23 replies to this topic

[budvar]

This isn't intended to be another 'headliner' thread but I was looking at the bookie's odds for Glasto Headliners:

Glasto 2010 headliner odds

A few things strike me as odd (if you'll pardon the pun)

Firstly they're doing it for the Sunday. I assume this is just to make more losing bets. I'd certainly be annoyed if I placed a bet and they played on the Saturday.

Secondly Blur are 25/1. That's absurd. Having headliners for a consecutive year seems incredibly unlikely.

Finally Arcade Fire are 100/1 i.e twice as unlikely as The Pogues. That seems far too generous. Shame you can't go each-way...

[EamerRed]

Green Day 16/1

Would they ever actually play Glasto?

[paulo999]

budvar, on Oct 8 2009, 06:47 PM, said:

...Blur are 25/1. That's absurd. Having headliners for a consecutive year seems incredibly unlikely.

Finally Arcade Fire are 100/1 i.e twice as unlikely as The Pogues. That seems far too generous. Shame you can't go each-way...

To be fair, William Hill's press release admits they lost money on it the last two years, and doesn't state any high degree of confidence for this year either.

It's probably just a bit of PR for them - a way of attracting punters that wouldn't normally be interested in betting.

Edited by paulo999, 08 October 2009 - 05:53 PM.

[Dukeicon]

I wonder how many people would bet for Michael Jackson if it was an option on there?

[ollyh]

At 66-1, Folk Face  

[Joshuwarr]

The Cure - 200-1 f**k!

[olly!olly!olly!]

If i gambled I'd put a fiver on radiohead @ 14/1, with a new album out next year surely they are worth a shout.
Cant see it being the stones or bowie, prince, u2 or elton john- all of which have very low odds

Edited by olly!olly!olly!, 08 October 2009 - 07:39 PM.

[Wooderson]

olly!olly!olly!, on Oct 8 2009, 08:39 PM, said:

If i gambled I'd put a fiver on radiohead @ 14/1, with a new album out next year surely they are worth a shout.
Cant see it being the stones or bowie, prince, u2 or elton john- all of which have very low odds

If that happens Wooderson =

[brettredmayne]

great odds for radiohead

[geztival_09]

EamerRed, on Oct 8 2009, 06:51 PM, said:

Green Day 16/1

Would they ever actually play Glasto?

Bloody well hope not!  lol

[derfman]

hmm considering lacing a bet on muse soon whil the odds are 8 to 1, cos those odds will decrease quickly i think, so many people are talkin about muse playing

[adamski]

Surely this is quite open to abuse. Say David Bowie is headlining, then I'm sure that more people that just David Bowie and Michael Eavis know about it!

Must be tens if not hundreds of people who could make a killing down the bookies!

[sifi]

adamski, on Oct 9 2009, 12:34 PM, said:

Must be tens if not hundreds of people who could make a killing down the bookies!

Bookies are very aware of large scale bets or many bets being made.  When that happens the odds comes down.  That's how they work.

Ever seen a poor bookie?  Didn't think so

[paulo999]

sifimaster, on Oct 9 2009, 12:53 PM, said:

Bookies are very aware of large scale bets or many bets being made.  When that happens the odds comes down.  That's how they work.

Ever seen a poor bookie?  Didn't think so

Insider betting does happen all the time.

The first few would slip through, if it was low-ish stakes. All untraceable if they'll take Glasto bets over the counter.

(It's Betfair's big thing about how they're better for the industry - because there's no over the counter, it's much more traceable, so insider rackets are harder to get away with).

[ferraristu]

Would be funny to see Mr Eavis walk into the Pilton branch of William Hill and put a million quid down on the Sunday night headliner, reckon they would take his bet ?????  

Edited by ferraristu, 09 October 2009 - 12:44 PM.

[sifi]

ferraristu, on Oct 9 2009, 01:44 PM, said:

Would be funny to see Mr Eavis walk into the Pilton branch of William Hill and put a million quid down on the Sunday night headliner, reckon they would take his bet ?????  

I think it's against his religion.

[muddyslingbax]

couldn't see Take That?....how odd

[OneLittleFish]

I think that there's a slight chance The Cure might play - when you look at bands who have won NMEs "Godlike Genius" award, in recent years a fair few of them have went on to play a UK festival or two - Manic Street Preachers, New Order etc.

Might put a couple of quid on them.

[budvar]

muddyslingbax, on Oct 9 2009, 02:28 PM, said:

couldn't see Take That?....how odd

They're there. 20-1

That would be one of those rubbish ones where they wouldn't pay out if it was Take That AND Robbie Williams...

[budvar]

sifimaster, on Oct 9 2009, 12:53 PM, said:

Bookies are very aware of large scale bets or many bets being made.  When that happens the odds comes down.  That's how they work.

Ever seen a poor bookie?  Didn't think so

Very true, which is why following odds can be very revealing. Bookies have excellent sources. Though probably not better than efestiavls!