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Everything posted by 5co77ie

  1. https://www.itv.com/news/2020-03-14/elderly-to-be-quarantined-for-four-months-in-wartime-style-mobilisation-to-combat-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR3MVqs3ItG52qgy8d8maAsBuShI6b0RPHsbXLDFDPVKpBz7mhkvQrCDiQI
  2. There’s good news this morning we are now up to 19 people recovered. The media are intent on focusing on the negative statistics. It’s in French but I found out from here: https://coronavirus.politologue.com/
  3. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154v1.full.pdf Computational and Statistical Sciences Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, in New Mexico (PDF linked above) have estimated the latest transmission potential R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6 - that's just nuts.
  4. that's alright, no offense taken
  5. It has now - still says 18....
  6. hoping you're right - it doesn't appear to be a stat that's reported much though
  7. Most articles seem to suggest around 2-4 weeks to recover in serious cases - a month ago we only had what around 8 cases so it's quite possible, it wouldn't change much to begin with the numbers have risen a lot in recent days.
  8. We have family in Italy, as you know, first hand news from them is awful, truly awful - yet here we appear to e greatly downplaying it, it's possible, and I believe Monday's press conference suggested it, that we have a different strain here (or differing strains)
  9. their data source is the WHO - assuming the government are doing their job correctly and reporting accurate figures to WHO then yes that's the sum total (though as you pointed out mild cases may not be reported to the WHO in the first place)
  10. they really aren't: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 click the UK on the map However are non-severe cases listed in the total numbers of those with the virus anyway?
  11. the real numbers are 18 cases recovered, 6 dead - that's the total outcome figures for the UK since January 23 when the first case happened.
  12. did 6Music just say Coachella has been cancelled? I wasn't really listening, and not on a platform I can rewind
  13. Medical experts warn that Tories still pose a greater threat to wellbeing than the Coronavirus March 3, 2020 Popular Right Now, UK PoliticsPete Redfern Widespread transmission of coronavirus in the UK is now “highly likely”, Public Health England (PHE) has said. But is still not likely to be as bad for the general wellbeing of society in the long term as the widespread of Tory voters across the land, and the resulting austerity, cuts to public services and withdrawal of benefits. Following the meeting of Cobra yesterday, a senior Medical Director said the country must prepare itself. “This is a serious threat to everyone in this land” he told reporters, “and the damage that has been done and can still be inflicted on the country could be monumental. But enough about the Tories. “Coronavirus is pretty bad, too, so keep an eye out for that as well.” The Prime Minister was at a meeting of the emergency Cobra committee to finalise government plans, after the number of UK cases jumped to 36. Which is 119,964 fewer in number than the estimated number of deaths caused by austerity under the Conservative Party. Meanwhile, the EU has raised the Coronavirus risk in member states to “moderate to high”. Presumably because those countries tend to be led by good governments who have a vested interest in the wellbeing of their populace, so having a virus spreading around the country would be a major cause for concern. But in the UK, a few deaths here and there are nothing compared to government hellbent on increasing austerity led by Boris Johnson. The threat to life is now out of control and multiplying at an alarming rate. But enough about Boris Johnson. https://thenewsdump.co.uk/medical-experts-warn-that-tories-still-pose-a-greater-threat-to-wellbeing-than-the-coronavirus?fbclid=IwAR1QQHkQit2msjw99qcyL41SLhjCpzZMzbTVaxjchPSP2GiXWdugAgn3KQc
  14. Copy and pasted thanks to CHRIS TOFU VIRUS NEWS- If youre working in events and like us trying not panic like me , heres the latest from AIF for event organisers • The virus is going to become more difficult to contain. The UK has 36 declared cases as of yesterday, and the numbers will go up, but it's unclear how fast they will rise. It looks less and less likely that we will be able to contain this virus. In a period of time that's undetermined (weeks and months, not years), activity will continue in the UK, with the virus continuing to spread for up to five months. • We don't know if the virus behaves like a flu and disappears in the summer, or it's non seasonal. We also don't know if it will arrive and disappear, or just become a respiratory virus that becomes something regular like flu and colds. • Approx. 98% of people develop cold / flu like symptoms and are ill for around a week. There are no drugs or vaccines on the horizon, but 98+% of people just get better. Those most likely to develop a severe illness are those with an underlying health concern and the elderly. • Viruses are mainly transmitted through being in close proximity with people (<2m) and are mostly transmitted in three ways – large droplets; fine particles; touching of surfaces • The current advice is that cancelling events is not necessary but with the caveat that the virus is likely to spread, so this advice is clearly subject to change. To reiterate, events and mass gatherings should not be regarded as on the table for closure, or off the table for closure – they will look at the evidence as the situation unfolds but there is no clear rationale at this time for closing events. • They advised following guidelines from the Department of Health and the Foreign Office with regards to international travel. I also spoke with our lawyers Lewis Silkin on Friday regarding cancellation / postponement and refund scenarios, T&Cs best practice on communicable diseases, force majeure and supplier implications / disruption to the supply chain. We’re getting a festival specific one / two pager together with advice, in the meantime they have published this general article on their site that you may find helpful- https://www.lewissilkin.com/en/insights/counting-the-cost-of-the-coronavirus
  15. see amendment just asked for clarity
  16. According to Kaz's aunt who lives in Sicily it goes into place in the next few days - the no hugging she says will prove really difficult in a population where that's ingrained.
  17. Italy to ban public events to contain coronavirus - draft decree Italy's government is set to close cinemas and theatres and ban public events across the whole country to try to contain the coronavirus outbreak, according to a draft decree drawn up on Wednesday. The decree seen by Reuters orders "the suspension of events of any nature... that entail the concentration of people and do not allow for a safety distance of at least one metre to be respected." The draft decree also tells Italians to avoid hugging and shaking hands to prevent as much as possible a further spread of the potentially deadly illness which has been mainly concentrated in the country's northern regions.
  18. I believe it's the second strain that has prompted WHO's global pandemic status
  19. Presumably the declaration of a global pandemic means the Government now activate the 2011 strategy legislation: https://www.gov.uk/guidance/pandemic-flu#uk-influenza-pandemic-preparedness-strategy-2011 https://www.gov.uk/guidance/pandemic-flu
  20. WHO just declared it a global pandemic https://www.mylondon.news/news/uk-world-news/coronavirus-covid-19-declared-global-17858887
  21. "1,000 times more powerful than SARS" - may mean something a month from now
  22. two links with big implications: first terrifying: https://metro.co.uk/2020/02/27/coronavirus-hiv-like-mutation-helps-attack-human-cells-scientists-claim-12314129/?ito=newsnow-feed&fbclid=IwAR0PNMi6PPYFP6VGC-qGgZspmBCpYCBWaTXHh37u5ZnZR8klNkFG3u-7Dj8 second the highest profile patient case so far (if it turns out to be CoVid-19?) https://www.lbcnews.co.uk/world-news/pope-francis-taken-ill-rome-italy-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR32W2X3CqIVbe6wG3f0vm_079s-f5x1zaWW24izAqgQZt8loGbzJQJSswQ
  23. i can't read that's my issue - total live cases and not total cases - apologies. It's been a long 2 days
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