Weather 2016

[Thunderstruck]

Still no agreement between the models...

However I'm willing to stick my neck out and say that Wednesday will be pretty decent, high ~ 20/21c and some warm sunny spells.

The pre festival mon-tue period looks wet.

[nban2010]

Weather sites update:

Weather.com - generally dry except rain very early Weds morning and rain Thurs morning til midday.

BBC - Dry and sunny all weekend.

Met office - Only showing Weds, dry. Partial cloud and sun.

Metcheck - dry and sunny except light rain Thurs morning and potentially on Friday.

Worldweatheronline - all dry and sunny except potential of some rain Sat eve.

Wunderground - mixed picture. Potential rain on Thurs morning and Fri afternoon and Sat morning.

Accuweather - bit of a wet picture but nothing too heavy.

So generally we are looking at a dry Weds and rain Thurs morning at the moment. Rest of the weekend too early to tell but generally no amount of rain is being predicted that will cause major mud. Something akin to last year it seems.

 

[gerardfenton18]

11 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Washout. 2007 standard.

 

11 minutes ago, Larraht said:

Hmmmm....I see. I see.

 

And from the 22nd until the 26th?

its not looking too bad now

[stuartbert two hats]

Best analogy in recent festivals seems to be another 2011.

[Bignews]

10 minutes ago, rpfranks said:

If the weather is anything like it is now then it's going to be a wash out.

My back garden is fecked and that's without people walking all over it in wellies.

Really?! Clear blue sky down in Plymouth!!

[SwedgeAntilles]

5 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said:

Best analogy in recent festivals seems to be another 2011.

How was it for those of us that weren't there?

[Larraht]

1 minute ago, nban2010 said:

Weather sites update:

Weather.com - generally dry except rain very early Weds morning and rain Thurs morning til midday.

BBC - Dry and sunny all weekend.

Met office - Only showing Weds, dry. Partial cloud and sun.

Metcheck - dry and sunny except light rain Thurs morning and potentially on Friday.

Worldweatheronline - all dry and sunny except potential of some rain Sat eve.

Wunderground - mixed picture. Potential rain on Thurs morning and Fri afternoon and Sat morning.

Accuweather - bit of a wet picture but nothing too heavy.

So generally we are looking at a dry Weds and rain Thurs morning at the moment. Rest of the weekend too early to tell but generally no amount of rain is being predicted that will cause major mud. Something akin to last year it seems.

 

If the worst of it is like last year, i'll take it in a heart beat. Other than the rain making Mary J Blige's set wonderfully dramatic, the weather was beautiful. Not even too cold at night. 

[Stu H]

3 minutes ago, stuartbert two hats said:

Best analogy in recent festivals seems to be another 2011.

 

that was a mud-fest! 

[bsolxiv]

GFS not looking too great

 

[Larraht]

2 minutes ago, Bignews said:

Really?! Clear blue sky down in Plymouth!!

Also in Plymouth - it's definitely Mr blue sky here today! 

[richcressey]

Long-time lurker here and have broken ranks as I'm officially part of the weather-nervous crowd. Done so today becasue, looks like yr.no have updated their forecast again away from the piss poor showing earlier today/overnight

 

 

Tuesday21/06/2016	01:00–07:00		14°	0 mm	Light breeze, 4 m/s from south-southwest
	07:00–13:00		15°	0 mm	Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from south-southwest
	13:00–19:00		16°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from northwest
	19:00–01:00		18°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-northwest
Wednesday22/06/2016	01:00–07:00		13°	0 mm	Light air, 2 m/s from northwest
	07:00–13:00		14°	0 mm	Light air, 2 m/s from northwest
	13:00–19:00		19°	0 mm	Light breeze, 2 m/s from west-southwest
	19:00–01:00		18°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from west-northwest
Thursday23/06/2016	01:00–07:00		12°	0 mm	Light breeze, 2 m/s from northwest
	07:00–13:00		14°	0.7 mm	Light air, 1 m/s from north
	13:00–19:00		18°	2.6 mm	Light air, 2 m/s from west
	19:00–01:00		16°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from north-northwest
Friday24/06/2016	01:00–07:00		15°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from north
	07:00–13:00		15°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from north
	13:00–19:00		21°	1.3 mm	Light breeze, 2 m/s from north-northeast
	19:00–01:00		21°	0 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from northeast
Saturday25/06/2016	01:00–07:00		17°	2.7 mm	Light breeze, 4 m/s from northeast
	07:00–13:00		16°	0.9 mm	Gentle breeze, 4 m/s from northeast
	13:00–19:00		20°	0.5 mm	Light breeze, 3 m/s from east-northeast
	19:00–01:00		21°	0 mm	Light air, 1 m/s from east-northeast

[st dan]

7 minutes ago, SwedgeAntilles said:

How was it for those of us that weren't there?

Friday night to Saturday morning was particularly terrible and grim.

The mud lasted until Sunday afternoon before it started turning into a clay like bog. 

Not great, but you'd definitely want to twist if it were a card game. 

[bsolxiv]

Apart from scary-ass rain Monday & Thursday, GFS looks pretty dry

[The Nal]

[majormajormajor]

26 minutes ago, Larraht said:

Hmmmm....I see. I see.

 

And from the 22nd until the 26th?

Read the chart. If it says little or no rain on the 19th and rain on the 21st, what do you think those squiggly lines mean?

[devonhammer]

I've just done a whole report and then my screen refreshed and it all went, so just a summary :-(

Rain today and tomorrow. Clearing over the weekend, but more rain on Monday. Tuesday and Wednesday likely to be dry and then showers on Thu, Fri and Sat. Dry on Sunday. Not a wash out, but occasional showers.

 

Best forecast (as in driest) of the reliable sites is at TheWeatherOutlook.

[stuartbert two hats]

Just now, The Nal said:

Where's that from?  I mean, the festival obviously, but where did you find the photo?

[djcolsen]

1 minute ago, The Nal said:

Looks like some idiot left the sprinklers on! Can't possibly be due to anything else! 

[Lucyjane83]

20 minutes ago, SwedgeAntilles said:

How was it for those of us that weren't there?

Very muddy. I had cheap, shit wellies that year. Lesson learnt. 

[big__phil]

6 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Looks like backstage. I predict the Hunters wellies will be out in force!

[lebenski]

Another long time lurker here.. I've learned a lot about weather from this thread!

With these two fronts fighting for control it really seems like we're not going to be able to predict what's going to happen over the festival even by next tues/weds.  

Can I stop reading this thread now?  Probably.  But instead I think I'll just refresh it every 5 minutes instead.

[lebenski]

8 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Plenty of time for that to dry up!  Remember, back in 2005 we had rivers through the site on Friday but by the sunday it had all hardened up and was much more pleasant.  Doesn't take much to dry out mud like this.

[SwedgeAntilles]

4 minutes ago, Lucyjane83 said:

Very muddy. I had cheap, shit wellies that year. Lesson learnt. 

 

[stopwn1981]

No sign of the Azores finger yet - we need to pray we take it like Cavani!!!

[Mardy]