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Weather

Guest Mr Andre

By Guest Mr Andre
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4AssedMonkey Veteran

4AssedMonkey

Posted
Posted

That NFR stuff was originally created by a git :D who has bailed on Glasters for good and is tweeting pics of his holidays in Majorca today. "Before midday bevvies!!!" etc.

This thread is a bastion of sense on the other hand.

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Kizzie Collaborator

Kizzie

Posted
Posted

They get the weather wrong nearly every day- I've kept tabs on the BBCs forecast over the past couple of weeks- in a 2 week period they seem to change the forecast every day- sometimes even a day before, and it still turned out to be wrong.

In short, weather forecasters are false prophets of the weather gods. They are actually Weather Guessers, but I suppose they wouldn't get paid as much if the went by that title. It's the biggest scam industry going!

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4AssedMonkey Veteran

4AssedMonkey

Posted
Posted

They get the weather wrong nearly every day- I've kept tabs on the BBCs forecast over the past couple of weeks- in a 2 week period they seem to change the forecast every day- sometimes even a day before, and it still turned out to be wrong.

In short, weather forecasters are false prophets of the weather gods. They are actually Weather Guessers, but I suppose they wouldn't get paid as much if the went by that title. It's the biggest scam industry going!

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Mr.Tease Contributor

Mr.Tease

Posted
Posted

Gotta laugh, weather man on Points West has just said that they've had loads of emails complaining about the forecast today as it rained and they didn't say it would.

Are people really that upset about weather forecasts ? I love them I even listen to the shipping forecast. Not sure I'd complain if they got it wrong though....although as much as I love weather forecats I've forotten everything they've said a minute later.

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Posted
Posted

They get the weather wrong nearly every day- I've kept tabs on the BBCs forecast over the past couple of weeks- in a 2 week period they seem to change the forecast every day- sometimes even a day before, and it still turned out to be wrong.

In short, weather forecasters are false prophets of the weather gods. They are actually Weather Guessers, but I suppose they wouldn't get paid as much if the went by that title. It's the biggest scam industry going!

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MEGABOWL Veteran

MEGABOWL

Posted
Posted

There is truth in this. I used know someone who studied meteorology and she told me that anything longer range than 4/5 days is more likely to be wrong than right due to the compound effect of the predictions on patterns. If it's a volatile pattern, even estimating 24 hours in advance is guesswork. There's just too much they don't know and too many influencing factors. Hence why I spend most of my time praising the weather Gods in the NFR NFC thread as it's probably as effective as all this, ahem *science*. ;)

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RobertProsineckisLighter Contributor

RobertProsineckisLighter

Posted
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I work in Air Traffic Control and you have to study Meteorology at ATC college.The guys who taught me were pretty much experts but even they admitted it's an inexact science.The problem is the forecasts are based on models but there are just so many variables to feed into these models it's probably going to be that way for a long time.

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howlin_pete Rookie

howlin_pete

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Aye, mixed to me is bordering on acceptable. I don't think I've been to a Glastonbury where it hasn't rained (missed 2010), and I'm pretty sure all the forecasts before hand were pretty negative. Despite that, 2007 would be the only one I would describe as have bad weather, although would rather not repeat 2011 if possible!

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GlastoSimon Newbie

GlastoSimon

Posted
Posted (edited)

Just got this from the 8th/9th June 2010 (Jackone forecasts), shows that the forecasts are perhaps aren't gospel at this point:

First the 00Hz run of Wednesday 8th High Pressure over the UK on the weekend before the festival, but this edging away to the west, allowing slighlty lower pressure and the potential for some showers for the first few days of the festival.

06Hz High presume slowly losing dominance over the UK the weekend before the festival, with low pressure taking its place from the Atlantic, for the Wednesday and Thursday of the festival, with some potential for heavy outbreaks of rain. mad.gif

12Hz Deeply unsettled conditions the weekend before the festival, with Low pressure bang on top of the UK, but High Pressure starting to ridge up from the SW, and this settling things down a bit in time for the festival.

18Hz High Pressure in control for much of next week up to next weekend, but slowly losing control allowing Atlantic fronts to start to push in from the NW, on the Wednesday reaching Glastonbury late Thursday. sad.gif

Now followed by the runs of Wednesday 9th

00Hz High Pressure in control for much of next week up to next weekend, but slowly losing control allowing a Low Pressure system to sit bang on top of the UK for the start of the festival, giving some very heavy rain at times, and mud bath potential. wallbash.gif

06Hz High Pressure over the UK slowing diminishing on the weekend before the festival, but this edging away to the SW, allowing slightly lower pressure and the potential for some showers for the first few days of the festival. dry.gif

12Hz Unsettled the weekend before the festival, but signs of High Pressure building to the west of the UK, this ridging across all parts by Wednesday so a dry first 3 days of the festival would be likely. Temps likely to be in high teens. However the Pressure ensemble tends not to support this, with pressure dropping as we move into the Glastonbury week.

Edited by GlastoSimon
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