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Weather at Escot, 15-17 August


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#61 cantwait4glasto

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Posted 13 August 2008 - 07:26 PM

View Postcatsta2001, on Aug 13 2008, 07:52 PM, said:

I'm staying optimistic. Today in totnes was meant to be terrible, heavy rain all day. however, we have had 3 showers and now have beautiful sunshine. It'll all be good guy's =)
I'm with you there Casta :)  :)  :lol:

#62 William of Walworth

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 05:47 AM

View Postcatsta2001, on Aug 13 2008, 07:52 PM, said:

I'm staying optimistic. Today in totnes was meant to be terrible, heavy rain all day. however, we have had 3 showers and now have beautiful sunshine. It'll all be good guy's =)


Erm, you'd better not look at this latest Metcheck update for Ottery then.

Sorry, I really admire you're positivity and optimism, but it's in defiance of all known signals ... there really isn't much scope for positivityat all any more  in that link, one of the worst so far. Having said that I'm sceptical that there'll be 30 mm of rain on Sunday night, Metcheck have a bit of track record of downgrading extreme rainfall totals a bit after initially posting them. That's the only grounds for hope.

Friday still looking OKish, and Saturday more drizzly after the morning, than anything serious rainwise.

Batten down the hatches for Sunday night though, and as for sunshine, wave goodbye to it ...., 100% cloud all the way by the look of it.

(I'm not relishing or gloating, as many of you know I HATE rain at festivals, but I hate being taken by surpise by it even more, so we need to anticipate. Anything more benign than the above -- not impossible -- will be an unexpected bonus).

Edited by William of Walworth, 14 August 2008 - 05:49 AM.


#63 William of Walworth

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 05:50 AM

Ignore those stupidly low temperatures though, 12C to 14C is just in no way credible at all. They always undercook them, do Metcheck.

#64 catsta

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 06:20 AM

I've just checked metcheck and i don't think it looks that bad. Granted sat and sunday night are predicted rain. But friday looks fine as does sunday day. Today was meant to be heavy pain and It's lush out there. I've packed waterproofs and waterproofed tent and rucksack again and i'll be expecting shitty weather but...I've also packed the Sunnies =)

#65 technowomble

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 08:14 AM

The weather on Metcheck is now looking a fair bit better  ;) , but Metoffice still not so good  :) .

Over Bristol is sunny and the barometer just keeps on moving towards high pressure :P. Mixed signals :).

Yup, can't see any clouds through the window closest to my cubicle. Maybe they'll pull it all together and the weather will be fine. Of course, there was some pretty heavy rain last night at about midnight so there will be quite a bit of surface dampness to contend with. At least the ground will be soft when we all trip over ourselves.

Anyone got an update from closer to the site?  :lol:

Gav

#66 dim

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 08:44 AM

tis sunny in exeter...

#67 technowomble

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 09:02 AM

Metcheck are now predicting 28.3mm of rain on Sunday night! Yup, hold your fingers apart in astonishment. With that sort of rain fall we might as well just all jump in the stream!

#68 William of Walworth

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 09:37 AM

View Postcatsta2001, on Aug 14 2008, 07:20 AM, said:

I've just checked metcheck and i don't think it looks that bad. Granted sat and sunday night are predicted rain. But friday looks fine as does sunday day. Today was meant to be heavy pain and It's lush out there. I've packed waterproofs and waterproofed tent and rucksack again and i'll be expecting shitty weather but...I've also packed the Sunnies =)

Fair dos, we've got shorts at the bottom of our bags as well, and sunblock (HA!) -- but also (in my case) multiple plastic bags (everything in my rucksack is in at least one plastic bag, + I have loads of spares), not just one but two layers of waterproof coat, my waterproof trousers, waterproof socks and well dubbined Goreetex-lined boots, an umbrella also  ... and plenty of extra layers cos it's going to be chilly.

No-one will be happier than I though, if all this turns out to be excess precaution!  ;)

Best case scenario would be if any significantly heavy rain holds off til about midnight Sunday -- on Metcheck, this is  an outside  possibility, but not too strong a one IMO.

Edited by William of Walworth, 14 August 2008 - 09:43 AM.


#69 William of Walworth

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 09:41 AM

View Postdim, on Aug 14 2008, 09:44 AM, said:

tis sunny in exeter...


Lets see if Metcheck's 7.3 mm of rain forecast for this afternoon (for Ottery) comes off or not. I personally think the Exeter area may escape as much as that today, and Friday is looking alright, morning especially.

But to stay dry throughout the weekend would be a minor miracle on the synoptics I've seen, a relentless and strong front approaches for later in the weekend, and from a South West direction too. Maybe not 28mm of rain on Sunday night, but I'll happily buy all and sundry a pint if there isn't any at all ...

Edited by William of Walworth, 14 August 2008 - 09:44 AM.


#70 William of Walworth

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 12:57 PM

Final updates summary from me. The first two of these updates were posted around midday to 12:30 today (Thursday), the third one earlier this morning :

Metcheck for Ottery -- considerably less extreme rainfall for Sunday evening (see my prediction of a downgrade earlier, above!  ;) ) but still quite alot.

Lightish rain Friday night, and moderate rain over most of Saturday.

Still pants, but possibly less extreme.

Met Office forecast for the South West -- thinks Friday will be dry, and with less rain on Sunday. Poor for Saturday.

Nertweather general forecast (updated at 11 am) the least optimistic oif all, but reraining the 'dry Friday' theme.

See you on site tomorrow folks (and in Exeter tonight in the case of a few of you).

#71 catsta

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 07:21 PM

View PostWilliam of Walworth, on Aug 14 2008, 01:57 PM, said:

Final updates summary from me. The first two of these updates were posted around midday to 12:30 today (Thursday), the third one earlier this morning :

Metcheck for Ottery -- considerably less extreme rainfall for Sunday evening (see my prediction of a downgrade earlier, above!  ;) ) but still quite alot.

Lightish rain Friday night, and moderate rain over most of Saturday.

Still pants, but possibly less extreme.

Met Office forecast for the South West -- thinks Friday will be dry, and with less rain on Sunday. Poor for Saturday.

Nertweather general forecast (updated at 11 am) the least optimistic oif all, but reraining the 'dry Friday' theme.

See you on site tomorrow folks (and in Exeter tonight in the case of a few of you).
see you there. It's gunna be a scorcher. Lol

#72 technowomble

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Posted 14 August 2008 - 09:29 PM

Just tapped the barometer, and it is still moving towards high pressure (ie good weather). Am getting more and more confident as the hours go by. Just need to check the cows tomorrow, ie lying down or standing up.

Someone mentioned about it being muddy last year? I don't remember it being so, although I might not have been quite with it...

See you all there

#73 5co77ie

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Posted 15 August 2008 - 07:16 AM

lovely and sunny today! ;)

#74 Somerset Boy

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Posted 17 August 2008 - 06:52 PM

We whimped out on Saturday night after bursting the bed on Sat morning, then getting absolutely soaked during the day  :)

Drove home in torrential rain until Pilton where it hadn't rained all day!

Was going to return today but decided to wait until next year  :)

Had a lovely time on Friday though!  :)

#75 catsta

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Posted 17 August 2008 - 08:39 PM

OMG!! Saturday was a wash out. Friday was awesome and I had the best Day and night. Sat i spent in bed all day, got up to see Alabama3, who were awesome and it stopped raining for them =)
We left about 5 on Sunday, car park was a mess and we didnt wanna be stuck.

#76 timespeedsup

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Posted 17 August 2008 - 10:51 PM

View Postcatsta2001, on Aug 17 2008, 09:39 PM, said:

OMG!! Saturday was a wash out. Friday was awesome and I had the best Day and night. Sat i spent in bed all day, got up to see Alabama3, who were awesome and it stopped raining for them =)
We left about 5 on Sunday, car park was a mess and we didnt wanna be stuck.

Sounds as bad, or worse, than last year. Bad luck.  :)

Here in London has been pushing sunny Friday onwards, gradually becoming overcast and cool each day, but no rain until this evening. I still get surprised how much difference 150 miles makes.

#77 catsta

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Posted 18 August 2008 - 10:37 AM

Saturday was bad, but i am so glad i am home right now instead of packing down in the rain and skidding around a car park lol.

Had a top weekend though.  :)

#78 technowomble

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Posted 18 August 2008 - 10:52 AM

It rained it rained it rained. It rained it rained it rained. But I was too *cough splutter* to notice really apart from finding a damp sleeping bag on Saturday evening.

I did not think the mud was too bad really. Yeah it got everywhere, but I had my trainers for the train home.

Left the site this morning about 7, the cars in the carpark were going nowhere. Saw no sign of the promised tractors.

With mud in our hair, and a song in our hearts.




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