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Weather 2016


Keithy

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24 minutes ago, djcolsen said:

I've found if you search for the weather in Malaga you get a lot more positive outlook... Although may turn up to Pilton grossly under prepared

I was in Malaga this weekend, it was 36 degrees! Trust me you would not want that heat!

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5 minutes ago, Thunderstruck said:

Based on what I've seen so far I think we may know a lot more after todays 12z runs. If I was going out on a limb I'd say rain Tuesday/Wednesday looks likely at the moment. After that I'm hoping it will become more settled but it's not clear at the moment.

The 06Z is now showing the opposite. Dry Tues & Weds then unsettled in to the weekend.

 

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Just now, JoeyT said:

The 06Z is now showing the opposite. Dry Tues & Weds then unsettled in to the weekend.

 

Yes, just seen it. On the one hand we have an improvement with the initial unsettled weather pushed further North on Wednesday...but then eventually it turns fairly unsettled. Interested to see what the ensembles look like!

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23 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Yeah, anything further ahead than 3 days - ie this Friday - isn't reliable at all with regard to rainfall and anything further ahead than 5 days isn't isn't reliable at all with regard to temperature. 

So we could get this

somerset-cider-bus-at-the-glastonbury-fe

 

Or we could get this

glastonbury-festival-085.jpg

 

Just as well I understand pictures of raindrops and sun because I've no idea what an "operational run" means, haven't a fucking clue what an "ensemble" is, wouldn't know a "GFS" if it slapped me in the face and "00zs" and "06zs" look like confusing baking measurements. 

Knowing the UK, we could get this

160121_slatest_blizzard.jpg.CROP.promo-x

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14 minutes ago, Thunderstruck said:

Yes, just seen it. On the one hand we have an improvement with the initial unsettled weather pushed further North on Wednesday...but then eventually it turns fairly unsettled. Interested to see what the ensembles look like!

I hope they come soon, as @The Nal is getting mightily impatient to see them! Ooooh, he loves an ensemble.

:D

Ben

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32 minutes ago, Wooderson said:

Easty whats the weather like in Manch. Need an update asap.

Typical really. Light rain, overcast and quite mild. Perfect bbq weather.

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7 minutes ago, The Nal said:

Yr weather showing biblical amounts of rain on Wednesday/Thursday. Fucking biblical. 

To be fair I reckon the exagerated a bit when they wrote the bible. 

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Have become addicted to this site - https://earth.nullschool.net/ -  where you can monitor 'near as' realtime weather patterns across the world.

Spend a large proportion of the data staring at 'Wind + Total Cloud Water' and hoping there is nothing over Glastonbury next week!!

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=total_cloud_water/orthographic=-0.89,50.21,1500/loc=-2.742,50.973

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Met Office update suggesting it will remain unsettled with periods of rain, it does mention drier and brighter weather in the SW though ;)

 

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 28 Jun 2016:

On Sunday starting dry and bright in the southeast. Outbreaks of rain across the northwest will gradually push across all parts through Sunday and into the start of the week. The remainder of the week will continue unsettled and often windy with bands of rain pushing east, these interspersed with brighter, though showery conditions and the best of any drier weather in the east. Into the weekend and following week it will remain unsettled with the most frequent spells of rain across northwestern parts and generally drier and brighter in the southwest. Temperatures will be near normal, though feeling cooler in spells of rain. Where there is any drier and sunnier weather it will feel warmer than of late.

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5 minutes ago, Tanzwut said:

Let the battles of the pressures begin! 

High pressure are you ready?! Low pressure are you ready?!

High pressure you will go on my first whistle...

Low pressure you will go on my second whistle!

3....2....1..... GO!

Latest run shows exactly this. Could go either way:

Netweather GFS Image

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6 minutes ago, Tanzwut said:

Let the battles of the pressures begin! 

john-anderson.jpg 

High pressure are you ready?! Low pressure are you ready?!

High pressure you will go on my first whistle...

Low pressure you will go on my second whistle!

3....2....1..... GO!

And now I have the theme music going around my head!

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So here is the Netweather forecast from June 14th (today) from 2007.

Very very similar. Wet to begin, then maybe to clear up.

Also, Jackone - 

"The latest blog is done, and signs of agreement between the main models and the ensembles, it

certainly looks unsetted and wet for Wednesday through Friday next week,

but it should start drying up for the weekend."

giphy.gif

Edited by The Nal
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The comparison to 2007 looks valid at this point. If the ground is a filthy mess as we speak theres no much chance of it drying out before next  week with forecasts as they stand. Think before you put the tent down folks.

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3 minutes ago, Wooderson said:

The comparison to 2007 looks valid at this point. If the ground is a filthy mess as we speak theres no much chance of it drying out before next  week with forecasts as they stand. Think before you put the tent down folks.

Is it?

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