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The Weather Thread 2019


sedra

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8 minutes ago, briddj said:

Just pick one comment that suits our desires and ignore the rest.

"Anyway, just looked at the Ecm 00z operational and it's nowhere near as bad as last evening's 12z, there's more fine than wet and more warm than cool! "

Haha, i did pay particular attention to that one.

God i'm really (probably unnecessarily)  panicking here now, may actually get on with some work to distract me.

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1 hour ago, Gedh said:

I'd have loved to have seen videos from Bramble FM as they would have been hilarious but I think you mean Worthy FM.

Hah you're right, brain fart trying to remember the new name there. I miss dawdling down on Wednesday listening to them, then on the way out. The drive away keeping them on until it crackled out and a lump filled your throat as you knew it was over can't be forgotten

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30 minutes ago, Northtim said:

Guys - go an check the Webcam following todays biblical rain. 

It was looking very wet earlier but brightened up now and crew have been working away throughout.

RELAX!!!

Don't worry everyone. Sun from here on in ???

 

Capture.PNG

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2 minutes ago, simonizer said:

Is it really looking as bad as 2016 ? Someone say it ain't so

Not as bad yet.  As long as the rain isn't constant and doesn't continue past the current forecast.  Make sure you have some wellies!

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28 minutes ago, simonizer said:

Is it really looking as bad as 2016 ? Someone say it ain't so

Nowhere near. June 2016 UK floods has its own Wikipedia entry, it was really bad all over the place to the point of it being the lead story on the news.

What we have forecast is “a bit shit for June” for the build up, and forecast to brighten up for the festival itself.

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I work for a national infrastructure company and out met desk says the following for the next 10days. 

 

National 10 day forecast issued on Friday 7th Jun 2019

HEAVY AND PERSISTENT RAIN MOVING NORTHWARDS THROUGH TODAY AND INTO TOMORROW, WITH HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS LIKELY IN WALES, NORTHERN ENGLAND AND THE

SOUTHWEST. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. BLUSTERY WINDS IN SOUTHERN ENGLAND/WALES OVERNIGHT.

Friday 7th June: Heavy and and persistent rain over southern England will continue to spread northwards into Wales and the Midlands through the morning. The heaviest and most persistent spell of

rain will linger across Wales and western Cornwall into the afternoon, as the area of rain spreads into northern England, and eventually southern Scotland later today. Meanwhile, southern England and

the Midlands will see sunny spells developing in the wake of the rain this afternoon, but with heavy and slow-moving showers/thunderstorms forming as well. Lightning strikes possible in the heaviest

downpours here. Showers becoming increasingly confined to the southeast and East Anglia this evening, and clearing overnight. The area of persistent rain will stall over southern Scotland,

northwestern England and Wales through the night. Some rather high 24hr rainfall totals are likely today, with the highest in western parts of Wales seeing 30-40mm (higher than this locally cannot be

ruled out), Cornwall seeing 30-35mm, and up to 20-25mm locally in northwestern England. Soils will be dry to start, but becoming saturated from the rain, leading to a flood risk where rainfall totals are

high. Additionally, showers in southern England this afternoon will be sharp, with rainfall rates over 10mm/hr possible locally, and increasing the rainfall totals here. Brisk winds today, with winds

strengthening in southern England and southern Wales through the afternoon and overnight. Gusts mostly in the 40-50mph range here during the night, with the highest gusts expected in the most

exposed coastal lines (around Dungeness) in Kent.

Saturday 8th June: Rain will continue to spread northeastwards into Scotland tomorrow morning, with outbreaks of rain returning to the Midlands and northeastern England. Rain will eases from south

Wales through the morning, and eventually easing elsewhere through the afternoon. Sunny spells and a few well scattered showers developing from the south as the day progresses. Blustery winds in

southern and eastern England particularly. It will become increasingly dry overnight, with cloud clearing northwards through the night. Additional rainfall totals in the 10-15mm range in northern England

and southeastern Scotland tomorrow, but falling on wet soils.

Sunday 9th to Wednesday 12th June:Sunny spells around on Sunday, but with showers too. Showers are expected to be sharp heavy, most likely in Scotland, southwestern Wales and the southwest.

Showers largely dying away overnight, with spells of rain clipping into the southeast. A few showers in northern and western areas on Monday, these again with the potential to be locally sharp.

However, Monday will also see an area of rain spreading westwards across southern and cental England. Outbreaks of rain pushing northwestwards across much of England and Wales on Tuesday,

with the potential for some heavy bursts. Remaining unsettled on Wednesday, with a risk of a heavy and persistent spell of rain, most likely affecting Wales, and southern and central England.

Thursday 13th to Sunday 16th June: A broadly unsettled outlook, with some longer spells of rain and showers. Temperatures cooler than average initially, but steadily rising to around seasonal

average towards the weekend.

 

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14 hours ago, kingbadger said:

@deebeedoobee it all looks very pretty and amazing, but how's the well? Thriving just as equally we hope?

Current well condition.....my sticky stick got wet in the rain!

However there is still no water in the well. The well is dry. It is parched. It is drier than a camels arse in a sandstorm.

The base is moist but only about an inch into the base. Solid under that.

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5 minutes ago, deebeedoobee said:

Current well condition.....my sticky stick got wet in the rain!

However there is still no water in the well. The well is dry. It is parched. It is drier than a camels arse in a sandstorm.

The base is moist but only about an inch into the base. Solid under that.

 

This is what we all needed to hear!  Thanks!

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27 minutes ago, sprocketrocket said:

I work for a national infrastructure company and out met desk says the following for the next 10days. 

 

National 10 day forecast issued on Friday 7th Jun 2019

HEAVY AND PERSISTENT RAIN MOVING NORTHWARDS THROUGH TODAY AND INTO TOMORROW, WITH HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS LIKELY IN WALES, NORTHERN ENGLAND AND THE

SOUTHWEST. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. BLUSTERY WINDS IN SOUTHERN ENGLAND/WALES OVERNIGHT.

Friday 7th June: Heavy and and persistent rain over southern England will continue to spread northwards into Wales and the Midlands through the morning. The heaviest and most persistent spell of

rain will linger across Wales and western Cornwall into the afternoon, as the area of rain spreads into northern England, and eventually southern Scotland later today. Meanwhile, southern England and

the Midlands will see sunny spells developing in the wake of the rain this afternoon, but with heavy and slow-moving showers/thunderstorms forming as well. Lightning strikes possible in the heaviest

downpours here. Showers becoming increasingly confined to the southeast and East Anglia this evening, and clearing overnight. The area of persistent rain will stall over southern Scotland,

northwestern England and Wales through the night. Some rather high 24hr rainfall totals are likely today, with the highest in western parts of Wales seeing 30-40mm (higher than this locally cannot be

ruled out), Cornwall seeing 30-35mm, and up to 20-25mm locally in northwestern England. Soils will be dry to start, but becoming saturated from the rain, leading to a flood risk where rainfall totals are

high. Additionally, showers in southern England this afternoon will be sharp, with rainfall rates over 10mm/hr possible locally, and increasing the rainfall totals here. Brisk winds today, with winds

strengthening in southern England and southern Wales through the afternoon and overnight. Gusts mostly in the 40-50mph range here during the night, with the highest gusts expected in the most

exposed coastal lines (around Dungeness) in Kent.

Saturday 8th June: Rain will continue to spread northeastwards into Scotland tomorrow morning, with outbreaks of rain returning to the Midlands and northeastern England. Rain will eases from south

Wales through the morning, and eventually easing elsewhere through the afternoon. Sunny spells and a few well scattered showers developing from the south as the day progresses. Blustery winds in

southern and eastern England particularly. It will become increasingly dry overnight, with cloud clearing northwards through the night. Additional rainfall totals in the 10-15mm range in northern England

and southeastern Scotland tomorrow, but falling on wet soils.

Sunday 9th to Wednesday 12th June:Sunny spells around on Sunday, but with showers too. Showers are expected to be sharp heavy, most likely in Scotland, southwestern Wales and the southwest.

Showers largely dying away overnight, with spells of rain clipping into the southeast. A few showers in northern and western areas on Monday, these again with the potential to be locally sharp.

However, Monday will also see an area of rain spreading westwards across southern and cental England. Outbreaks of rain pushing northwestwards across much of England and Wales on Tuesday,

with the potential for some heavy bursts. Remaining unsettled on Wednesday, with a risk of a heavy and persistent spell of rain, most likely affecting Wales, and southern and central England.

Thursday 13th to Sunday 16th June: A broadly unsettled outlook, with some longer spells of rain and showers. Temperatures cooler than average initially, but steadily rising to around seasonal

average towards the weekend.

 

 

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If anyone wants some really depressing reading, take a look at the last couple of pages of the Netweather forum

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/91894-model-output-discussion-the-start-of-summer/page/15/

I quote...."June 2012 was the record wettest with 145mm, if some of those ppn charts verify for the next 10 days, then that record could be seriously under threat come the end of the month. Failing that, it should easily make it into the top 10 hall of shame"

Urghh...

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4 minutes ago, richy24 said:

If anyone wants some really depressing reading, take a look at the last couple of pages of the Netweather forum

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/91894-model-output-discussion-the-start-of-summer/page/15/

I quote...."June 2012 was the record wettest with 145mm, if some of those ppn charts verify for the next 10 days, then that record could be seriously under threat come the end of the month. Failing that, it should easily make it into the top 10 hall of shame"

Urghh...

We've already had these lies. This guy sounds like your typical Nal and should be ignored.

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9 minutes ago, richy24 said:

If anyone wants some really depressing reading, take a look at the last couple of pages of the Netweather forum

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/91894-model-output-discussion-the-start-of-summer/page/15/

I quote...."June 2012 was the record wettest with 145mm, if some of those ppn charts verify for the next 10 days, then that record could be seriously under threat come the end of the month. Failing that, it should easily make it into the top 10 hall of shame"

Urghh...

But even this worst case scenario is for the next 10 days, which is fine because the festival isn’t for twice that long.

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