Weather 2017

[JoBalls]

1 minute ago, jfaragher said:

A run is what a weather model does.  So if the US weather service updates it weather model twice a day, you'd say they have two runs a day.  z = zulu time = UTC = GMT - basically 00z is midnight GMT (1 AM British summer time) - everyone in weather uses GMT for reference.  G(E)FS - Global (Ensemble) Forecast System - the US weather model.  ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting - world leaders in medium range forecasts (5 to 30 days).

Well that's definitely cleared things up...  

[Mattty]

2 minutes ago, jfaragher said:

A run is what a weather model does.  So if the US weather service updates it weather model twice a day, you'd say they have two runs a day.  z = zulu time = UTC = GMT - basically 00z is midnight GMT (1 AM British summer time) - everyone in weather uses GMT for reference.  G(E)FS - Global (Ensemble) Forecast System - the US weather model.  ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting - world leaders in medium range forecasts (5 to 30 days).

Cheers boss

[Mattty]

1 minute ago, Thunderstruck said:

a run - refers to a new set of weather charts produced by a model

the 00z etc are the times zulu that each run is started

the other things - god knows, there's millions!

Cheers boss

[Deaf Nobby Burton]

I'd appreciate it if anybody with a time machine could go back and cross reference the main forecasts from a week ago against the actual weather over the past week, so we know which is mos accurate and which one we should pin our hopes on. Thanks.

[ghostdancer1]

21 minutes ago, Mattty said:

Can someone please give me a TL;DR or a glossary of terms in the thread?

What's a run? 

What are the numbers with z's next to them?

What are the other things?

[Toilet Duck]

2 minutes ago, Deaf Nobby Burton said:

I'd appreciate it if anybody with a time machine could go back and cross reference the main forecasts from a week ago against the actual weather over the past week, so we know which is mos accurate and which one we should pin our hopes on. Thanks.

Don't know if we even have to go back that far...Most of the recent forecasts had today (thursday) as a blip in the high pressure build with some rain forecast....how has that worked out? (I don't know as I'm on the other side of the Irish sea, but it was also forecast to rain here today and it's been quite nice, sunny in parts, bit windy, but dry as a bone!)...

[Eks101]

7 minutes ago, Deaf Nobby Burton said:

I'd appreciate it if anybody with a time machine could go back and cross reference the main forecasts from a week ago against the actual weather over the past week, so we know which is mos accurate and which one we should pin our hopes on. Thanks.

I'm no scientist but I don't believe you actually require a time machine to do this.  

 

Plus if you had a time machine surely you would go forward to a week Monday, ask people what the weather was like when they trudge out of gate A, give yourself a quick snog then back on here to give us the lowdown.

Edited June 15, 2017 by Eks101

[Wilfko]

1 minute ago, Toilet Duck said:

Don't know if we even have to go back that far...Most of the recent forecasts had today (thursday) as a blip in the high pressure build with some rain forecast....how has that worked out? (I don't know as I'm on the other side of the Irish sea, but it was also forecast to rain here today and it's been quite nice, sunny in parts, bit windy, but dry as a bone!)...

Hot as hell and dry in Kent all week so far.

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

For anyone interested, at this point last year:

- Site was getting battered

- BBC was forecasting nice weather for festival from the Wednesday, with no rain symbols at all

- Few, if any, people were forecasting how bad the weekend before would actual turn out being

- We were all fairly positive

[big__phil]

Just now, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

- We were all fairly positive

Not all of us...

*cough* @The Nal *cough*

[ThomThomDrum]

Just now, Toilet Duck said:

Don't know if we even have to go back that far...Most of the recent forecasts had today (thursday) as a blip in the high pressure build with some rain forecast....how has that worked out? (I don't know as I'm on the other side of the Irish sea, but it was also forecast to rain here today and it's been quite nice, sunny in parts, bit windy, but dry as a bone!)...

Based in Dublin, I walked to the Library to pick up some books in early morn (about 10am) and got hit with a light drizzle. Very very light. 

Headed to the shop for lunch about 13.30 and had to put a jacket on as it began to rain and it was a bit heavier than light.

Overcast and dry now but today in Dublin was not bone dry for sure

[Toilet Duck]

1 minute ago, Wilfko said:

Hot as hell and dry in Kent all week so far.

See...they're making it up as they go along!

 

[Glasto Weatherwatch]

1 minute ago, big__phil said:

Not all of us...

*cough* @The Nal *cough*

How wrong you are

 

 

[Sack truck]

The madness of the weather thread is as much of a ritual as having that last dump in a real toilet before leaving for the festival or saying you will take it easy on the first day then getting Gillespied. I embrace it's madness

[Gnomicide]

8 hours ago, CaledonianGonzo said:

"Look at what you could have won"

2nd Bullseye ref on here in a few days, @Pear_Cider must be twitching.

[big__phil]

1 minute ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

How wrong you are

 

 

My word

[Toilet Duck]

1 minute ago, ThomThomDrum said:

Based in Dublin, I walked to the Library to pick up some books in early morn (about 10am) and got hit with a light drizzle. Very very light. 

Headed to the shop for lunch about 13.30 and had to put a jacket on as it began to rain and it was a bit heavier than light.

Overcast and dry now but today in Dublin was not bone dry for sure

Very strange! whereabouts in Dublin? I was on my way into work this morning at 10, had the shades on and it was blazingly sunny! (Malahide)...went out to get some lunch (city centre) about 2 and had the shades on again!. This rain they are talking about must be very local and very brief! (I don't doubt you were caught in the rain but the way, but if today's weather is what they mean by rain, I'd be happy with that!)...

[mjsell]

6 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

For anyone interested, at this point last year:

- Site was getting battered

- BBC was forecasting nice weather for festival from the Wednesday, with no rain symbols at all

- Few, if any, people were forecasting how bad the weekend before would actual turn out being

- We were all fairly positive

False Claim!

Here's a post from @FuzzyDunlop from this far before last years fest in the 2016 thread

 

[p.pete]

8 minutes ago, Glasto Weatherwatch said:

For anyone interested, at this point last year:

- Site was getting battered

- BBC was forecasting nice weather for festival from the Wednesday, with no rain symbols at all

- Few, if any, people were forecasting how bad the weekend before would actual turn out being

- We were all fairly positive

At this point last year the festival was further away  

[ThomThomDrum]

Just now, Toilet Duck said:

Very strange! whereabouts in Dublin? I was on my way into work this morning at 10, had the shades on and it was blazingly sunny! (Malahide)...went out to get some lunch (city centre) about 2 and had the shades on again!. This rain they are talking about must be very local and very brief! (I don't doubt you were caught in the rain but the way, but if today's weather is what they mean by rain, I'd be happy with that!)...

Rathmines

The rain I got "caught" in is defo the sort of rain that I will be willing to accept at Glasto. 

Basically caught under an isolated cloud or two and nothing heavy falling and only falling for a minute or two

 

[JayBalls]

Roll on the Countryfile forecast on Sunday! 

[Toilet Duck]

2 minutes ago, ThomThomDrum said:

Rathmines

The rain I got "caught" in is defo the sort of rain that I will be willing to accept at Glasto. 

Basically caught under an isolated cloud or two and nothing heavy falling and only falling for a minute or two

 

Yep, enough to keep the dust down and no more! 

[The Nal]

Heres that child snatcher Jackones forecast from today in 2007. ie the Thursday before the festival. 

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/38035-glastonbury-festival-2007/?page=3

 "it should start drying up for the weekend."

[Spindles]

I'm upgrading my weather prediction from 2008 conditions to 1999 conditions.

[nikkic]

1 minute ago, Spindles said:

I'm upgrading my weather prediction from 2008 conditions to 1999 conditions.

I didn't go in 1999 can you provide a brief summary? Preferably in a gif. Thanks.